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Liam Olin ๐ฎ๐ฑ๐บ๐ฆ
3.6K posts
@3lfares @Melkor_0208 So S voters are dumb and uneducated, or does it only matter if itโs SD?
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@Melkor_0208 SD voters are dumb, uneducated racists and the reason theyโve been growing in recent years is due to their racist sentiments being increasingly accepted in society
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It tells you much that people who are educated and humanists tend to vote left while those who are uneducated tend to be racists, ignorant and vote for the far-right.
TheBestOfSweden@TheBestOfSweden
This is the result in a highly-educated, affluent district in the latest regional election in Stockholm. Stockholm really voted crazy left-wing regionally.
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@Alaakalaf__ Can BBB voters even be polled when their voter base is smaller than DENK?
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๐ณ๐ฑ Is it acceptable to throw fireworks during anti-asylum protests? ๐ณ๐ฑ
๐ข FvD: +38%
๐ข PVV +36%
๐ข BBB: +12%
๐ JA21: -20%
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All voters: -40%
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๐ด VVD: -45%
๐ด 50+: -61%
๐ด SGP: -61%
๐ด SP: -81%
๐ด CDA: -83%
๐ด PvdD: -87%
๐ด D66: -90%
๐ด CU: -91%
๐ด PRO: -95%
๐ด Volt: -96%
Nederlands
@olin_liam @joakial_ the chart shows you're really good at not giving any aid, maybe sit this one out
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@olin_liam @joakial_ Israeli flag, need more Ukrainian grains to steal?
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@socdemAdam Do they have a chance to win any mayor position in eastern Germany in the near future?
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@israel_elects Will this increase the seat count of the opposition?
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This merger is so surprising, that possibility wasn't even floated in any recent publicly-available polling I know of (feel free to correct me in the comments if I'm wrong)
Israel Elects@israel_elects
Breaking: Bennett & Yesh Atid have agreed to run jointly, per @AmitSegal . An official announcement will be made at a joint Bennett-Lapid presser this evening.
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@EuropeElects New AfD record, and the second biggest party in NRW (west Germany).
English
Germany, INSA poll:
AfD-ESN: 28% (+1)
CDU/CSU-EPP: 24%
SPD-S&D: 14%
GRรNE-G/EFA: 12% (-1)
LINKE-LEFT: 11%
FDP-RE: 3% (-1)
BSW-NI: 3% (-1)
+/- vs. 17-20 April 2026
Fieldwork: 20-24 April 2026
Sample size: 1203
โค europeelects.eu/germany
Deutsch
@socdemAdam Remember when people said that 20% was AfDโs ceiling and that it was an eastern German party?
Then it became 25%, and now itโs the second biggest party in NRW.
English
@Melkor_0208 Wouldnโt call the voters switching progressive though. Probably still rather conservative S-voters on the countryside/anti establishment V-voters in northern Sweden.
Then of course some people that switch canโt be put on a spectrum or change ideology between elections ๐คท
English
Plenty of progressive voters did actually go over to SD and M in 2022. Fully possible for SD to have a repeat of that in 2026 if they run a good campaign.
If L passes by getting enough progressives + M votes and SD grows yet again by gaining in S and V voters the right can win.
Liam Olin ๐ฎ๐ฑ๐บ๐ฆ@olin_liam
@Nassreddin2002 Letโs be real, the right didnโt win in 2022 because they gained progressive voters. They won because people on the countryside switched from C to SD. L survived on tactical voters from M. The right wonโt win again by getting progressive voters back.
English
@Nassreddin2002 Letโs be real, the right didnโt win in 2022 because they gained progressive voters.
They won because people on the countryside switched from C to SD. L survived on tactical voters from M.
The right wonโt win again by getting progressive voters back.
English
Overall approval numbers for Swedish Liberal leader Mohamsson have risen after accepting far-right SD ministers in a new right-wing govt,
But it declined among voters of the progressive opposition parties
Aka it's now harder for the right to make up their 7-9p polling deficit
English
๐จThe Dutch Senate votes down the previous govt's asylum bill
VVD &CDA (incl. current migration minister) adopted it
Yet D66's senators voted against it
Also PVV (despite being in the previous govt) voted against the bill bcs it is no longer as "strict" as initially intended
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@Alejandro_SocEU Thatโs only because the right is splitting in the Netherlands.
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One of the most encouraging updates from todayโs European polls:
๐ต๐น The Socialist Party takes the lead in Portugal
๐ณ๐ฑ PRO is opening a clear gap in the Netherlands
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@socdemAdam Interesting that the German electorate is much more critical towards the war than the Swedish, with 1/3 thinking that starting the war is legitimate.
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@EuropeElects BSW and FDP trying to cross the threshold ๐คญ
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Germany, YouGov poll:
AfD-ESN: 27% (+1)
CDU/CSU-EPP: 23% (-3)
GRรNE-G/EFA: 14% (+1)
SPD-S&D: 13% (-1)
LINKE-LEFT: 10% (+1)
FDP-RE: 4% (+1)
BSW-NI: 4% (+1)
+/- vs. 13-16 March 2026
Fieldwork: 10-13 April 2026
Sample size: 1,763
โค europeelects.eu/germany
Deutsch
@EuropeElects New record poll for AfD, theyโve reached 27% nationally for the first time.
English
Norway, Norfakta poll:
FrP~ECR: 28% (-1)
Ap-S&D: 22%
H-EPP: 18% (+1)
R~LEFT: 8% (+2)
SV~LEFT: 6% (+1)
Sp~RE: 5%
V-RE: 4%
KrF-EPP: 4% (-1)
MDG-G/EFA: 3% (-1)
+/- vs. 03-04 March 2026
Fieldwork: 07-08 April 2026
Sample size: 1,002
โค europeelects.eu/norway
Deutsch
@TrueSlazac What was the turnout projected by the different pollsters?
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Two hours left to vote in Hungary and the turnout has already beaten the final turnout of every election since the transition to democracy
For the record, some pollsters showed massive Tisza victories but pro-Orban posters dismissed them as unrealistic for their high turnout
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Liam Olin ๐ฎ๐ฑ๐บ๐ฆ retuiteado
PES is apparently supporting DK in the Hungarian election, this is so unserious
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@no_itsmyturn They want to repeat the 12-day war when they fired at Be'er Sheva after the ceasefire was announced.
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