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Liam Olin 🇮🇱🇺🇦
3.6K posts
@3lfares @Melkor_0208 So S voters are dumb and uneducated, or does it only matter if it’s SD?
English
@Melkor_0208 SD voters are dumb, uneducated racists and the reason they’ve been growing in recent years is due to their racist sentiments being increasingly accepted in society
English
It tells you much that people who are educated and humanists tend to vote left while those who are uneducated tend to be racists, ignorant and vote for the far-right.
TheBestOfSweden@TheBestOfSweden
This is the result in a highly-educated, affluent district in the latest regional election in Stockholm. Stockholm really voted crazy left-wing regionally.
English
@Alaakalaf__ Can BBB voters even be polled when their voter base is smaller than DENK?
English
🇳🇱 Is it acceptable to throw fireworks during anti-asylum protests? 🇳🇱
🟢 FvD: +38%
🟢 PVV +36%
🟢 BBB: +12%
🟠 JA21: -20%
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All voters: -40%
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🔴 VVD: -45%
🔴 50+: -61%
🔴 SGP: -61%
🔴 SP: -81%
🔴 CDA: -83%
🔴 PvdD: -87%
🔴 D66: -90%
🔴 CU: -91%
🔴 PRO: -95%
🔴 Volt: -96%
Nederlands
@olin_liam @joakial_ the chart shows you're really good at not giving any aid, maybe sit this one out
English
@olin_liam @joakial_ Israeli flag, need more Ukrainian grains to steal?
English
@socdemAdam Do they have a chance to win any mayor position in eastern Germany in the near future?
English
@israel_elects Will this increase the seat count of the opposition?
English
This merger is so surprising, that possibility wasn't even floated in any recent publicly-available polling I know of (feel free to correct me in the comments if I'm wrong)
Israel Elects@israel_elects
Breaking: Bennett & Yesh Atid have agreed to run jointly, per @AmitSegal . An official announcement will be made at a joint Bennett-Lapid presser this evening.
English
@EuropeElects New AfD record, and the second biggest party in NRW (west Germany).
English
Germany, INSA poll:
AfD-ESN: 28% (+1)
CDU/CSU-EPP: 24%
SPD-S&D: 14%
GRÜNE-G/EFA: 12% (-1)
LINKE-LEFT: 11%
FDP-RE: 3% (-1)
BSW-NI: 3% (-1)
+/- vs. 17-20 April 2026
Fieldwork: 20-24 April 2026
Sample size: 1203
➤ europeelects.eu/germany
Deutsch
@socdemAdam Remember when people said that 20% was AfD’s ceiling and that it was an eastern German party?
Then it became 25%, and now it’s the second biggest party in NRW.
English
@Melkor_0208 Wouldn’t call the voters switching progressive though. Probably still rather conservative S-voters on the countryside/anti establishment V-voters in northern Sweden.
Then of course some people that switch can’t be put on a spectrum or change ideology between elections 🤷
English
Plenty of progressive voters did actually go over to SD and M in 2022. Fully possible for SD to have a repeat of that in 2026 if they run a good campaign.
If L passes by getting enough progressives + M votes and SD grows yet again by gaining in S and V voters the right can win.
Liam Olin 🇮🇱🇺🇦@olin_liam
@Nassreddin2002 Let’s be real, the right didn’t win in 2022 because they gained progressive voters. They won because people on the countryside switched from C to SD. L survived on tactical voters from M. The right won’t win again by getting progressive voters back.
English
@Nassreddin2002 Let’s be real, the right didn’t win in 2022 because they gained progressive voters.
They won because people on the countryside switched from C to SD. L survived on tactical voters from M.
The right won’t win again by getting progressive voters back.
English
Overall approval numbers for Swedish Liberal leader Mohamsson have risen after accepting far-right SD ministers in a new right-wing govt,
But it declined among voters of the progressive opposition parties
Aka it's now harder for the right to make up their 7-9p polling deficit
English
🚨The Dutch Senate votes down the previous govt's asylum bill
VVD &CDA (incl. current migration minister) adopted it
Yet D66's senators voted against it
Also PVV (despite being in the previous govt) voted against the bill bcs it is no longer as "strict" as initially intended
English
@Alejandro_SocEU That’s only because the right is splitting in the Netherlands.
English
One of the most encouraging updates from today’s European polls:
🇵🇹 The Socialist Party takes the lead in Portugal
🇳🇱 PRO is opening a clear gap in the Netherlands
English
@socdemAdam Interesting that the German electorate is much more critical towards the war than the Swedish, with 1/3 thinking that starting the war is legitimate.
English
Germany, YouGov poll:
AfD-ESN: 27% (+1)
CDU/CSU-EPP: 23% (-3)
GRÜNE-G/EFA: 14% (+1)
SPD-S&D: 13% (-1)
LINKE-LEFT: 10% (+1)
FDP-RE: 4% (+1)
BSW-NI: 4% (+1)
+/- vs. 13-16 March 2026
Fieldwork: 10-13 April 2026
Sample size: 1,763
➤ europeelects.eu/germany
Deutsch
@EuropeElects New record poll for AfD, they’ve reached 27% nationally for the first time.
English
Norway, Norfakta poll:
FrP~ECR: 28% (-1)
Ap-S&D: 22%
H-EPP: 18% (+1)
R~LEFT: 8% (+2)
SV~LEFT: 6% (+1)
Sp~RE: 5%
V-RE: 4%
KrF-EPP: 4% (-1)
MDG-G/EFA: 3% (-1)
+/- vs. 03-04 March 2026
Fieldwork: 07-08 April 2026
Sample size: 1,002
➤ europeelects.eu/norway
Deutsch
@TrueSlazac What was the turnout projected by the different pollsters?
English
Two hours left to vote in Hungary and the turnout has already beaten the final turnout of every election since the transition to democracy
For the record, some pollsters showed massive Tisza victories but pro-Orban posters dismissed them as unrealistic for their high turnout
English
Liam Olin 🇮🇱🇺🇦 retweetledi
PES is apparently supporting DK in the Hungarian election, this is so unserious
English
@no_itsmyturn They want to repeat the 12-day war when they fired at Be'er Sheva after the ceasefire was announced.
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