Despite Keiko Fujimori losing her lead, her odds to win the Peru Presidential Election surge to 83% Per @kalshi Peru Presidential Election 🔴 Roberto Sánche (Left-Wing): 50.03% 🟠 Keiko Fujimori (Right-Wing): 49.97% (94% Reporting)

@OpenSourceZone @Kalshi Most Peruvian expats are going for Fujimori, and they are the ones with the most votes outstanding. For now, it's thought she'll make up more than enough ground with them, which is why the odds are what they are.

@RRutilius753 @OpenSourceZone @Kalshi For people who are not as informed on the dynamic of domestic/expat votes, here’s a shocking but nevertheless legitimate example in Hungary:

@GedEebEe @RRutilius753 @OpenSourceZone @Kalshi Holy shit, that’s an INSANE margin

@explodingduck1 @RRutilius753 @OpenSourceZone @Kalshi I believe in Hungary’s specific case, this is the result of borders shifting around native Hungarians so that they are no longer within Hungary’s border. I assume they become far more nationalist as a result.

@GedEebEe @RRutilius753 @OpenSourceZone @Kalshi That makes a TON of sense