KnightBladePM
597 posts
@KnightBladePM
Scaled fund from 5M to 1.5B in 5 years, 15y buyside | 2022 burnout, Now $NQ Scalp + Swing Barbell strategy | Institutional logic. Retail execution ⚔️
I've been tracking Tower Semiconductor $TSEM's silicon photonics moves for a long time. Every partnership, every earnings call, every capacity expansion. Today I finally put it all into one article. $TSEM just signed a development agreement to integrate $LWLG's electro-optic polymer into its PH18 silicon photonics PDK — 8 days after NVIDIA committed $4B to Lumentum and Coherent. This isn't a coincidence. It's a pattern. A foundry betting $920M on SiPho doesn't put an unproven material on its menu without conviction. I wrote a deep dive covering: → Why TSEM's PH18 PDK integration changes LWLG's trajectory from "interesting demo" to "industry-standard candidate" → The 6-partner SiPho ecosystem TSEM built in 12 months (NVIDIA, Scintil, Salience Labs, and more) → EO polymer vs. TFLN — an honest comparison, including where HyperLight is already ahead → TAM → SAM: what LWLG can actually capture (hint: it's not $100B) → The risks that could break the thesis The first half is free — start there to understand the technology. $TSEM $LWLG substack.com/home/post/p-19…
$FLNG If pipelines or oil supply get disrupted, countries pivot to LNG imports. Energy security becomes priority.
$NQ | Bearish Until Memory is Proven Otherwise ⚔️ Lower Timeframes Overnight structure trending bearish with no meaningful reversal attempt. Break of structure through prior lows at 8:30, price now sitting just above 24,455. Watching the 24,350 zone as the first potential reversal area. If it doesn't hold, new HTF lower low below 24,220 is the next destination. Higher Timeframe Decisive rejection below the daily 200 SMA. No ambiguity. Structure is pointing lower. Targeting new lower low. Scenario Short into the 24,350 zone and watch for reversal. One level, one decision. Events 08:30 US Initial Jobless Claims in line 08:30 US Philly Fed Business Index strong 10:00 US New Home Sales 11:15 Trump meets Japan PM 13:00 US 10-Year TIPS Auction Notable $MU down 5.6% after hours, peak GM concerns from capex outweigh the earnings beat. $ACN soft booking guidance. $BABA down 5% on revenue and profit miss. Fed was a nothingburger as expected. Iran striking major energy infrastructure across Qatar, Saudi Arabia, UAE. US reportedly preparing military operation to secure Strait of Hormuz. Risk-off tone elevated this morning. Still learning. Still growing. Process > PnL. ⚔️ $MNQ $ES
NEW ODD LOTS HOW THE IRAN WAR WILL SQUEEZE AMERICA'S FARMERS EVEN FURTHER @TheStalwart & I brought back @AgrisAcademy's Jeff Kazin and Mike Rohlfsen to talk about how surging oil and fertilizer costs will make things even harder for farmers: podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/how…
$NQ | FOMC Day. One Setup. Stay Disciplined. ⚔️ Lower Timeframes Bearish newsflow flipped structure this morning. Watching for a retest of previous day close at 25,015 before continuation lower. Higher Timeframe Still bearish. The move up toward the upper band was a bull trap. Structure now targets a new low below 24,220. Scenario Retest of PDC at 25,015 then short into previous day low at 24,728. Clean levels, clean plan. FOMC at 14:00 means the morning session is the window, will be done before Powell opens his mouth. Events 08:30 US PPI bearish 10:00 US Factory Orders 14:00 FOMC Rate Statement and SEP 14:30 FOMC Press Conference with Powell $MU earnings AH Notable Bearish PPI print this morning. Iran vowing retaliation against Gulf infrastructure following strikes on key gas field. $NVDA receives Beijing approval for H200 sales, adapts Groq chip for China market. $MSFT reportedly weighing legal action against Amazon and OpenAI over $50B cloud deal. Optical names catching a bid following OFC: $LITE $AAOI $COHR. Still learning. Still growing. Process > PnL. ⚔️
$NQ | FOMC Day. One Setup. Stay Disciplined. ⚔️ Lower Timeframes Bearish newsflow flipped structure this morning. Watching for a retest of previous day close at 25,015 before continuation lower. Higher Timeframe Still bearish. The move up toward the upper band was a bull trap. Structure now targets a new low below 24,220. Scenario Retest of PDC at 25,015 then short into previous day low at 24,728. Clean levels, clean plan. FOMC at 14:00 means the morning session is the window, will be done before Powell opens his mouth. Events 08:30 US PPI bearish 10:00 US Factory Orders 14:00 FOMC Rate Statement and SEP 14:30 FOMC Press Conference with Powell $MU earnings AH Notable Bearish PPI print this morning. Iran vowing retaliation against Gulf infrastructure following strikes on key gas field. $NVDA receives Beijing approval for H200 sales, adapts Groq chip for China market. $MSFT reportedly weighing legal action against Amazon and OpenAI over $50B cloud deal. Optical names catching a bid following OFC: $LITE $AAOI $COHR. Still learning. Still growing. Process > PnL. ⚔️
$NQ | FOMC Day. One Setup. Stay Disciplined. ⚔️ Lower Timeframes Bearish newsflow flipped structure this morning. Watching for a retest of previous day close at 25,015 before continuation lower. Higher Timeframe Still bearish. The move up toward the upper band was a bull trap. Structure now targets a new low below 24,220. Scenario Retest of PDC at 25,015 then short into previous day low at 24,728. Clean levels, clean plan. FOMC at 14:00 means the morning session is the window, will be done before Powell opens his mouth. Events 08:30 US PPI bearish 10:00 US Factory Orders 14:00 FOMC Rate Statement and SEP 14:30 FOMC Press Conference with Powell $MU earnings AH Notable Bearish PPI print this morning. Iran vowing retaliation against Gulf infrastructure following strikes on key gas field. $NVDA receives Beijing approval for H200 sales, adapts Groq chip for China market. $MSFT reportedly weighing legal action against Amazon and OpenAI over $50B cloud deal. Optical names catching a bid following OFC: $LITE $AAOI $COHR. Still learning. Still growing. Process > PnL. ⚔️
