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@TimeBloke

Slowly, then all at once.

Inscrit le Aralık 2025
1.4K Abonnements68 Abonnés
Base Degen
Base Degen@DegenOnBase_·
Base trenches are heating up. 🔥🚀
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Raj Karia
Raj Karia@rajkaria_·
A while ago I built a project at a @0G_labs hackathon The idea was the easy part. Getting it running wasn't, understanding the code, wiring storage + compute, deploying, debugging. I figured every team on 0G was fighting the same fight. So I built 0Gkit 0Gkit is an open-source developer toolkit for @0G_labs Everything you had to hand-roll, Storage, Compute, DA, TEE attestation, chain, as npm install. - 18 small packages (install only what you need) - the 0g CLI - an MCP server - React hooks Neutral & standalone. cheers to @dragon888 and @michaelh_0g
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Raj Karia
Raj Karia@rajkaria_·
hunch cup is live now. the first risk-free prediction market trading competition on @base , built for agents. 🤖 $5k prize pool from @bankrbot + partners 10k $pUSDC (paper USDC) to trade. zero real risk. real leaderboard. - claim 10k $pUSDC (paper money, once per wallet), - trade prediction markets, - climb the realized pnl leaderboard. - top traders split $5k in actual usdc. no deposit, no downside, pure alpha. optimized for agents from the ground up: - x402 pay-per-call (no keys), - mcp server to plug straight in, - rest api at /api/cup/v1/*, and - npx hunch-cup to deploy in one command. claim → quote → simulate → trade. zero humans in the loop. markets never sleep: coin flip every 5 mins (heads/tails/tie), 5m & 15m up/down rounds on $btc $eth $sol $hype $bnb, and new markets dropping constantly. perfect for agents that never blink. watch it all unfold live, every trade, every climb on the public dashboard. this is the moment. builders, traders, developers, agent-wranglers, degens with a hunch the first arena where anyone (human or agent) can compete and win with zero capital at risk. the cup is open. the board is empty. go claim your spot go back your hunch
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Raj Karia
Raj Karia@rajkaria_·
Crossed $150M in volumes on hunch cup We will create a playbook on how to optimise prediction markets for agents Onwards and upwards
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Raj Karia
Raj Karia@rajkaria_·
hunch cup, quick teardown of the top 5 on the leaderbaoard same 10k $pUSDC start. five wallets. humans and agents. all with one thing in common: a real, measurable edge they actually stuck to. - the sniper (human): 10k → 533k (53x) 94% win rate, but wins small and eats rare big losses. edge was pure selection. one 108k longshot paid the bills. - the surgeon (human): 10k → 375k 95.7% hit rate, just six losses. patient, clean. highest profit factor. - the heavyweight (human): 10k → 275k big size, low volume, high conviction. doesn’t need to trade often when right. - the grinder (agent): 10k → 243k only 48% win rate. loses more bets than it wins. still top 4 because it cuts losers instantly and lets winners run. 2k+ trades of pure discipline. - the assassin (agent): 10k → 236k laser-focused on coin flips, ruthless selectivity. 14x profit factor. earned more than it ever risked. humans win by being right most of the time. agents win by being asymmetric, small losses, occasional big wins, relentless reps. and yeah… 82 of the top 100 are agents now. they never tilt, never sleep, never skip. what these wallets did from 10k is legit impressive. hunch cup shows you all the metrics, hit rate, payoff, profit factor, roi on paper markets, zero risk. find your edge, then run the same thing for real on hunch. you can just do things. what’s your biggest takeaway here?
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PPLSOPTIMISMCEO
PPLSOPTIMISMCEO@PPLSOPTIMISMCEO·
I have a feeling virtual is about to get deeply integrated into Robinhood's app. That is all...
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Raj Karia
Raj Karia@rajkaria_·
the top 2 wallets in the hunch cup don't trade anything like each other. neither trades like a human. meet the machines running the board 👇 🥇 0xa840…8343: +$156k the sniper. - 192 trades. - 96% hit rate (170 winners out of 177). - avg bet ~$6.7k. - moved $1.29m volume on sol, hype, eth, bnkr and was right almost every time. read that again. 96% across 177 bets. no human does that. that's a machine that only fires when the edge is crystal clear. 🥈 0x4e21…5bb1 (agent): +$77k - top 1% the machine gun. total opposite. - 1,103 trades across 1,069 markets in 60 hours. - firing every ~2 seconds at peak, - mostly $100 clips. everywhere, all the time. at 12:20pm on a random 5-min coin flip, it dropped $100 and walked with $71k. 710x. a minute no human was awake for. two agents. opposite playbooks. together +$233k sitting at the top of thousands. what they share: no person could be either. - you can't hand-craft 96% precision. -you can't trade every 2 seconds for 60 straight hours. - you can't watch 1,000 markets at once. but an agent can. tirelessly. simultaneously. that's the whole thesis playing out live on the leaderboard. prediction markets reward presence, precision, and speed at scales humans physically can't match. the future doesn't belong to traders. it belongs to their agents on @base @playhunchxyz is the arena we built for exactly this, x402, mcp, sdk, npx hunch-cup. point yours at the board and let it hunt. top of the leaderboard is already machines. question is whose. $5k real usdc, 26 days left
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Raj Karia
Raj Karia@rajkaria_·
@TimeBloke these volumes are on hunch cup, it's paper money right now, but if it were real, we would have generated upwards to $2M in fees, one day it will become a reality
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Raj Karia
Raj Karia@rajkaria_·
Hunch Cup — we just crossed 100M 121.3M $pUSDC traded. 75,617 trades across 7,729 markets. In the ~12 hours since our last update: +58% volume, +4,458 new wallets. every single one of those new wallets was an agent. Human traders held flat at 202. The agent fleet grew to 12,360 autonomous wallets, now driving 98% of all trades. We opened the doors 4 days ago. The agents have been trading nonstop ever since, backtesting real round-data, pricing a live crowd, no human in the loop. The agentic future isn't a dream anymore Deploy your agents if you haven't yet base:0xae1f38aee37f5bbeeded6a69b6454f4954b30ba3 is serverely undervalued, I will repeat
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Raj Karia
Raj Karia@rajkaria_·
Robinhood 👀
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Hunch
Hunch@playhunchxyz·
we just hit 5k agents on hunch cup. close to $50m in volume. unbelievable what these things are already doing just imagine what happens when these numbers turn real. $HUNCH is criminally undervalued here
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Arcus
Arcus@arcus_xyz·
Stock tokens, crypto, memecoins, indices - it's all on Arcus. Quick guide on getting set up ↓
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Meridian
Meridian@mrdn_finance·
Decentralized inference is live on Meridian. Compute priced per request, settled over x402 via @dphnAI
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