Jason McDaniel

This is why I am a YIMBY. The only way to reduce racial segregation is to massively increase housing of all types in cities like SF. I don’t care why you oppose a particular housing project. Neighborhood character is not more important than segregation.

I’ve written a comment on a recent piece by @dbroockman and @j_kalla. I agree heartily that voters care about issues. But I don’t think that their particular explanation for the small effects of candidate moderation hold (much) water. 🧵 ctausanovitch.com/elusive_elite_…

New in Nature Human Behaviour: How Deceptive Online Networks Reached Millions in the US 2020 Elections -Reached at least 37M Facebook and 3M Instagram users -3 networks out of 49 responsible for >70% of users reached -Exposed users older, more conservative

Populist rhetoric may not win many votes—but it can get people to the polls. @akoustov & @yaoyao_dai find that populist messaging has limited persuasive power, yet can slightly boost turnout, especially among already populist voters. Read more here: journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10.11…

A fixed schedule for Supreme Court appointments would reduce political manipulation and make the Court more representative. bit.ly/4bZbVIk

SF's public transit system is facing the worst financial crisis in its history. SPUR's Laura Tolkoff talks with the SF Standard about how we got here, what's on the ballot this November to address it, and what happens if voters d... bit.ly/47LWQIX apple.co/4sdlQ37

"We revisit this question by constructing a novel dataset covering the stock trading activity of all U.S. members of Congress and their immediate families from 2012 to 2023. We find that, on average, legislators’ portfolios underperform or, at best, match market benchmarks after the STOCK Act." nber.org/papers/w35041

Scoop >> SF Mayor Daniel Lurie has just handed out 127 layoff notices at City Hall. sfstandard.com/2026/04/06/cit…

I used Claude Code to build an website that implements the simulations presented in "Making in the Supreme Court: The Politics of Appointments, 1930-2020" (with Chuck Cameron) that predict the composition of the Supreme Court under different scenarios. jkastellec.github.io/msc-simulator/

I spoke with @germanrlopez about how drug policy went astray in San Francisco and why most people need pressure to seek addiction treatment. 1/2

1/ Happy to release StatsClaw — an open-source multi-agent workflow for building statistical software with AI. w/ @Maple_Optboy Site: statsclaw.ai Paper: bit.ly/statsclaw

BREAKING: In response to huge cuts in Trump's budget request, NSF is closing its social sciences directorate. Staff will be transferred elsewhere in NSF, and "grants that align with Administration priorities" will be kept. W/ @dangaristo for @Nature nature.com/articles/d4158…

this whole package is incredible thebaffler.com/odds-and-ends/…

A Supreme Court ruling on mail-in ballots could land in June — just months before the midterms. @fsistanford Senior Fellow @persily weighs in on what it means for states, voters, and election administration. ow.ly/CE2b50YCxZ2

We often ask who wins elections. But who decides to run? New @ElectoralStdies w/Hayes: Multi-member districts ⬆️ Black candidate emergence—and political empowerment matters. We revisit assumptions about US electoral design and show who enters the pipeline—not just who wins.

How Trump's attempt to limit birthright citizenship is taking us back to the 1800s. My @sfc_opinions newsletter @sfchronicle #WongKimArk sfchronicle.com/opinion/articl…

The latest @BUonCities Menino Mayors survey finds 75% of America's mayors "agree or strongly agree that building more market-rate housing will reduce prices, up from 60% in 2021." More than half now “strongly agree,” compared with fewer than 30% in 2021.

Great story on the executive order about mail-in voting from @ballotbase at @VotebeatUS votebeat.org/national/2026/…

NEW: California Dems could be headed for an all-time political upset: handing the governorship to a Republican despite outnumbering GOP 2-1. Race could settle when ads hit/voters tune in. But many see an iceberg ahead and no real plan to change course: politico.com/news/2026/04/0…

RT @JerusalemDemsas: That young men are sexist and hate women and increasingly conservative has become one of those stylized facts of publi…

In new @CNN @SRSS poll, Trump approval remains down near level reached only after Jan 6 riot. His disapproval: 80% 18-34, 77% w/non-whites, 73% indies, 65% women, 64% college+ Whites. Even w/non-college whites he's only at 49/50 disapprove. They're key to widening Dem map in '26.