M2N
904 posts

M2N
@chan_involve
Senior in Highschool | 100k portfolio target by end of August, 2026 |


Weekly Close... $BTC Currently, the weekly close is not looking particularly pretty. We first formed a long wick (entire pump retraced). The following candle filled the entire wick and closed above 71.4K highs. The next wick (last week’s wick) swept above the highs and instantly retraced the entire pump, violently pushing price back down. I observe things from a psychological standpoint, (what does this tell us, who was trapped, who is exposed, and what’s likely to happen next?) Well, as of now, longs have been obliterated, continuation longs, breakout longs, and even mid-range longs. We have a CME gap at 70K which is yet to be filled and can act as resistance on a revisit. If we push to 70K this week, observe the reaction, a rejection confirms the trend is very bearish on the LTF. In terms of key structure we need to hold... the monthly open sits at 66.9K, which is something to observe for a reaction/acceptance above. However, the key areas on the HTF sit around 65.9K down to 64.7K. Lose that and bulls can say goodnight, because sub-60K is coming. Until then, I think its plausible to expect a bearish retest before continuation lower. It’s clear bears are in control, retracing the move right back into range. In my opinion, all I see is a push to the CME gap to bait late shorts, and then a continuation lower. Again, CMEs can take a while to fill, but eventually, they fill.























