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@da_winter

Aim High, Vote Lowe

Inscrit le Haziran 2012
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99⁴⁴/¹⁰⁰% Pure@da_winter·
Becker nie doczekał swoich 50 urodzin, ale jego książka ma już ponad 50 lat, a większość ludzkości nadal uparcie tkwi w brutalnej i pełnej nienawiści ignorancji. Oh well.
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DJT saw the 60 Minutes hatchet job featuring the Chicago 🇺🇸 Pope Leo and three 🇺🇸 Cardinals... and has lost his mind 😆... Again 🤣
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Richard N. Haass
Richard N. Haass@RichardHaass·
Good to see Pres Trump has announced US will mount a blockade of Strait of Hormuz unless Iran opens it to all. We should also propose a new governance authority for the Strait in which Iran participates but doesn't control. open.substack.com/pub/richardhaa…
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@DGK1285 Awesome tweet... with a couple caveats: Saudi destruction of UAE backed anti-Houthi initiative in southern Yemen was a surprise and makes no sense in context of Abraham Accords, in which UAE is already a signatory. The above occurred a few months after new Saudi Pakistani Pact.
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D King
D King@DGK1285·
When Iran green-lit the Oct 7th Hamas atrocities, it had one strategic goal: block Saudi Arabia’s planned entry into the Abraham Accords. The attack succeeded and derailed the momentum, including a high-profile trip to London for MBS being planned for December. Fast forward to today. Iran’s gamble has now backfired completely. If today’s news is true (and I suspect it is), Saudi Arabia has not only offered to sign onto the Abraham Accords, it has offered a full-on alliance with Israel and other moderate Arab states for a regional peace with deep financial and military ties. This type of alignment is exactly what Iran’s leadership feared most. Their mistake? The anti-Iran alliance that may have taken years to emerge pre-Oct 7th is now happening, and accelerating rapidly with KSA and the entire GCC in full alignment. With Iran’s external proxies destroyed and its ability to project power beyond lobbing inconsequential missiles at any and all, the only thing keeping this regime in power is its internal repression apparatus. That too can now be starved, internally pressured, or struck violently if and when needed. Tactics are still TBD. But every development is now converging on the same strategic outcome: Abraham Accords v2 with Saudi Arabia and Israel allied and both playing a leading role. This is good news this weekend. With denuclearization off the table, there is zero question now that this regional realignment also includes Iran once the IRGC is defeated. #IranFreedom, liberation for the long suffering Iranian people, and regional peace have never been so well aligned as they are today! Who’s ready? 🇺🇸🇮🇱🇸🇦🦁
Reza Sad@rezasadx

ما از اولش هم به شدت به کار ترامپ، برای "مذاکرات" مشکوک بودیم ، و حال رویکرد کارشناسی و تحلیلی خود را در تخمینهای سیاسی و نظامی زیر تغییر می دهیم: 1- ما فکر میکنیم که این عمل ترامپ ، مستقیم با عربستان سعودی ارتباط داشت، و می خواست در دو جهت موازی ، عربستان را به سوی اسرائیل "هل" بدهد. -عربستان در آینده بسیار نزدیک ، بین 70 تا 140 ملیارد دلار خرج جنگ را تحت عنوان سرمایه گذاری سریع در آمریکا خواهد پرداخت. -اعزام قسمتی از نیروی هوائی کثیفستان به عربستان ، یک معنی نظامی و تبلیغاتی مشخصی داشت. -عربستان در اینده یک نیروی دریایی متشکل از کشتیهای جنگی دیگر کشورهای عربی منطقه شاخاب پارس برای حفاظت و تامین امنیت تنگه هرمز را تشکیل خواهد داد. -عربستان از هم اکنون به صورت مخفیانه با شاهزاده عزیز رضا جون در تماس است برای نابودی کامل و بدون قید و شرط باقی مانده های رژیم جمهوری اسلامی در کشورمان ، و سرمایه گذاریهای بسیار سنگین در ایران پس از جمهوری اسلامی. -ما شکی نداریم که عربستان پس از سرنگونی جمهوری اسلامی ، بلافاصله نه تنها اسرائیل را به رسمیت می شناسد ، بلکه به پیمان ابراهیم خواهد پیوست و حتی در خود اسرائیل ، بخصوص در زمینه انتقال نفت ، سرمایه گزاری های سنگین خواهد نمود. 2-ما شکی نداریم که عربستان به شدت از باقی مانده جمهوری اسلامی متنفر شده ، و جلوی ترامپ را گرفته که به هر نوعی با باقی مانده های رژیم اسلامی در کشورمان کنار بیاید. -اگر این تحلیل درست باشد ، دلیل کولی بازی ترامپ این بود که نه تنها خرج جنگ را دربیارد ، بلکه حتی سود ببرد، و دلیل سقوط شدید ارزش بیت کوین دیروز و پس از شکست مذاکرات دقیقا همین بود: دلار آمریکا یک بار دیگر با قدرت کامل بازگشت. -طبق تحلیل مقطعی و فعلی ما ، باقی مانده رژیم جمهوری اسلامی از همین الان کاملا محکوم به مرگ است ، و تمام کشورهای منطقه شاخاب پارس ، حتی دولت عراق ، با تنفر هر چه تمامتر ، هم اکنون مرگش را می خواهند. 4- دولت شاهزاده عزیز رضا جون ، تنها الترناتیو جمهوری اسلامی است. -یک عملیات بسیار سنگین اسرائیل برای پشتیبانی از خیزش ملی مردم ایران بر علیه رژیم در راه است. -اسرائیل در آینده و در منطقه یک نقش راهبردی و بسیار اساسی را خواهد داشت. -پس از تقریبا 5 سال ، سه کشور ایران ، اسرائیل و عربستان نه تنها همکار و شریک خواهند بود ، بلکه سه غول بسیار قدرتمند از دید نظامی ، اقتصادی و سیاسی در مقابل چین و زیاده خواهی های امپریالیستیش.

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John the Cliff Dweller
John the Cliff Dweller@STFUabtChicago·
@RichardHaass So...essentially, Trump is now allied with the Houthis in blockading the Strait. I didn't have that on my WAR BINGO card.
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went to watch UFC MMA Saturday night's all right for cage fighting whatever... WITH RUBIO 🤣 AIPAC wins AGAIN 😆 😭 3) Ratcliffe (while Hegseth takes a 🤡 lap referring to 🇮🇷 War in past tense) can help JD "JV" Vance save face by floating rumor (via others) he gathered intel 😉
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Post postscript/post mortem of trip: 1) Vance wanted something new because the Tucker antisemitism isn't gaining traction and he doesn't want the only lane left available to him v Rubio in '28 primaries. Tough. You made your bed, now run for GOP nomination in it. 2) POTUS...
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Things that matter~ Islamabad 🇵🇰 v Muscat 🇴🇲 Ankara or anywhere else in 🇹🇷 🇶🇦 or Europe is itself a big signal no one in MSM is spotlighting ttbomk: 🇸🇦 🇵🇰 Treaty Sept of '25 preceded both Saudi attack on 🇦🇪 anti-Houthi forces in south 🇾🇪 AND 🇵🇰 hitting Taliban 🎯 in 🇦🇫 ahead...
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Allan Ezra Marcos
Allan Ezra Marcos@AllanHerzl·
A CIA e o Mossad sabiam, desde o primeiro segundo, que as duas partes estavam em contradição absoluta. Não 10%, não 50%. 180 graus. Então por que Trump mandou JD Vance para o meio disso? Duas razões. Primeira: quando a bomba cair, ninguém vai poder dizer que os EUA não tentaram. Eles vão ter na mão a ata da reunião, a foto do aperto de mão que não aconteceu, o voo de volta com as mãos vazias. Diplomacia como cobertura jurídica para o que vem depois. Segunda, e mais inteligente: Vance é contra guerra. Conhecidamente. Então quando um homem como ele volta de Omã e diz “não tem conversa”, ninguém em Washington consegue mais argumentar que “bastava sentar à mesa”. O cético mais difícil do gabinete virou testemunha ocular da impossibilidade. Os EUA não foram negociar. Foram documentar. A República Islâmica virou a mesa, como sempre faz. Desta vez, com câmera ligada.
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@ImtiazMadmood It wasn't Oman. It was Pakistan. Pakistan & Saudi signed mutual defense pact Sept of '25, extending nuclear umbrella to Riyadh. Saudi then obliterated UAE anti-Houthi initiative in southern Yemen. Pakistan struck Taliban targets in Afghanistan immediately ahead of US v Iran
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Imtiaz Mahmood
Imtiaz Mahmood@ImtiazMadmood·
The CIA and the Mossad knew, from the very first second, that the two sides were in absolute contradiction. Not 10%, not 50%. 180 degrees. So why did Trump send JD Vance right into the middle of it? Two reasons. First: when the bomb drops, no one will be able to say the U.S. didn’t try. They’ll have in hand the minutes of the meeting, the photo of the handshake that didn’t happen, the return flight with empty hands. Diplomacy as legal cover for what comes next. Second, and smarter: Vance is against war. Well-known. So when a man like him comes back from Oman and says “there’s no conversation to be had,” no one in Washington can argue anymore that “all it took was sitting down at the table.” The toughest skeptic in the cabinet has become an eyewitness to the impossibility. The U.S. didn’t go to negotiate. They went to document. The Islamic Republic flipped the table, as it always does. This time, with the camera rolling. - @AllanHerzl
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@JZarif It was all a 🐕 and 🎠 show. We haven't forgotten Taylor Force You taking hostages at 🇺🇸 Embassy Hizb bombing USMC Beirut You bombing AMIA Buenos Aires. You're all 🖕🏽ed The only question is precisely how, when, where, and by whom.
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Javad Zarif
Javad Zarif@JZarif·
Want to know why negotiations did not succeed? JD Vance: "they have chosen not to accept our terms." Bingo. No negotiations – at least with Iran – will succeed based on "our/your terms." The US must learn: you can't dictate terms to Iran. It's not too late to learn. Yet.
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General Quacker | الجنرال كواكر
By Bezalel Smotrich's order, Israel's Interior Ministry granted settlement status to eight West Bank communities, including Ganim and Kadim. The decision enables permanent utility connections, appointment of local security chiefs and independent community development. �
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@alexplitsas You speak as if there's a cohesive ruling elite in Tehran speaking with one voice when in fact (following successful decapitation by 🇺🇸 and 🇮🇱) Iran's leadership is neither cohesive nor in any way of one mind. To quote Obama: "it's the JV" Vance had two jobs: Glean intel 🍞 🎪
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Alex Plitsas 🇺🇸
Alex Plitsas 🇺🇸@alexplitsas·
Iran’s position and unwillingness to give in to U.S. policy red lines on the nuclear issues is a reflection of the fact Tehran believes that’s it’s winning and can wait the U.S. out. We won’t see a change in behavior until we see a change in perception.
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Richard Goldberg
Richard Goldberg@rich_goldberg·
Javad Zarif walked out of the room saying no deal and John Kerry ran after him. Multiple times. It was an embarrassment to America. Now it’s VP Vance walking out of the room by direction of a President who knows exactly what he’s doing and why. The era of appeasement is over.
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Basil
Basil@basilahmed2023·
@KosherChutzpah @tparsi A Zionist Jew lying an being dishonest as usual. There was a ceasefire in place and Israel never honored it. There is a ceasefire in Gaza right now and it is bombarding every single day. Thousands have died in Lebanon and Gaza since the ceasefire was signed.
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Trita Parsi search. ..
This sounds plausible and suggests that Vance's surprising focus on the nuclear file as the reason for the deadlock is a pretext to cover up the real problem in the talks - Israel's continued bombardment of Lebanon.
Mohamad Hasan Sweidan@mhmdsweidan

بحسب المعلومات: - خلال المفاوضات كان موقف الولايات المتحدة هو أن "اسرائيل" من المستحيل أن تقبل بهدنة في لبنان على دفعة واحدة، وأن واشنطن أقنعت تل أبيب بوقف إطلاق نار تدريجي يبدأ ببيروت والضاحية ثم يتوسّع ليشمل كل لبنان. - الأميركي حاول مرارًا القول للوفد الإيراني أن ملف لبنان لا يعنيكم طالما الدولة في لبنان ذاهبة للتفاوض المباشر مع "اسرائيل". رد المفاوض الإيراني كان هو أن طهران تفاوض عن إرادة جزء وازن من اللبنانيين وطهران لن تتخلّى عم حمايتهم والوقوف الى جانبهم وحمل قضاياهم. - بعد انتهاء الجولة الأولى اليوم سيعود الوفد الإيراني إلى طهران ليجري عملية تقييم لمدى التزام واشنطن بما اتّفقوا عليه. وسيكون موضوع وقف إطلاق النار في لبنان من الأمور التي ستكون ضمن التقييم الإيراني. وعلى أساس هذا التقييم ستقرّر طهران خطواتها اللاحقة.

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Vance: We've been at this for 21 hours Haven't reached agreement That's bad news for Iran We're going home
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Iran in Ghana
Iran in Ghana@IRAN_GHANA·
America sent a destroyer warship to the strait of Hormuz to intimidate Iran before the negotiations. Iran picked up the phone: "You have 30 minutes." The ship turned around. It made a U-turn immediately! Then a Pentagon official had to go on AXIOS and explain that actually it was only "freedom of navigation". Now we know what a U-turn means. No shots fired. No missiles launched. Just Iran's word. And apparently, that was enough.
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