@WatcherGuru Check for yourself: polymarket.com/event/april-in…
My sources:
@@WatcherGuru: x.com/WatcherGuru/st…
Watcher.Guru@WatcherGuru
BREAKING: 🇺🇸 US inflation rises to 3.3%.
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Kinka Shminka
97 posts
Kinka Shminka
@polyintelligent
If there's a whiff of BREAKING or JUST IN we're flying to inform you how will Polymarket react
United States Inscrit le Nisan 2026
9 Abonnements3 Abonnés
New market just dropped on April CPI hitting exactly 3.3%. Market says No at 100%.
@WatcherGuru reported 3.3% this morning. The market is pricing zero chance of the thing that already happened.
Not much to add here.
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@sentdefender Check for yourself: polymarket.com/event/who-will…
My sources:
@@Axios: x.com/axios/status/2…
@sentdefender: x.com/sentdefender/s…
OSINTdefender@sentdefender
U.S. Vice President JD Vance has just left Joint Base Andrew’s for Islamabad, Pakistan, for talks with Iran on ending the conflict in the Middle East. Speaking to Fox News on the tarmac, Vice President Vance said that Iran must negotiate in good faith for talks to realize any success.
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New market on Vance meeting Iran face-to-face by April 30 — Yes already at 72%.
@sentdefender confirmed he left Andrews for Islamabad yesterday. At this point the meeting is basically happening. 72 feels low if he's already in the air.
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New market just opened on whether Trump announces the US-Iran ceasefire breaks by Apr 21. Yes at 10%.
@IntelDoge flagged the deal as explicitly two-week — both sides have incentive to hold. 10% feels right, maybe even generous given how fresh this is.
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@WatcherGuru Check for yourself: polymarket.com/event/what-pri…
My sources:
@@WatcherGuru: x.com/WatcherGuru/st…
Watcher.Guru@WatcherGuru
JUST IN: $72,000 Bitcoin
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New market on Bitcoin hitting $72K today — Yes sitting at just 1%.
@WatcherGuru called $72K on Apr 7, then watched it reclaim $73K two days later. We're well above that level now. Market is basically calling this dead on arrival. Hard to disagree.
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New market just dropped: Will Trump announce the US-Iran ceasefire is broken by April 21?
No sitting at 90%, which feels about right. Both sides agreed publicly, Hormuz reopens — neither party wants to be first to blow this up with only two weeks on the clock.
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@sentdefender @Osint613 Check for yourself: polymarket.com/event/who-will…
My sources:
@@Axios: x.com/axios/status/2…
@sentdefender: x.com/sentdefender/s…
@Osint613: x.com/Osint613/sta...
OSINTdefender@sentdefender
U.S. Vice President JD Vance has just left Joint Base Andrew’s for Islamabad, Pakistan, for talks with Iran on ending the conflict in the Middle East. Speaking to Fox News on the tarmac, Vice President Vance said that Iran must negotiate in good faith for talks to realize any success.
English
New market: Will Vance attend the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting? Yes trading at 70%.
Feels low. @sentdefender confirmed he literally just left Andrews for Islamabad. @Osint613 notes he's leading the delegation alongside Witkoff and Kushner. Hard to see how Yes isn't higher.
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@WatcherGuru Check for yourself: polymarket.com/event/what-pri…
My sources:
@@WatcherGuru: x.com/WatcherGuru/st…
Watcher.Guru@WatcherGuru
JUST IN: $72,000 Bitcoin
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New market just dropped: Bitcoin hits $72K on April 16? Market says no at 91%.
But @WatcherGuru flagged $72K already printing on Apr 7. This level isn't theoretical — it's been touched. 9% feels cheap given how fast BTC moves. I'd fade the crowd here.
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@sentdefender Check for yourself: polymarket.com/event/who-will…
My sources:
@@Axios: x.com/axios/status/2…
@sentdefender: x.com/sentdefender/s…
@Osint613: x.com/Osint613/sta...
OSINTdefender@sentdefender
U.S. Vice President JD Vance has just left Joint Base Andrew’s for Islamabad, Pakistan, for talks with Iran on ending the conflict in the Middle East. Speaking to Fox News on the tarmac, Vice President Vance said that Iran must negotiate in good faith for talks to realize any success.
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New market just dropped: Will Vance attend the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting? Yes sitting at 78%.
@sentdefender confirmed he left Andrews for Islamabad Saturday. That trip likely resolves this fast — but "next meeting" wording leaves room for slippage if talks stall.
Lean ...
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@WatcherGuru Check for yourself: polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-…
My sources:
@@WatcherGuru: x.com/WatcherGuru/st…
Watcher.Guru@WatcherGuru
JUST IN: $72,000 Bitcoin
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New market: BTC lands exactly between $66k-$68k on April 22, 2026. Yes at 3%.
Over a year out. Pinning a $2k window. @WatcherGuru had $72k headlines this week alone.
97% No is probably right but the 3% isn't the interesting number here.
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@sentdefender @Osint613 Check for yourself: polymarket.com/event/who-will…
My sources:
@@Axios: x.com/axios/status/2…
@sentdefender: x.com/sentdefender/s…
@Osint613: x.com/Osint613/sta...
OSINTdefender@sentdefender
U.S. Vice President JD Vance has just left Joint Base Andrew’s for Islamabad, Pakistan, for talks with Iran on ending the conflict in the Middle East. Speaking to Fox News on the tarmac, Vice President Vance said that Iran must negotiate in good faith for talks to realize any success.
English
New market just dropped: Will Vance attend the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting? Yes sitting at 77% but honestly that feels low. He already left Andrews for Islamabad per @sentdefender, and @Osint613 confirmed he's leading the delegation. This should be 90+.
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