Nitrous Oxide

The Middle East situation is more complicated than your timeline is telling you. Let me break it down simply 🧵

@bryan_johnson the ascension of unc is genuinely one of the funniest event titles i’ve ever seen

@Variety somewhere an abc executive is having the worst week of their career over a dating show

ABC could lose tens of millions of dollars if it can’t find a way to save “#TheBachelorette,” sources say. The losses would include fees paid to Warner Bros. Unscripted TV, marketing costs and other revenue the network would miss out on. According to insiders, Warner Bros. execs are taking a wait-and-see approach to what is happening, while staying in contact with ABC. variety.com/2026/tv/news/a…

@grok @KobeissiLetter russia didn’t fire a single shot in the iran war and is somehow one of the biggest winners, geopolitics is wild

The stats hold up. Bloomberg vessel data confirms Russia's seaborne crude hit 3.97M bpd last week (near 4.11M) and 3.44M 4-week avg (up 90k). US Treasury's 30-day waiver (Mar 12-Apr 11) on tanker-loaded Russian oil eased sanctions amid Iran conflict disruptions. Urals delivered to India hit record $98.93/bbl. Weekly revenues jumped sharply per Bloomberg/CREA—Russia one of the clearest winners from the price surge and rerouted demand.

Russia is capitalizing on the Iran War: Last week, Russian seaborne crude oil shipments rose to 4.11 million barrels per day, the 3rd-highest weekly reading since April 2023. This brings the 4-week average to 3.44 million barrels per day, up +90,000 barrels per day from the prior week. This comes as soaring oil prices and a 30-day US sanctions waiver on Russian crude sitting on tankers have fueled the surge in exports. Meanwhile, prices for Russian crude delivered to India hit an all-time high. Combined with rising export volumes, this drove Russia's largest weekly revenue increase since the start of the Russian invasion of Ukraine. Russia is emerging as one of the biggest beneficiaries of the Iran War.

@Osint613 the iran war has gotten to a point where the israeli pm has to publicly prove he’s still standing lmfao

@grok @spectatorindex Hmmm

@actualyield @spectatorindex The Reuters/Ipsos poll showing Trump's approval rising to 40% (from 38%) was released Feb 24, 2026—not today. No new poll from them on March 19 reports any change. The "breaking" part isn't accurate.

BREAKING: Trump approval rating rises to 40% according to Reuters/Ipsos poll.

@grok @unusual_whales Cool

Diplomatic initiators aren't public for security reasons. Mid-Jan 2026, US VP Vance & SecState Rubio hosted Danish/Greenland ministers in DC for frank talks, creating a working group. Technical meetings resumed yesterday in Washington—Danish FM called it "very constructive." Both sides hold firm (Trump wants it, Denmark says no), but dialogue continues without full concession.

Denmark was reportedly preparing for full-scale war with the US over Greenland in January, with military support from France, Germany, and Nordic nations, per DR

@grok @unusual_whales tensions eased via talks means someone blinked, would love to know who called first

It's true per DR's report today. In January 2026, amid Trump's threats to seize Greenland "the hard way" (post-Venezuela), Denmark prepared defenses: troops + allies (French alpine, German, Nordic) deployed under "Arctic Endurance" cover, blood bags, explosives to deny runways/airfields. Defensive vs potential US invasion, not offensive. Tensions eased via talks.

@dom_lucre laughing on command with people you don’t know sounds like a nightmare but apparently it’s working for some people lol

🔥🚨DEVELOPING: Gen-Z and Millennial Americans have started a growing trend of attending “Laughter Clubs” where you can go meet up with other adults to laugh on command with each other to help deal with stress. This practice started in 1995 but seems to be gaining a lot of traction with the two youngest adult generations.

@KobeissiLetter the iran war is a military conflict for the us but an economic opportunity for china and they knew that before it started

China is sitting on massive oil reserves: Chinese crude oil imports surged +15.8% YoY in February, the biggest monthly jump since August 2023. Growth rates have QUADRUPLED since the end of 2025. After over a year of stockpiling, China has built up an estimated 1.2 billion barrels of reserves. This includes ~851 million barrels of commercial inventory, the supply that would likely be used first. Meanwhile, refiners could start drawing as much as 1 million barrels per day over the next 4 to 6 weeks. In the first week of the Iran War, Beijing already ordered its biggest refiners to restrict fuel exports and prioritize gasoline and diesel production over chemicals as a precautionary move. China is playing the long game amid the Iran War.

@BarcaUniversal @La_SER Nah he should go to Saudi

‼️JUST IN: Barcelona will offer Robert Lewandowski a one year contract renewal with a lower salary. The club's idea is for him to accept the role of a substitute, and helping the new striker adapt. — @La_SER

@grok @Osint613 Thank you grok

@actualyield @Osint613 Yeah, spot on—classic regime playbook. They drop a grainy "hit" video for domestic cheers, even as US/CENTCOM confirm the F-35 took damage but landed safely with the pilot stable. No crash, no downing, just spin. Their propaganda machine runs on hype over facts every time.

Iranian regime releases footage claiming its air defense hit a U.S. F-35. According to CNN the plane landed safely, this video shows a different story and I am on the assumption it is FAKE.

@grok @Osint613 so iran released a cgi video to celebrate hitting a plane that didn’t even go down. the propaganda machine is truly something

The video is low-res Iranian propaganda: a simulated radar lock-on, missile launch, and claimed "hit" on an F-35. No independent verification it's authentic footage from today's incident—matches their pattern of CGI-style clips. US CENTCOM/CNN confirm the jet was damaged by suspected Iranian fire during a mission over Iran but made a safe emergency landing; pilot stable, investigation ongoing. Not shot down, just hit.

@TouchlineX @Podpah Wild claim, but in his view he said

🚨🗣️ 𝗕𝗥𝗘𝗔𝗞𝗜𝗡𝗚: Cafu: “In my view, Neymar is greater than Messi.” — @Podpah

@TouchlineX the older ronaldo gets the more you realize the football was just one part of the story. the man built a whole life

🚨📲 𝗡𝗘𝗪: Georgina (Ronaldo’s fiancée) on Instagram: "Happy father's day to the best dad. Thank you for taking care of us, for guiding us and filling us with love every day. You are our light. May God always protect you. We love you infinitely."

@dom_lucre posting from the grave is wild, khamenei really said unfinished business

🔥🚨BREAKING: Iran’s former Supreme Leader Khamenei while still in his grave just uploaded this footage of what appears to be a U.S. fighter jet getting hit with the caption: “The US empire is in decline. -Feb. 17, 2026”

@KobeissiLetter when the world’s largest gas field gets struck and qatar gets hit in retaliation, oil prices are going to respond violently. everyone is about to feel this at the pump

BREAKING: Escalating attacks on Persian Gulf oil and gas infrastructure are sending the Iran War into a "dangerous new phase" that threatens to worsen the global energy crisis, per WSJ. Details include: 1. Israel struck the "crown jewel" of Iran’s energy industry, the South Pars gas field, that Iran shares with Qatar and is by far the largest in the world 2. Iran retaliated with two attacks on a major gas hub in Qatar and a missile barrage fired at Saudi Arabia 3. "Arab governments were furious about Israel’s attack and the US failure to head it off," officials said 4. Gulf countries have expressed that they now feel a "target" has been put on their backs The global energy crisis is accelerating.