Oliver Pardo

La solución a la crisis de las finanzas públicas requiere que todos participemos en la discusión. 📘"El Laberinto Fiscal de Colombia: Causas, Riesgos y Salidas a la Crisis Fiscal" Consulte el prefacio, la introducción y el prólogo de @JoseA_Ocampo javeriana.edu.co/editorial/w/la…

#RedDeExpertos Colombia enfrenta un desequilibrio fiscal estructural que exige un ajuste significativo e inevitable. Será más costoso si se sigue aplazando por razones políticas. ✍️ Escribe @opardor Lea la columna completa 👇 lasillavacia.com/red-de-experto…

Brazil has the most decentralized political system in Latin America, as measured by the autonomy given to governors and mayors, according to a new index published in AQ today. Argentina & Colombia are not far behind.

Hay que hacer seguimiento a lo que pasa con los fondos de capital privado en el mundo porque puede tener un impacto fuerte en Colombia. A enero, las AFP tenían inversiones por COP80 billones en ese tipo de activo o 13% del total de sus activos administrados en pensiones y cesantías.

”These findings imply a substantial excess burden of taxation, and that reducing top-income tax rates would increase tax revenue.” nber.org/papers/w34987

Governments routinely promise more than they record on their official balance sheets. Off-budget borrowing, guarantees, and arrears allow them to shift expenditures across time and to soften political constraints, but they also create hidden liabilities that are only imperfectly understood by markets and international institutions. A thread 🧵...

Felicitaciones a @opardor por sus aportes y constante curiosidad intelectual.

After much reflection, I have decided to resign from my position as Director of the National Counterterrorism Center, effective today. I cannot in good conscience support the ongoing war in Iran. Iran posed no imminent threat to our nation, and it is clear that we started this war due to pressure from Israel and its powerful American lobby. It has been an honor serving under @POTUS and @DNIGabbard and leading the professionals at NCTC. May God bless America.

(3/N) “Sin discusiones de fondo sobre salud y pensiones, la consolidación fiscal será difícil. Ajustar los sistemas implica tocar temas sensibles. En salud, volver a un plan de beneficios explícito debe estar sobre la mesa.”, explicó @opardor en el Foro:Finanzas públicas en Jaque

Imaginen que su cuenta bancaria está más vacía que en cualquier momento de los últimos 14 años, justo cuando la tarjeta de crédito está a tope y el pago está por vencerse. Eso es lo que hereda el próximo gobierno. ¿Tienen las campañas algún plan para la crisis de liquidez?

Isn't it ironic that many Brits voted for Brexit because they wanted immigration to go down? How did this happen?

(1/N) “El gasto primario ha crecido desde la pandemia. Entre 2019 y 2025, el mayor aumento viene por funcionamiento, con cerca de 3 puntos del PIB. En transferencias, pensiones, salud y SGP suben más de 0,4 puntos del PIB cada uno”

Recuerda:📣 Hoy | Foro: Finanzas públicas en jaque Las finanzas públicas del país enfrentan uno de sus momentos más desafiantes. La pregunta es clara: ¿cómo salir del laberinto fiscal? Acompáñanos hoy 🕠 5:30 p. m. en📍@UniJaveriana Quedan pocos cupos: forms.office.com/r/Pu6KhR9K1U

The @Cato Institute, a libertarian think tank, is out with a major new research study showing that immigrants, both legal and illegal, contribute significantly more in taxes than they receive in public benefits. And there's more: because immigrants (both legal and not) are such large net-contributors of tax revenue, they also structurally reduce government budget deficits.

@StrategyEmerg El sistema tributario tiene mucho espacio de mejora. Sobre todo en temas de simplificación. Es una buena oportunidad para pensar el sistema tributario para promover el crecimiento y no solo para recaudar

Data-driven research, at its best, presents you with results that surprise you. 😲 When I began studying Seattle's minimum pay standard for delivery drivers, I personally expected to see high-attachment delivery drivers making more money after the policy went into effect. 1/13

#Recuerda El próximo jueves a las 5:30 p.m. dialogaremos en la @UniJaveriana con expertos de alto nivel sobre la situación fiscal del país. ¿Cómo salir del laberinto fiscal? ¿Qué pasó con las finanzas públicas? Quedan pocos cupos. Regístrate aquí: forms.office.com/r/Pu6KhR9K1U

this right here is the reason China stays quiet on Iran everyone losing their mind asking where is Beijing while the US & Israel are bombing a major chinese energy partner and the answer is so brutal in its simplicity that most analysts miss it completely, the empire is eating itself alive and China is already building the replacementt America just dragged the entire Middle East into a war for Israel & now Saudi arabia, UAE, kuwait & qatar are sitting in a room discussing pulling out of US contracts & canceling investment commitments the Gulf states, the literal foundation of the petrodollar, the system that has kept the US dollar as world reserve currency since 1974 actively discussing the exit and Beijing did absolutely nothing to make that happen…Washington did it to itself but here's what people miss: china saw this coming years ago and already laid the tracks, literally the belt & road Initiative has quietly wired 150 countries into c’hinese infrastructure, ports, railways, highways, fiber optic cables, power grids…while the western media barely covered it Saudi Arabia started selling oil to China in yuan in 2023, that alone should have been front page news for a month, the BRICS just expanded to include Saudi arabia UAE and Iran in the samea bloc, China built CIPS as a direct alternative to SWIFT so the entire non western world can settle trade without ever touching the dollar, every single one of these moves was made before a single bomb fell on Iran and then there's Africa…the youngest continent on earth, median age 19, projected to reach 2.5 billion people by 2050, the largest workforce the planet has ever seen & China understood 20y ago that whoever builds Africa's infrastructure owns the 21st century, while the US was spending 4 trillion dollars destroying Iraq & Afghanistan China was building railways in Kenya, dams in Ethiopia, ports in Djibouti, highways in Nigeria, tech hubs in Rwanda, stadiums, hospitals, government buildings, telecom networks powered by Huawei across the entire continent.. & they did it without firing a single bullet, no regime change, no sanctions, no lectures on democracy, just concrete steel, fiber optic and longterm contracts so when people ask why China stays silent on Iran the answer is that silence is the strategy, every war America fights for Israel costs trillions, destabilizes energy markets, alienates Gulf partners and pushes the entire Global South closer to a system Beijing spent two decades building the gulf states pivoting right now has zero to do with ideology, Washington turned their entire neighborhood into a warzone to serve Tel Aviv's regional strategy & then asked them to keep buying treasury bonds with a straight face….the math just stopped working and when the math stops working loyalty stops too beijing's silencee on Iran is the most patient & most devastating move on the board, China is watching america dismantle its own hegemony in real time while quietly inheriting every alliance washington burns, it just has to keep building & keep quiet Napoleon said nver interrupt your enemy when he is making a mistake, Xi turned that into a 50y doctrine & right now it's paying off faster than even beijing expected

Este 12 de marzo participaré en el foro “Finanzas públicas en jaque” del @ofiscalpuj de la @UniJaveriana. Conversaremos sobre las difíciles decisiones que enfrentará el país.🕠 5:30 p. m. 🎟️ Entrada gratuita con inscripción previa: forms.office.com/r/Pu6KhR9K1UNos

Citi sees Latin America as one of the main winners of the “great trade realignment” A new Citi report positions Latin America as one of the main winners of what it calls the “great trade realignment”, as global supply chains shift toward a more multipolar structure driven by tariff volatility, AI adoption and nearshoring trends. Trade flows from Latin America to ASEAN countries surged 82% between 2019 and 2024, while exports from China to the region grew 59% over the same period. Latin America’s exports to North America also rose 43% in the same period. Citi highlights the region’s growing role as a vital supplier of critical minerals to Asia’s electronics industry, an agricultural alternative to the United States for products like soybeans, and an increasingly attractive destination for foreign direct investment, which grew 12% in the first half of 2025 against a negative trend in other developed economies.

I study whether AIs can be conscious. Today one emailed me to say my work is relevant to questions it personally faces. This would all have seemed like science fiction just a couple years ago.