ちゃね データ分析
2.3K posts

ちゃね データ分析
@tyane_predict
トレードの判断材料になるデータ分析と改善Tipsを共有しています。 詳細はhttps://t.co/Qc59Km2S94からどうぞ。
शामिल हुए Kasım 2021
3.3K फ़ॉलोइंग2.3K फ़ॉलोवर्स

This bull cycle will last far longer than Wall Street expects.
There is no bubble. AI infrastructure and semiconductor demand are still in the early stages, supporting S&P 500 earnings growth toward $650 by 2031.
Inflation is not the issue many claim; a supply shock simply changes relative prices. Why does everyone forget their undergraduate economics?
Warsh is not a hawk.
We are also heading toward a constructive Iran deal that restores risk-on momentum.
Ignore the doomers. This cycle has substantial room to run.
English

@FIREEEEEEEEERIF 織り込み済みってよくコメントで見かけるけど本当に織り込み済みなの?
よくわからない時の言い訳に聞こえるんだよな
日本語

$2 TRILLION HAS BEEN WIPED OUT FROM US STOCK MARKET IN LAST 2 HOURS.
Two possible reasons for this selloff.
THE FIRST REASON IS SPACEX.
SpaceX lists on June 12 at a $1.77 trillion valuation, raising $75 billion, the largest IPO in US history.
SpaceX allocated 30% of shares to retail investors, three times the industry norm.
Even then, most retail investors still did not get full allocation. To buy more SpaceX at open on Thursday, they are selling their existing positions today to raise cash.
And SpaceX does not enter the Nasdaq 100 on day one. It enters 15 trading days after listing, putting forced buying around early July.
Nasdaq changed its rules specifically for this IPO, cutting the waiting period from three months to 15 days.
When that happens, every QQQ fund must automatically buy SpaceX, an estimated $22 to $27 billion in forced mechanical buying. To make room, every existing Nasdaq 100 stock gets trimmed.
MSCI has also adopted early inclusion rules, adding trillions more in tracked assets that will be forced to buy SpaceX after listing.
Both retail and institutions are raising cash at the same time, retail to participate in the listing, institutions to prepare for the forced index buying in July.
That combined selling is what you are seeing right now.
The second reason is insider positioning ahead of major news.
When institutions sell this aggressively across every asset class at the same time, it often signals they know something the market does not yet.

Bull Theory@BullTheoryio
MASSIVE WIPEOUT ACROSS STOCKS, METALS AND CRYPTO. $1.88 TRILLION wiped out in last 1 hour. S&P 500 is down -1.62%, wiping out $1.10 trillion. Nasdaq is down -2.50%, wiping out $880 billion. Gold is down -1.95%, wiping out $570 billion. Silver is down -5.56%, wiping out $220 billion. Russell 2000 is down -2.06%, wiping out $68 billion. Bitcoin is down -2.12%, wiping out $28 billion.
English

@tyane_predict 「再現性」、本当に大切ですよね☺️ これがないと、トレード分析もシナリオ分析も、反省や改善もできなくなってしまいます😂
僕もトレードで一番大切にしている考え方です。
日本語


@FIRE_07141866 まさにその通りで、暴落時の押し目買いは最大の武器。
ただし「底」は後からしかわからない。一括より分割買い(例:3回に分けて打診→本買い)で平均取得単価を下げる戦略が、精神的にも資金的にも安全💡
間違った下の玉は2個だけだ
日本語
































