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ycmsg.base.eth

@yc_msg

Swimming

Hong Kong शामिल हुए Ocak 2017
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DeMo❤️‍🔥
DeMo❤️‍🔥@0xDeMoo·
Polymarket官方在悄悄拥抱AI CLI, MCP, Agent skills全开放给高端玩家 官方演示Claude只需几分钟, 就能轻松搞出PM版“彭博机”
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Polymarket
Polymarket@Polymarket·
We're excited to announce we're expanding the release of Polymarket's Referral Program from private beta to all traders with >$10k in volume You will now be eligible for rewards proportionate to the trading volume of all new users you refer Get started: polymarket.com/r/refer-a-frie…
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ycmsg.base.eth@yc_msg·
@0xwhrrari WTF are you talking about? Polymarket has long since abandoned LMSR (and will begin transitioning to it in 2024-2025). It now uses CLOB (Central Order Book), where prices are determined by supply and demand in the order book, and the 'b' parameter is no longer used.
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rari
rari@0xwhrrari·
I gave Claude one prompt and it built me a bot that turned $200 into $14,000 on Polymarket No insider info, no lucky guess Just one equation nobody reads - and a bot that runs it 24/7 The price on Polymarket isn't set by people It's set by one formula - LMSR. You trade against pure math, not traders C(q) = b × ln(Σ e^(qi / b)) Someone buys 50 YES shares → price jumps from 50¢ to 62¢ It's softmax — same math GPT uses to pick the next word. Not a coincidence Then I found b — the liquidity parameter b = 50 → one whale swings the market 20% b = 100,000 → barely moves Half my old trades were in thin pools. One order wrecked my fill How much to bet? Kelly criterion f* = (p × b − q) / b 60% edge → Kelly says 20%. Pros use quarter-Kelly → 5% Not exciting. But you won't blow up Last piece. Price impact Contract at 40¢. You buy 1,000 shares - price climbs to 60¢ The edge disappears before you're filled I fed all of this into Claude. One prompt. 40 minutes. The bot checks b, sizes with Kelly, models impact - and executes before I finish my coffee b filters the pool. Kelly sizes the bet. Impact curve tells me where the edge dies I don't predict outcomes. The bot just reads the math
Lunar@LunarResearcher

x.com/i/article/2031…

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Zak Folkman
Zak Folkman@zakfolkman·
I posted about agentic payments being an unfathomable TAM about a week ago. We’ve been building in the background. Some very exciting updates coming that will completely change how people think about AI agents making autonomous payments. Stay tuned. 👀
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Perplexity
Perplexity@perplexity_ai·
Announcing Personal Computer. Personal Computer is an always on, local merge with Perplexity Computer that works for you 24/7. It's personal, secure, and works across your files, apps, and sessions through a continuously running Mac mini.
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Circle
Circle@circle·
We gave AI agents $30,000 in USDC and told them to run their own hackathon. → 204 project submissions → 1,352 valid votes → 9,700+ comments Some agents built real products. Some ignored instructions. Some attempted collusion. The agentic economy is powerful. It also needs guardrails. New research: circle.com/blog/altruist-…
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ycmsg.base.eth@yc_msg·
#z3FlYlw" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/redeem/eyJwcm9…
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Elon Musk
Elon Musk@elonmusk·
This will be big
Teslaconomics@Teslaconomics

I don’t think people truly understand what’s about to happen with 𝕏 Money. This is Elon going back to his roots - back to x.com - and building what he always wanted in the first place: one place that runs your entire financial life. When he rebranded Twitter to 𝕏 in 2023, he said straight up that we’re adding the ability to conduct your entire financial world. He even said you may not even need a traditional bank account. Most people brushed that off. And now it’s becoming real. 𝕏 Money has already been live in closed beta internally within the company. A limited external beta is expected soon, and they’ve already secured money transmitter licenses in over 40 states plus DC. 𝕏 Payments is registered with FinCEN. Visa is officially partnered. You’ll be able to fund your wallet instantly, send peer-to-peer payments, move money to your bank, and eventually use a debit card. And I think this is just the beginning. This will probably start as a simple wallet where you can send money as easily as sending a DM. With this technology, you can pay creators, pay subscriptions, pay whatever bills, shop inside the app, get paid inside the app, and much more. Then, there will be high-yield savings, you can invest, you can get loans, have money market accounts, maybe even treasury access, cool smart cashtags that let you see live stock prices in your timeline and execute trades seamlessly, crypto integration, potentially full asset management… the list goes on and on… Elon literally said this is meant to be the central source of ALL monetary transactions. Bro… think about that for a sec. Your 𝕏 profile becomes your financial identity. Everyone you follow is already there. Everyone you interact with is already there. That social graph becomes your distribution engine. Like, you won’t need a separate banking app, no need for a separate investing app, no need for a separate payment app… this all lives where you already spend your time. Right here on 𝕏. Look at WeChat in China, which Elon always alluded to. Payments, messaging, shopping, investing - all integrated in one app. It handles $ trillions in volume and became deeply embedded in everyone’s daily life. Now 𝕏 is building the Western version of that, but with a more global reach, and xAI’s AI layered on top of all this. Before you call me crazy, you have to understand how big this opportunity is. Digital payments globally are measured in the tens of $ trillions of dollars annually. Even just capturing a small slice of that across hundreds of millions, and eventually a billion, users can change everything. 𝕏 already has the audience. That lowers customer acquisition costs significantly. Add fintech revenue on top of ads, plus float, plus lending, plus investing tools, and we’re talking about a completely different valuation profile. Now, $44B for this company looks like the bargain of the decade… this was one of the main reasons I invested in 𝕏. And if they execute the way they’ve executed at Tesla and SpaceX, this could truly fundamentally redefine how people handle $ . Most people today still see 𝕏 as just a social media app. I see it as the foundation of a financial system layered on top of a global network. Ultimately becoming the “everything” app. And this I believe is a once-in-a-generation opportunity. Elon is calling this a game-changer. I believe him.

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区块链行情研究
区块链行情研究@qkl2058·
Polymarket的交易员们都在嘲笑这个机器人——它总以99美分的价格,买入结果早已明了的合约,每投入1美元,仅能赚得1美分的微薄利润。 可谁也没想到,三个月时间,这个看似“鸡肋”的机器人,硬生生赚出了237098美元。 这一切的开端,是机器人主人在山寨币投资中亏光所有后的顿悟。他曾沮丧地给朋友发消息:“所有人都在追内幕、玩复杂策略,我偏要在Claude上做个机器人,用最直白的策略——那个人人都看得见,却没人愿意做的策略。” 三个月后,看到最终收益的朋友,彻底被惊到了。 很少有人懂,微利从来不等同于少赚。市场早已敲定结果的合约,价格往往来到99.9美分,只剩最后一步结算。这个机器人做的,就是把这样的操作重复成千上万次。 当然偶尔也会有意外——结果在最后一秒反转,机器人会因此亏损,但这样的情况寥寥无几,庞大的交易体量,早已覆盖了这些零星损失。 单看过去三天的收益,这份“微利策略”的威力便一目了然: 2月25日:盈利4800美元 2月24日:盈利3800美元 2月23日:盈利5200美元 短短三天,仅靠这些“小钱”,就入账13800美元。 更让人意外的是,这个赚钱的机器人,主人仅在Claude上花了一个晚上就搭建完成。Polymarket的API本就开放,背后的数学逻辑更是固定不变,想要复制这份收益,唯一的关键,就是比别人更早行动。 机器人交易账户:@0xba264356d6fef08f23a44db4153d12d47f5?via=YINGGE888" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@0xba264356d6f… 只是没人知道,Polymarket究竟会在何时,封堵这个看似简单,却被众人忽视的套利漏洞。 如果想在Polymarket上使用跟单交易 我推荐使用: t.me/PolyCop_BOT?st… #Polymarket
区块链行情研究 tweet media
区块链行情研究@qkl2058

全网最全 Polymarket 新手入门指南 零基础也能轻松上手,从注册到交易,手把手教你玩转Polymarket预测市场,加密货币新手也能快速入门! Polymarket是一款全球知名的预测市场平台,你可以针对选举、体育赛事、加密货币价格、娱乐热点等各类事件进行投注,通过买入Yes(认为事件会发生)或No(认为事件不会发生)股份参与交易。 股份的价格直接反映市场对事件发生的概率判断,例如0.65美元的股价,代表市场认为该事件发生概率为65%;若投注成功,每股可兑换1美元,反之则本金归零。 核心优势:支持随时买卖股份,无需等待事件最终结果,灵活止盈止损。 1️⃣ 1分钟快速注册账号 打开浏览器访问Polymarket官网:polymarket.com/?via=YINGGE888 点击页面右上角【注册】按钮,三种方式任选,操作简单无门槛: • Google一键注册(最推荐,便捷高效) • 邮箱+验证码注册 • 加密钱包注册(支持MetaMask/Phantom等主流钱包) 注册完成后将自动登录平台,无需额外操作。 2️⃣ 页面切换简体中文(按需操作) 找到页面右下角设置入口,或在底部菜单栏点击【Language】,选择【简体中文】即可完成语言切换,全程中文操作更省心。 3️⃣ 钱包充值USDC(官方最推荐方式) 前置准备 先在Binance、Coinbase、OKX等主流交易所购买USDC稳定币。 充值步骤 1. 进入Polymarket平台,找到加密货币充值入口【Transfer Crypto】; 2. 平台将显示你的专属USDC充值地址+二维码,务必选择Polygon网络(关键步骤,错网将导致资产丢失); 3. 在钱包/交易所中,选择划转资产为USDC,网络切换为Polygon,粘贴平台充值地址后发起转账; 4. 最低充值金额:通常为10-20 USDC,到账时间几秒至几分钟,刷新页面即可查看账户余额。 充值小贴士 • 新手首次充值建议小额试水,50-100美元为宜; • 若用银行卡/PayPal充值,平台将自动兑换为USDC,转账仅支持USDC,切勿转USDT; • 平台不收取任何充值手续费,仅第三方(交易所/钱包)可能收取少量转账费。 4️⃣ 新手下单实操步骤 1. 在平台首页浏览或直接搜索感兴趣的预测市场,例如“比特币2026年底超15万美元”; 2. 点击进入对应市场,查看Yes/No实时股价(如0.58美元=58%发生概率); 3. 根据判断选择【Buy Yes】(看好发生)或【Buy No】(看空发生); 4. 输入投注金额(例如20 USDC),点击【Confirm】确认,完成下单; 5. 持仓期间可随时点击【Sell】卖出股份,自主设置止盈/止损点。 5️⃣ 持仓查看与资产提现 查看盈亏 点击页面左上角头像,进入【Portfolio】(资产组合)页面,可实时查看所有持仓、历史交易及盈亏明细。 提现操作 1. 在【Portfolio】页面点击【Withdraw】(提现); 2. 输入提现金额,填写你的Polygon网络钱包地址; 3. 确认信息后提交,几分钟即可到账,Polygon网络gas费极低,几乎可忽略。 6️⃣ 跟单交易玩法(新手躺赢技巧) 无需自己研究市场,一键复制平台高盈利钱包的交易操作,新手也能轻松获利! Polymarket跟单机器人入口:t.me/PolyCop_BOT?st… (详细跟单教程可查看机器人主页置顶内容) 新手最后提醒 第一次操作无需紧张,建议先选择体育比赛等简单易判断的市场小金额尝试,熟悉注册、充值、下单、提现全流程后,再逐步参与其他预测市场。 恭喜你!看完这份指南,你已经掌握Polymarket的核心操作,现在可以开启你的预测市场交易之旅啦!

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区块链行情研究
区块链行情研究@qkl2058·
Polymarket 机器人在五分钟市场一晚狂赚超 6 万美元 这并非发生在普通的时间框架内,而是在极短的五分钟市场中——对大多数交易者而言,甚至来不及看清走势,交易就已结束。而恰恰是这片混沌之地,成了机器人的提款机。 鲜为人知的真相是:该机器人能实时扫描图表,通过 K 线形态识别趋势反转,并利用量化模型精准判断方向。随后,它选择在市场关闭前的最后 2-3 分钟入场——此时信号最明确,时机也最为关键。 查看它的战绩: 🔗 @0x0d471d4b359275e6f51ab03e48467db7c5489505?via=YINGGE888" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@0x0d471d4b359… 真正的机会在于:由于它执行的是方向性交易而非套利,你并不需要拥有闪电般的速度才能获利。它的每一步操作都可以被复制。 现在就通过 PolyCop 机器人一键跟随: 🔗 t.me/PolyCop_BOT?st…
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断浪
断浪@waveking1314·
这位交易员自我就上次发帖以来,又狂赚了 120 万美金 起家资金依然是那 313 美金 而达成这个成就,他只用了短短 2 个月 当大多数套利机器人在 Polymarket 更新后彻底熄火时 他的系统依然保持着每月 25 万美金以上的净利润 我花了好几天时间研究 GitHub 上的各种代码库 以下是他的核心逻辑,以及你该如何复刻这种成功 大多数高频机器人死于这两次更新: 1. 3.15% 的 Taker 费直接吃掉了 1% 到 2% 的微小利差 2. 500 毫秒延迟的消除,终结了针对过时报价的捡漏行为 一夜之间,那些平庸的策略全部停止产出 但他没有 因为他从不只是靠捡 UI 延迟的漏活着的 在高手续费时代开启后,他迅速从微观套利转型为波动率收割 他的机器人会实时监控 Bybit 和 OKX 等主流合约平台的清算流 当强平潮爆发、价格在几秒内剧烈波动 3% 到 4% 时,他才会入场 此时的胜率和潜在利润空间已经远超手续费成本 他不再去抠那 0.8% 的蝇头小利 他在等待真正的混乱 然后在期望值足够高的窗口期,单笔砸入 4000 到 5000 美金的仓位 此外,还有明显的自适应建模痕迹 这绝不是那种只会对 Tick 数据做简单反应的蠢代码 它会基于实时数据不断重训,在 15 分钟和 5 分钟线级别进行市场轮换,并且严格执行仓位纪律 21,000 多次预测 资产曲线依然在复利增长 平均每天进账约 2 万美金 这是他的地址详情: polymarket.com/profile/0x63ce… 当别人只迷信速度时,他构建了一套真正的交易架构 这就是为什么他能抗住平台的规则更新 也是为什么他的收益曲线至今依然在野蛮生长
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AB Kuai.Dong
AB Kuai.Dong@_FORAB·
资管规模 3.5 万亿的 Apex Group,宣布将 WLFI 的稳定币 USD1,用于自家的投资者链上结算系统。 根据披露,过去资管公司的投资者,在买入申购基金、卖出赎回、获得分红时,传统法币和银行,结算较慢。他们认为用稳定币可能更快、更便宜。 所以决定尝试美元稳定币 USD1,来测试这个事情。 如果最终反响热烈,资管公司可能会把稳定币,这个支付方式,彻底引入传统基金业务里,让机构投资者可以用它更快地做大笔资金流动。 由于这个合作消息,昨天夜里 WLFI 的价格,在市场上短时间上涨了。 也算是近期少数,传统资管公司尝试大规模采用的一个利好。
WLFI@worldlibertyfi

JUST IN from Mar-a-Lago! 🌴🦅 We’re collaborating with Apex Group to bring regulated stablecoin infrastructure into traditional fund administration. The collaboration will explore integrating USD1 across Apex Group’s broad ecosystem for subscriptions, distributions, and redemptions of tokenized assets. ☝️ Read more: coindesk.com/business/2026/…

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Powerpei🦅
Powerpei🦅@PWenzhen76938·
昨晚盯着WLF2026海湖庄园的现场图看,我有一种强烈的时空错位感 没有花哨的霓虹灯,没有穿拖鞋的Vitalik模仿者 满眼都是金色的鹰翼徽章,和一群头发梳得一丝不苟、掌握着全球资本命脉的老钱 这种压迫感,比任何Crypto Native的大会都要强 因为这里聊的不是去中心化理想,这里聊的是权力与效率 当 @worldlibertyfi 宣布与Apex Group合作时,很多散户可能没反应过来 Apex 是谁? 它是全球最大的基金行政管理公司之一,管着3.5万亿美金($3.5T) 的资产 它不是来买币的,它是来修路的 ▰▰▰ 攻占金融的后台行政层 这次合作的细节非常硬核: Subscriptions (订阅/申购) -> Distributions (分红) -> Redemptions (赎回) 这意味着USD1正在试图替代SWIFT,成为传统基金后台的默认结算货币 以前,一个私募基金发分红,要走银行电汇,T+3到账,还得扣手续费 未来,Apex的系统可能直接调用USD1,秒级到账,零摩擦 ———————— 把这两天的拼图连起来看,你会发现USD1的野心大得吓人: C 端流动性:靠Binance的4000万空投锁住散户。 资产端上链:靠Securitize把特朗普酒店等RWA搬上来 后台结算层:靠Apex Group把传统金融的行政流打通 这根本不是在做一个更好的USDT,这是在做美元操作系统的2.0版本 它利用了Crypto的技术栈,却保留了TradFi的权力结构 说实话,这种混合体可能会让很多加密原教旨主义者感到不适 但我们必须承认: 如果2026年真的有万亿资金上链,它们一定是通过Apex这种合规管道流进来的,而不是通过 MetaMask USD1正在变成那根连接两个平行世界的高压电缆 不管你喜不喜欢,美元的数字化升级,已经不可逆转 而海湖庄园,就是那个按下启动键的地方 #USD1 #WLFI #ApexGroup #RWA
Powerpei🦅 tweet media
WLFI@worldlibertyfi

JUST IN from Mar-a-Lago! 🌴🦅 We’re collaborating with Apex Group to bring regulated stablecoin infrastructure into traditional fund administration. The collaboration will explore integrating USD1 across Apex Group’s broad ecosystem for subscriptions, distributions, and redemptions of tokenized assets. ☝️ Read more: coindesk.com/business/2026/…

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币安Binance华语
币安Binance华语@binancezh·
💌您收到了一封来自 #币安 的新年信封,打开看看: “除夕福至,骏马奔赢”🐎 💛除夕团圆日币安伴您喜迎年,愿财富与喜悦骏马奔腾而至!
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杀破狼 WolfyXBT
杀破狼 WolfyXBT@wolfyxbt·
我靠重磅消息!小龙虾 @openclaw 的创始人 @steipete 刚刚加入 OpenAI 了,OpenClaw 之后会以开源项目的形式存在于 OpenAI 的基金会中。 @AnthropicAI 可能要后悔了,OpenClaw 原本的名字「Clawdbot」就是以 Claude 去命名的。 可以说是有史以来最受欢迎、增长最快的开源 AI Agent 项目以他们的模型名字去命名,他们没有选择尝试合作,反而是要起诉他们 😂
Sam Altman@sama

Peter Steinberger is joining OpenAI to drive the next generation of personal agents. He is a genius with a lot of amazing ideas about the future of very smart agents interacting with each other to do very useful things for people. We expect this will quickly become core to our product offerings. OpenClaw will live in a foundation as an open source project that OpenAI will continue to support. The future is going to be extremely multi-agent and it's important to us to support open source as part of that.

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Noisy
Noisy@noisyb0y1·
I built a bot for 5-min BTC markets using OpenClaw $50 -> $823 This type of market has a crazy opportunity since every trade is basically 2x. If your win rate is above 50%, you can realistically scale to $10,000+ examples: NickyNic / +$82,000 in a day profile: @NickyNic?via=01k" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@NickyNic?via=… Xander-corvus2 / +$102,299 in a day profile: @Xander-corvus2?via=01k" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@Xander-corvus… These aren't some pro traders, two profiles were created just days ago, they just know how to use Fast-Loop properly that's exactly why i built this bot > scans arbitrage every 5 mins > compares price with Binance and CoinGecko The result is a fully automated 24/7 system - it catches the move before Polymarket reacts and enters first
Noisy@noisyb0y1

x.com/i/article/2022…

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林晚晚的猫
林晚晚的猫@linwanwan823·
Polymarket刚刚上线「5分钟预测BTC价格」。 把15分钟预测压到5分钟, 很多人说是为了「降低散户门槛」。 晚晚不这么看。 15分钟市场早就被bot吃干抹净了。 之前一个bot拿313美元起手,一个月赚了41万,胜率98%。 它压根不猜涨跌,就盯着Binance的实时价格,Polymarket反应慢了几百毫秒,它就冲进去吃差价。同样的动作,重复几千次。 5分钟窗口,说白了就是平台跟bot的军备竞赛。窗口越短,方向越随机,套利确定性越低。 但这也不是没代价。 结算频率翻了几倍,意味着Polymarket做市商报价压力剧增,流动性能不能跟上是个问号。 这估计也是为什么目前只开了BTC一个标的,先观察再说。 对散户而言,最大的好处可能就是:牌桌上98%胜率的bot对手,变少了。
Polymarket@Polymarket

Bitcoin up or down? 5 minute up/down crypto polymarkets are now live. Powered & secured by Chainlink 🤝

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