2025
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This week ahead is a BIG week for all #FNMA & #FMCC shareholders: April29 the voting of the new FEDERAL CHAIR and April30 $FNMA earning report. Does that mean this week Dear President Trump @POTUS will have big annoucement on the twins? @SecScottBessent and @howardlutnick ?
Horseman Country@HorsemanCountry
$FNMA $FMCC Tune in Wednesday, April 29! Bullish week ahead for Fannie Mae & Freddie Mac shareholders. GLTA. barrons.com/articles/fed-k…
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@HorsemanCountry @SnagsLewis1978 @ArgueAlone Don’t you think that’s just simple facts? How many years have we been optimistic? All milestones passed yet zero actions happened, and F2 investor keep pumping up excuses for a next timing
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$FNMA $FMCC
This is why Warsh is key in the path forward for Fannie Mae & Freddie Mac.
Listen to Warsh (7/13/25) & Bessent (9/24/25). A pro rate cut Fed Chair is the lynchpin.
Yes. I know. The administration created shareholder expectations it hasn’t YET delivered on.
But the F2 situation is fluid & nuanced. Timing is everything. Trump knows this better than anyone.
Executing under optimum conditions behooves all of us...shareholders...home buyers...and yes, the U.S. government.
The countdown to Warsh's confirmation is on. GLTA.
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@SnagsLewis1978 @HorsemanCountry @ArgueAlone That’s all excuses stubborned F2 investors found for themselves
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@HorsemanCountry @ArgueAlone So basically, in a nutshell, BESSENT flat out, said they can’t do the IPO until they get the rates under control lower? $FNMA
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Rumor: Nvidia will outsource some work on next-gen Feynman GPUs to Intel Foundry in 2028, mainly production of I/O dies and advanced packaging, media report, with Nvidia to use either Intel 18A or 14A for the I/O dies and EMIB packaging for 25% of Feynman, while 75% use TSMC’s CoWoS. TSMC will make all GPU dies. The story also reiterates the rumored entry-level Apple M-series chips to be made at Intel Foundry. $NVDA $INTC $TSM #semiconductors digitimes.com.tw/tech/dt/n/shwn…
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@howardlutnick you said "Fannie/Freddie IPO would happen "sooner" than people think" ... WRONG HOWARD !
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沒有。 不是技術上做不到,是Intel 選擇不做。
現況 - NAND:2025 年全部賣給 SK Hynix,大連工廠、IP、研發全部清掉 - DRAM:幾十年前就退出了,當年記憶體變成低毛利商品,Intel 果斷走人 那現在呢?
Intel 現在的能力是邏輯晶圓(CPU、GPU、Foundry),不是記憶體。 - 18A(~1.8nm)量產中,RibbonFET + PowerVia 這是他們的驕傲 - 先進封裝 EMIB/EMBI 很強 - 但記憶體?零。
技術上能做嗎? 理論上可以。Intel 的 process R&D 還是很強的。但: 1. 要花很多錢:重建記憶體產能是千億美元等級的投資 2. 時間要很久:良率、學習曲線要追上 Micron/SK Hynix/Samsung 需要 5-10 年 3. 毛利率太低:除了 HBM,記憶體是慘烈的景氣循環生意
Elon 說記憶體是瓶頸 Elon 說的是對的——記憶體缺貨大家都看得到。但 Intel 選擇不淌這灘混水。
「我們當年就是從記憶體起家的,1970 年代。後來它變成commodity,我們就走人了。現在再回去?不如把邏輯技術搞回領先。」
Intel 現在沒有能力(沒有產線)、沒有計劃(戰略放棄)、也不想(毛利太低)。 他們 all-in 18A + Foundry,這是他們的赌博。
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你們只看到 Intel 握手,沒看到後面那句話
是啦,Elon 跟 Intel 握手了,14A,大家都知道。Old news。
但你們有沒有讀進去後面那句?
Elon 說:「我們預期會撞上產能牆——在邏輯晶片方面,但尤其在記憶體方面。」
尤其!在記憶體方面。
這不是順便一提。這是一個在蓋 $25B Terafab、自己要做晶片的人,承認說:幹,記憶體比邏輯更缺。
而且他講這句不是只講 Terafab 的 CPU/GPU。他讲的是整個記憶體供應鏈。邏輯可以找 Intel 救,記憶體呢?找誰?台積電沒空,三星忙著賺自己的錢。
同一場 call,另一個消息你們也漏了——Samsung 剛把給 Tesla 的 GDDR6 DRAM 供應量拉到 四倍。不是 40%,是 four times。從其他產線調過來的。
所以劇本很清楚:
Tesla 自己要蓋 fab,結果發現記憶體比邏輯更缺。14A 是 headline,但 headline 後面的訊號是——連 $1.4T 的公司都買不到夠多的記憶體,才要自己蓋。
這不是「Intel 驗證」的故事。這是「超市沒菜了,只好自己種」的故事。
2344 現在 87.8 塊,2408 今天 208 塊跌 5%。但當 Elon Musk 在電話上說「記憶體會撞牆」的時候,那個牆的另一端,站著的就是這些現在沒人要的記憶體廠。
晶片短缺你看得到。
記憶體短缺你看不到,直到短缺發生。
你說Alpha在哪?

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@ErDkLive @Amank1412 I can’t follow step 2 (c), cos(kx) part, should we convert cos(kx) to something like exp(ikx) and exp(-ikx)?
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Intel CEO Lip Bu Tan & CFO David Zinsner @ Q1 Earnings Call
> Massive increase in CPU demand (due to increase in AI CPU-GPU ratio)
> Good news for x86. Great news for Intel. Very strong demand for Xeons.
> Coral Rapids accelerated.
> Intel 4/3, 18A ahead of internal projections. Excellent execution.
> Intel 7, 3 & 18A more wafer starts.
> 18A-P, 14A external customer engagement. Mostly in 2026H2.
> 14A progress outpacing 18A (at similar timelines).
> PDKs shipped to multiple customers (14A 0.9 almost ready).
> 18A ramp up excellent. PTL volume will be 6x (600%) in Q2.
> Terafab (SpaceX+xAI+Tesla) deal in the works. Will refactor process.
> Advanced Packaging... (usual stuff)
> Intel sharing 14A process technology with Terafab? Lip-bu didn't give direct answer (deflected the question).
Here's the official response: "Intel joined the Terafab project as a strategic partner alongside SpaceX, xAI, and Tesla. Intel’s ability to design, fabricate, and package ultra-high-performance chips at scale will help accelerate efforts to refactor silicon fab technology." (sic)
> Lip-Bu: Intel is fundamentally a different company today.
100%. Congrats Lip-Bu Tan. Man of the year!!!
Presentation (PDF):
tinyurl.com/wdtkzekh
Full Report:
intc.com/news-events/pr…
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