Methuselah

@livejames11920 Thank you. I weary of seeing people pray in one breath, and celebrate a massacre with the next.

Join me in praying for God’s comfort, healing, protection, and justice for so many humans in the Levant. twitter.com/i/spaces/1PJqr…

@livejames11920 @academic_la Thank you for the kind words. I have said in the past that I am not a closet atheist, but perhaps I am a closet skeptic to a degree. Coming out of that closet has been hard.

@EcdoPrep @academic_la Thank you for sharing a counterpoint. I appreciate your credibility and candor. As a student of biblical languages and exegesis, I know that scholarly debates are typically hearty and substantive. It’s easy to cherry-pick, esp online. So I am encouraged by your voice here.

On this Passover its important to remember two things, the story of the exodus from Egypt and the suffering of the Israelites is completely made up. The suffering of the Palestinians today is real. We were never slaves in Egypt, but we enslave others today. חג שמח!

@imkharn @nobulart How did you generate this visualization? I love it.

@nobulart I am trying to find a more simple explanation of your map. So is the redness of any given point the average terrain roughness of a series of circles coming out from that point? Or is there more nuance?

Happy to. If you want a book on the "other side" of the argument, as to why Joseph may have been more or less historical, I might suggest "Origins of the Hebrews: New Evidence of Israelites in Egypt from Joseph to the Exodus" by Douglas Petrovich. My personal view is that Joseph was likely real, but the account of the Exodus was largely inflated. amazon.com/Origins-Hebrew…

@EcdoPrep @academic_la Thank you for sharing this resource with me!

@livejames11920 @academic_la "Who were the Early Israelites and where did they come from" by Dever describes this in the first couple chapters. He is actually fairly sympathetic to the Biblical narrative, but accepts when he cannot square it with archaeology. amazon.com/Were-Early-Isr…

@EcdoPrep @academic_la Thank you for sharing this perspective. What scholarly sources would you cite to for this claim?

I don't know his rationale. I think the entry to Egypt is plausible (i.e. Joseph may have been real enough), but the cities referenced in Joshua's conquest did not exist until some centuries after the purported exodus. Kind of like a modern-day American writer not knowing Chicago is a modern city, and stating the Native Americans were driven out of Chicago.

@academic_la Shaiel, I completely agree that Palestinians are suffering. Regarding the made-up-ness of the Exodus, I don’t want to debate you on that. Just curious, why do you believe it was made up?

I am sympathetic to the prepper community, but I don't think most people are ready for how mind-bending the ECDO cataclysm is. Say you have a boat or a raft and intend to float for a bit. Not a bad idea. But anything more than ~60ft of inundation will crush all of your canned food should you ever make it back. Consider paths to high ground. If you must stay, flexible packaging (i.e. plastic pouches) will equilibrate pressure internally vs externally and might actually make it.

@zachariaspro Thank you for your work. Though alarming in general, the "lunisolar gatekeeping" actually gives me some peace of mind. Most of the time , the risk of a flip are very low- there are a few specific windows to watch in the spring and fall, but not more.

Appreciate everyone's patience! Going through some significant life changes the past several weeks. Nevertheless, here's a status update on the evolving polar motion research: -- PAPERS 1-3: CONFIRMED BY THREE MONTHS OF FRESH DATA -- The three foundational papers (pinned) remain unrefuted by subsequent verified IERS observations through March 26, 2026. Wobble Extinction (Paper 1): Chandler and Annual wobbles remain effectively extinct. The coupling proxy η continued its systematic decline: 2021: 15.8% 2022: 12.8% 2023: 8.8% 2024: 4.8% 2025: 1.8% The system is now below the 2.0% complete failure boundary established in Paper 3. Nothing comparable appears in 180 years of systematic observation. Directional Forcing (Paper 2): The five-method convergent bearing of 75.4° ± 3.4° continues to describe secular drift. Since December 27, the pole has displaced 81 mas over 89 days at net bearing 273°, tracking along the ~75°W attractor corridor. Month-to-month variation reflects orbital curvature, but the net secular trend remains locked to the predicted bearing. Transfer Function Failure (Paper 3): Seasonal forcing continues unabated. Wobble response does not recover. The transfer function remains in failure. I still see this as annually modulated true polar wander (AM-TPW). -- PAPER 4: NEW DISCOVERIES (coming soon) -- Paper 4 introduces the lunisolar torque null cycle, the bistability framework (State 1 / State 2), and Monte Carlo modeling. Lunisolar Torque Null Cycle = Confirmed: The core discovery that the ~14-day lunisolar null cycle has become a visible modulator of polar motion is confirmed by March data. When Sun and Moon approach the celestial equator, gravitational torque on the equatorial bulge minimizes, creating windows where the LLSVP attractor can influence pole trajectory. March 4 null: pole at 0.61 mas/day; deceleration consistent with reduced restoring torque. March 19 deep null (Sun and Moon both near δ = 0°, spring equinox): 0.87 mas/day. Post-null (March 22–26): speed rose to 1.47 mas/day as seasonal forcing resumed. This deceleration-during / acceleration-after pattern was predicted by the gravitational gating framework and matches signatures documented for earlier hooks. The null calendar, verified against independent orbital calculations to ±1 day, successfully forecast when these modulations would occur. If the wobble buffer were intact, torque nulls would produce no observable signature. The forecasting ability itself is evidence of transfer function failure. Through the observed period, consecutive null events produced directional alignment toward the ~75°W attractor axis at rates far exceeding random expectation: 3–4 consecutive aligned hooks at odds exceeding 1 in 8,000 (~3.2σ). Bistability Framework = Not Falsified: The thesis that Earth's rotational system possesses AT LEAST two competing equilibria remains the most parsimonious explanation for the observed dynamics: systematic directional preference toward ~75°W, modulated by lunisolar cycles, in a system where the historical restoring mechanism has collapsed by 98%. The two-state capture-recovery behavior documented in January–February persisted through the March null windows. What the data shows is that the energy barrier between State 1 and State 2 is higher than initially estimated at η ≈ 2%. The system has residual stability mechanisms that the coupling proxy alone does not fully capture. This is expected though.. the coupling proxy was always a lower-bound diagnostic, not a complete description of system stability. Monte Carlo Trigger Modeling; Model Limitations Identified: The MC ensemble predicted high trigger probability within the March null windows. The pole traversed both deep nulls without catastrophic response. March 4 produced 3.1 mas of displacement; March 19 produced 4.3 mas. These are detectable effects that confirm the lunisolar modulation, but they are modulations, not triggers. I have stated repeatedly that I could not rule out a spring event but that it was not the most likely outcome. The MC model was an exploratory tool testing the gravitational gating hypothesis under extreme assumptions. Its value was in identifying the mechanism (torque null gating) (which is confirmed) not in the specific trigger timeline. Two specific model limitations are now clear: CSI scaling from a single calibration event was insufficient for extrapolation, and the critical coupling threshold η_c was set too low, missing residual stabilization mechanisms the proxy doesn't capture. The mechanism is validated. The short end of the timeline did not validate. Obviously this is a good thing lol. But ultimately changes nothing about the previously established research. -- WHERE WE ARE -- Based on verified IERS data through March 26, 2026, the wobble remains functionally absent at η ≈ 2% of baseline. Secular drift is elevated (0.91 mas/day mean since December) but not in exponential acceleration. The lunisolar null cycle is a confirmed, forecasted modulator of polar motion: a genuine new discovery. Directional forcing toward ~75°W persists. The pole continues to trace a reduced annual-like orbit, suggesting incoherent forcing maintains some orbital structure without coherent Chandler/Annual modes. -- WHAT THIS RESEARCH HAS ESTABLISHED-- Earth's rotational physics have changed. The Chandler and Annual wobbles, stable within ±30% for 180 years, have collapsed by 97-98%. The transfer function has failed. Five independent methods converge on directional forcing toward ~75°W. The lunisolar torque null cycle, invisible throughout the entire historical record, now produces demonstrable effects on polar motion. These are measurements from the most precisely observed geophysical parameter in existence, using publicly available authoritative data. The question was never whether the physics changed. They did. The question is timescale, and that remains genuinely open. What I know is that the system is in a state it has never been in during the instrumental record, and the dynamics governing it are measurably different from anything that came before. The research continues.

@Fulguritics The farside predictions seem to change drastically from day to day- I do not understand why.

Shit's about to hit the fan: Central meridian stationary superposed separatrix Earth-facing coronal hole, solar wind proton amd electron density ramping, and an immense number of farside-nearside active areas, with an 11-fold beta-gamma-delta AR at SE-central meridian boundary of X-line SE latitude partition of CH.

@one_indeed @EthicalSkeptic Perhaps. Right now IDK if a CME or the Dzahibekov flip will take out the grid first.

@EcdoPrep @EthicalSkeptic The thing is, by the time the flip happens, the earth mag field will be worthless, already down ~25% with current movement, a minor solar flare will short out everything, and cars won't work unless pre-1960.

One of the challenges in (re)-establishing agriculture post-ECDO flip is the change in latitude, which affects the types of crops that will be best suited to a region. Assuming a future Np' as described to @EthicalSkeptic , these are the lines which retain their same latitude, albeit on the other hemisphere. Two U.S. regions are both near this line and likely remain dry: NE Colorado / SW Nebraska and the southern tips of the Appalachians near Asheville. The Pacific NW is less safe as it takes much of the Pacific "on the chin", with the Makah myth indicating the waters rose to near the top of Mt. Rainer (14,000 ft).

By perturbation I mean anything physical 'bump' (from gravity, from tides, etc.) that is enough to start the Dzhanibekov flip. We would quickly lose satellite communications, so most people would never know what was happening until they saw the water coming, and even then would not know why.

@EcdoPrep What specifically do you mean by 'perturbation'? Also by sateillite data, do you mean the data from IERS or all sateillite data generally?

The ECDO flip starts with a small perturbation that grows exponentially over ~2 days, then completes most of the flip in 24 hours. My intuition is that satellite data transfer will stop early, and everybody will be in the dark about everything as the perturbation grows. A sad and scary thought.

Short answer: I don't know. But I marked Beijing because of this study from China (below) that shows different relative poles in the Noah event (~5ka) than the one for Gobekli Tepe (13ka). Note there is almost no change in declination in the Noah event- i.e. the north magnetic pole was IN THE SAME PLANE as Beijing- likely near the current South Atlantic Anomaly. Was there true north pole there too? For the event 13ka ago, this chart points toward @EthicalSkeptic 's Np' near Zimbabwe/South Africa, and I find the evidence overwhelming that this was the true north pole at that time.

@EcdoPrep Ok, I was confused by your drawing with the magnetic pole moving in that direction. Any thoughts on why the magnetic pole is moving toward Russia, but it's supposed to end up in Giza? Seems odd.

Geodesy / ECDO update for March 26 - slightly less alarming. youtu.be/eLqNSQ1tr7Q

@jstock37 "the real disclosure". That is a fitting phrase.

this is the real disclosure.

@landon_wx X-territory again! I thought it might at some point this week.

The very strong flare in the southeast is producing an extremely impressive CME as we speak, but the coronal hole to the west might block any CME components that try to expand towards earth. More soon

@Eleutheria24751 @EthicalSkeptic @sunfellow @nobulart @HamEggsnSam @Grimerica @SunWeatherMan Another particularly useful analysis by Craig: global radial elevation symmetry centers on the same LLSVP 'pivots' the give displacement along the ~31E meridian: x.com/nobulart/statu…

🚨 DOOM PORN ALERT 🚨 Meet the ECDO crew: @EthicalSkeptic cooks the 104° crust-flip fairy tale, @sunfellow @nobulart @HamEggsnSam @Grimerica & @SunWeatherMan spread it with pretty flood maps, and Tucker Carlson + Cathy Fitts are the MASTER BAITERS yelling “elites know!” Chaos Cat verdict: it’s 104 degree bat-shit crazy pseudo-physics + ancient-monument fanfic. A tale as old as Aesop - "The sky is falling !!!" With just the right sprinkles of Sci sounding techno jargon to suck in "Henny Penny"s like Carlson and Fitts... Retweet if you’re not buying the next Y2K. 🐱💦 #ECDOisBS

@Eleutheria24751 @EthicalSkeptic @sunfellow @nobulart @HamEggsnSam @Grimerica @SunWeatherMan Have you read any of the papers you wish to debunk? It would be helpful for the conversation. The ~104 degree location agrees well with magnetic data from ~12ka ago- you can see the bimodal distribution of the two north poles here: sciencedirect.com/science/articl…

Dogger Bank didn’t flood gradually. Before about 15,000 years ago, the system was stable with high connectivity and a slow, almost imperceptible loss of land area. The dominant landmass remained intact and fragmentation was minimal. Sea-level rise caused only small geometric changes with no sign of systemic instability. Between about 15,000 and 12,000 years ago, the system approached a critical state. Land bridges narrowed progressively and the largest connected area showed early signs of weakening. Fragmentation increased slightly but the overall structure remained coherent. Small changes in sea level began to produce disproportionately large geometric effects. A rapid transition occurred between about 12,000 and 8,000 years ago. During this time, the system underwent a sharp reorganisation. Connectivity collapsed abruptly as the dominant landmass fragmented into multiple disconnected regions. The largest connected cluster decreased rapidly while the number of fragments increased by an order of magnitude. This transition coincided with the steepest gradient in relative sea level but the system response was nonlinear, suggesting that geometric thresholds rather than forcing magnitude alone governed the collapse. After about 8,000 years ago, the system entered a post-collapse regime. The remaining land consisted of isolated fragments with no large-scale connectivity. Fragmentation stabilised and further sea-level rise caused only gradual reduction of already disconnected areas. The system had irreversibly transitioned into a new geometric state. A simulation of rising sea levels using SRTM15v2 bathymetry and a reconstructed sea-level curve shows that land remains connected until critical low areas submerge, causing rapid collapse. This suggests similar behaviour is possible in other shallow coastal regions. Draft Paper: nobulart.com/media/dogger.p… Code & Data: nobulart.com/media/dogger.z… Doggerland: en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Doggerland

@one_indeed I don't think so. I just highlighted Beijing because one of the more revealing magnetism studies was conducted nearby

@EcdoPrep So where the magnetic pole (Beijing) is going is different from where the rotational pole is going (Giza)?

@one_indeed @EthicalSkeptic Not sure where your home base is. I am near Omaha- which is not high enough. But it is about a 6 hour drive to get to NE Colorado which should be.

@EcdoPrep @EthicalSkeptic Thanks, that's the one I was thinking of, didn't realize the mountains around Clyoquot were so tall though, around 6000'+ for the tallest. Hmmm, well my 1000' abode with 2500' bug out hills near by is not looking so safe...

@one_indeed @EthicalSkeptic I note that the waters first receding from the west cost then reaching about to the top of Rainer matches well with the ECDO v15 simulation @junhoBTC put together: x.com/junhoBTC/statu…

@EcdoPrep @EthicalSkeptic Thanks for this. I have not seen this Makah myth about waters to the top of Mt Rainier. There was a different mountain in the Olympics they talked about, a much much lower peak. Can you link the source I would like to read. Thanks!