Equity Clock

Just Released… Our monthly report for April is out, providing insights, analysis, and trade ideas to navigate the market through the month(s)/year ahead. Subscribe now to receive this 112-page report: charts.equityclock.com/subscribe #Stocks #Bonds #Commodities

Large-cap valuations are well off of the unsustainable levels recorded over the past few years, but small caps may provide the better opportunity given that they are trading at a discount to their history and larger-cap counterparts. equityclock.com/2026/04/09/sto… $SPY $IWM $IJT #Stocks

It is not just Software investors that are returning to their pre-Iran mentality. Oil services $OIH are recapturing the rotation from Producers $XOP with the view that the infrastructure buildout that is required over the next few years is likely to be substantial following recent conflicts (eg. Iran, Venezuela). Domestic producers of Oil continue to pullback back on production, but the demand to repair/replace energy infrastructure globally is strong. $XLE #Oil #Energy

@barometerca April is the weakest month, seasonally, for the US Dollar Index. We are certainly positioned for it with our emerging market exposure.

When the US dollar is unable to reverse the downtrend vs. the baskit of currencies despite an international crisis, the market is sending you a message. Targets for the $DXY are well lower. Among other things, this has implications for international stocks and commodities.

A lot to like of shares of HSBC heading into their optimal holding period. The stock $HSBC has outperformed the market in 15 of the past 20 years between April 8th and August 4th.

With the Masters Tournament this weekend, it is no surprise to see Acushnet resume its outperforming trend versus the market. Shares of $GOLF have seen their optimal holding period run from April 9th to August 4th, outperforming the market in each of the past nine years. $CALY $DKS #Golf #Masters

Despite the sharp rise in stocks over the past 48 hours, Software stocks are not having any of it as trader focus shifts back towards the woes that existed prior to the Iran conflict. $IGV is back to pressuring horizontal support at $76, resuming its trend of underperformance that has plagued the industry over the past few months. Remember when everyone was anxious to buy the dip over the past couple of months? We’re still a couple of months out from the industry’s optimal holding period that runs into the third quarter. $MSFT $PLTR $ADBE

@BullandBaird Autumn #Seasonality

How do we get oil back down to $65?

@Barchart The new egg crisis. Let’s hope there are no wars on Chickens. You hear me @kfc @Popeyes @MaryBrowns?

BREAKING 🚨: Eggs Egg Prices have now collapsed by more than 97% from their March 2025 all-time high and are now trading at the lowest price in over a decade 🥚📉🥳

@Mr_Derivatives I guess the party is over?

Futes: Flat. Let’s see if SPY and QQQ can continue their win streak to 7 day in a row tomorrow…

@LizAnnSonders Tell me what fair value is and I’ll defend it. Doesn’t seem like it was 22+, which has failed consistently in the past six years

S&P 500’s forward P/E currently stands at 19.5…up from March 30 low of 18.9 but well below last October’s high of 23.1

@Mr_Derivatives We’ll re-write the seasonal playbook. No longer “Sell in May” (which we never really believed in anyways), “Buy in April” is now the new norm.

Note to self: Buy stocks every April 7th.

The S&P 500 Index is back to the upper limit of the cloud of major moving averages. In order to even think that the benchmark has a sustainable chance above this implied zone of resistance, it will have to confirm support at Wednesday’s open gap first. The last time the benchmark gapped above so many moving averages was probably last May amidst the alleviation of the Liberation Day shock from April. $SPX $SPY $ES_F #Stocks

If you haven’t been following our new stock highlight feature in our daily reports, it has been producing some pretty impressive results. $SBS up 4.17%. $CEU.TSX up 0.57%. $SBIO up 1.06%. $NGL up 3.51%. $ESI up 6.65%. Each of these are just today’s performance. For tomorrow, our stock highlight is $SB , which sees its optimal holding period run from April 9th to June 29th. This simple, yet effective, offering is free in each of our daily reports.

We’ve taken the contrarian view and we have been winning with our disciplined three-pronged approach. equityclock.com/2026/04/08/sto… $SPX $SPY $ES_F #Stocks

@RampCapitalLLC Just in time for summer driving season.

Time to buy a new gas guzzling SUV

Seasonality… “The force is strong with this one” - Darth Vader #Stocks

@Mr_Derivatives Seasonality… “the force is strong with this one” - Darth Vader

$SPY Something about April 7th innit? Last year marked THE bottom. And today, well you saw what today did…

@Mr_Derivatives How many times have we heard in the past couple of weeks that “nothing good happens below the 200-day.” More like “nothing good happens if you are caught in cash when the market rips back above the 200-day.”

$SPX I would be shocked if we V shaped to ATH’s just like that in the coming days. I was looking for a 200dma test and possible close above it, but tonight has exceeded my expectations. Let’s see tomorrow…

Seasonality gets a big win. It is very hard to keep stocks down during this time of year when tax refunds are disbursed, when IRA contributions are made, and when traders focus heavily on the start earnings season. Stocks have been moving higher for a week even as tensions and oil prices were ramping up. The alleviation of tensions (for now) is just a bonus.

Tom Lee wins.

@MikeZaccardi We tuned out the noise and stuck to our seasonal framework. No point in trying to predict the unpredictable. Just stay process driven.

We're at the stage of the rally where everyone on finance twitter says they bought stocks a 'few days ago.'