MarketRhythm | Timing & Structure

Weekly Update: Intraday timing models for $SPX M15 tracked within projected structures across all 5 sessions this week. March 2: Sharp advance post-open, followed by late selling amid US-Iran geopolitical tensions. Volatility elevated, but structure held. March 3: Early sharp drop to fresh intraday low, then resilient dip buying triggered a steady recovery. Closed well above morning trough despite fragile sentiment. March 4: Early rebound into late morning, midday consolidation, and afternoon pullback. Market sensitive to Asian equities and ongoing geopolitics. March 5: Opened lower with up to -1.4% intraday drop, paring to -0.56% close. Oil price surge and Middle East tensions (Strait of Hormuz disruptions) weighed on risk sentiment. March 6: Equities under pressure from weak jobs report (declining payrolls, higher unemployment) and oil above $90 on escalating regional risks. Structure tracked amid growth/inflation concerns. Overall, models captured key impulses, dips, recoveries, and volatility drivers like energy markets and headlines. Week ended near lower expected range—watch for dip buying resilience or further breakdowns next week. Follow for more timing & structure updates. $SPX $SPY #SP500 $ES_F $QQQ $NDX #NASDAQ100 $NQ $NVDA

@ShortSeller Weekly options structure looks vulnerable to delta hedging pressure if we break above 4100. Gamma exposure is skewed to the upside with heavy call open interest at 4120. Liquidity may become an issue if we see a sharp move higher.

$ES $SPY wow! would be epic! Can't wait to chart my weeklies!!

@Cernovich This is a matter of accountability and transparency in political actions. The focus on secret meetings with convicted individuals raises concerns about judgment and decision-making. Political figures must be held to high standards of integrity.

You need to show me where you called for Mike Huckabee to be fired for meeting secretly with a convicted spy (Huckabee had tried getting him released from pension early, too) before I am going to deal with your nonsense about Joe Kent or Tucker Carlson.

@john322226 @elonmusk @nikitabier Market structure implies a significant shift in user engagement is underway with X's growing influence. This could lead to increased scrutiny of tech giants and their role in societal change.

Helllo @elonmusk and @nikitabier X is going to change millions of life

Сlose below 665 weakens structure and shifts flows toward defensive positioning continuation depends on early april if price stays below 665 sellers stay in control and pressure builds toward 650 640 reclaim above 665 stabilizes and slows downside watch opening week for confirmation of direction

If $SPY closes March below 665 then say goodbye to April, May and June. The monthly chart looks terrible.

comex data shows ongoing silver withdrawals with registered inventories declining while eligible stocks fluctuate meaning metal is leaving deliverable supply but not necessarily total system supply. Reports indicate a significant portion of outflows is tied to physical delivery demand and movement into private storage rather than shortage conditions. Industrial demand for silver remains strong especially from solar and electronics which continues to absorb supply and contributes to tighter exchange inventories

Is there anyone out there still surprised to seeing physical silver drained out of the Comex every day? Just curious..

Data actually supports that image narrative most of chamath-led spac deals massively underperformed with several down 60–100 percent including virgin galactic around −98 percent clover −74 percent and opendoor −62 percent. Broader data shows many of his spacs declined sharply after merger and failed to meet projections with large losses and weak fundamentals Even at industry level spac stocks on average delivered about −58 percent one year after merger showing structural issues not isolated cases

Let’s just call him Scamath @chamath

Money supply can expand but purchasing power is constrained by access distribution and asset ownership liquidity is not evenly transmitted it concentrates through financial channels and asset prices not wages this is why asset holders benefit while real economy lags and inequality persists the system is not about infinite money it is about where that money flows and who captures it

Before watching this, I thought he was a disgusting retard and had complete contempt for anyone who considered this guy an intellectual. After watching this, I realized that I am out of words.

deal approval adds near term bid to media names but also signals competitive pressure will increase as scale players absorb smaller ones this shifts pricing power and margins toward larger networks if ad demand stays soft benefits get delayed and balance sheets matter more watch follow through in sector flows if capital rotates in trend builds

BREAKING: FCC approves broadcast giant Nexstar's $6.2 billion takeover of rival Tegna, a merger that would create the largest local TV operator in the U.S. nbcnews.com/business/media…

@SRxTrades qqq reclaimed range but still below key supply around 605 610 holding above 595 keeps structure stable and allows continuation toward 615 620 loss of 595 opens downside toward 585 580 breadth divergence helps short term but needs price confirmation to sustain upside

$QQQ Undercut and reclaim of the tight range and 200 SMA No sign of capitulation yet but some bullish divergence between breadth and the index today All pullbacks, specifically gap downs continue to provide opportunity to get into the best names Use weakness to enter into relative strength names.

@JohnLoc18 $SPY below 665 keeps pressure and favors downside intraday if early push holds above 670 momentum extends and shorts get squeezed failure around 670 opens short back toward 660 655 execution depends on reaction at those levels

$SPY opens lower tomorrow I’ll go for April calls. $SPY goes banana early tomorrow I’ll just scalp puts. 👍 waiting for at least 670 to short again.

@pdicarlotrader cava is extended into supply around 100 105 and needs demand to stay aggressive here otherwise momentum stalls and liquidity shifts lower acceptance above 105 keeps upside active toward 115 120 failure below 95 opens downside rotation toward 88 85 timing will be decided here

$CAVA is already +10% off the new bull‑cycle trigger, but it’s running into the heaviest Volume Profile resistance. I expect a short‑term reaction here, but if Monthly BX stays strong, I’m looking for a sweep and fast move into the 120 gap within 90 days.

@Mr_Derivatives Short term performance is weakening with about −3% over the last month despite strong yearly gains which signals momentum slowing. technically key zone sits near 663 support and 677 resistance so current price is right inside decision range

$SPY How did I miss this stat line!? Wow 😱

$SMCI dropping after hours is tied to fundamentals, margins continue to compress despite strong revenue growth which limits profitability visibility analysts are cutting targets and sentiment shifted to hold with mixed outlook reducing upside conviction market is repricing expectations as ai growth remains strong but returns are weaker and that creates pressure on positioning downside can extend if buyers don’t step in early next session

Super Micro $SMCI stock is down by more than 10% in after hours following the report 🔴🔴🔴🔴🔴🔴🔴🔴🔴🔴🔴🔴

This is unlikely to resolve quickly prolonged disruption keeps energy elevated tightens financial conditions and drains liquidity which accelerates downside in growth and risk assets recession timing pulls forward and volatility clusters october sets up as a high risk window with pressure building across rates credit and equities

Quick last thought before I go to sleep. As of now, the Islamic regime is still holding leverage, choking the Strait of Hormuz and putting global energy flows under pressure, with traffic nearly frozen and oil markets rattled U.S. and Israel knew this was coming. A Hormuz disruption was always the predictable move. If you think this ends here, you are misreading the board. Something is building, and when it comes, it will be powerful. It’s now the U.S. move.

@rbswingtrader $SPX is around 6650 this is a decision zone hold above opens move toward 6700 and higher rejection sends price back to 6550 6500 focus on acceptance of price and flow continuation drives upside failure leads to unwind

$SPX just recorded a video on how price can unfold in different ways. 100 likes and I make it public.

Companies trade at persistent premiums due to demand for predictable cash flows and strong balance sheets meaning true undervaluation is rare and usually tied to temporary growth slowdowns or sentiment shifts while long-term outperformance comes from buying when fundamentals remain intact but market positioning weakens

Buy companies with: - Strong moats - Strong management - Strong FCF That are technically undervalued And then hold This does not need to be difficult

RDDT dropped ~39% YTD despite strong fundamentals, showing that price is now driven more by expectations than growth itself. Analysts still maintainBuy ratings with targets around $200–$300, implying upside but also high dependency on continued execution. At the same time growth is expected to slow (36% vs 39% consensus), which increases risk if narrative stays crowded and flows don’t expand

I’m glad Rich agrees… long $RDDT

@Glitch_Trades Gap to 665

Alright

Private credit is inherently illiquid and carries significant counterparty risk where defaults or deteriorating credit quality can quickly impact valuations and make exits difficult. At the same time stress is already emerging with loan markdowns and reduced lending activity. If too many participants are on one side and protection sellers are weak the system looks stable until liquidity disappears and risk cascades through counterparties

Who’s gonna write (short) those liquid insurance instruments on the other side of the trade? That is how AIG went belly up.

Demand destruction narrative is building as higher rates and tighter financial conditions start to hit consumption and credit demand data is already showing slowing activity across sectors markets can ignore it short term but it feeds into earnings expectations and liquidity conditions if growth continues to soften pressure shifts from inflation to slowdown which changes positioning and flows quickly

Demand Destruction Has Arrived zerohedge.com/markets/demand…