Not_Bill_Smith

@MarioNawfal It’s a stand-up routine now.

🇺🇸🇮🇱🇱🇧 JD Vance: "The Israelis have actually offered to check themselves a little bit in Lebanon because they want to make sure that our negotiation is successful. That's not because that is part of the ceasefire. I think that's the Israelis trying to set us up for success." Israel is being restrained and trying to help the ceasefire? Seriously?!? Source: @acyn

@davidfrum …and Iran.

The only clear winners of Trump's Iran War: the speculators who made hundreds of millions trading on Mar a Lago inside information

@tomaskenn He’s MAGA alright!

Newly released phone calls reveal that Javier Milei was in direct contact and received regular payments from the cryptocurrency scammers behind the Libra rug-pull, which Milei himself promoted and defrauded people out of millions. nytimes.com/2026/04/06/wor…

@WritingByMatt Why did George Michael die?

Reuters, a news agency that reaches a billion people per day, is selling your data to law enforcement and governments - including #ICE. #reuters #palantir

@TPostMillennial No! It’s going so well…

Ro Khanna admits Dems will 'absolutely' impeach Trump if they retake the House thepostmillennial.com/ro-khanna-admi…

@financialjuice That’s nice of them.

Senior Israeli official: IDF cancelled strikes in the area in Iran where the searches for 2nd US pilot were being done - Israel's N12 News.

@Noahpinion The best Italian restaurant in Tokyo is better than the best Italian restaurant in Rome— more accurate.

The average mid-priced Italian lunch place in Japan is better than the best Italian restaurant in San Francisco

@TPostMillennial She (and Corey) must be devastated.

Former DHS Sec Kristi Noem reportedly “devastated” by bombshell allegations that husband has been living double-life as cross dresser

@kenklippenstein They are so dumb the irony escapes them.

Marco Rubio: " Imagine an Iranian regime who instead of spending billions of dollars...building up all these weapons, had invested that money for the people of Iran"

@PeterSchiff @SpecialSitsNews …and we lose Straight of Hormuz.

Based on Trump’s latest post, here’s the victory some Americans died for and the rest of us will pay for with debt & inflation: the regime stays in power, grows even more hard-line, Iranians hate America even more, and oil prices stay permanently higher. Other than that, we win.

@PeterLBrandt Credit is most asymmetric.

I believe you are right. I have lots of cash on the sidelines and am trying to figure out how to redeploy. Any categories you particularly like?????

@sdav1986 It might the number one term among hedge fund traders (who trade for a living).

it’s the most retarded term ever. used by people who don’t trade for a living but charge for a substacks

@FirstSquawk We are so fck*ed. He has no idea what he is doing.

TRUMP ON TRUTH SOCIAL The Iranian negotiators are very different and “strange.” They are “begging” us to make a deal, which they should be doing since they have been militarily obliterated, with zero chance of a comeback, and yet they publicly state that they are only “looking at our proposal.” WRONG!!! They better get serious soon, before it is too late, because once that happens, there is NO TURNING BACK, and it won’t be pretty! President DJT

@Noahpinion I’m in Bangkok — Summer (now) is atrocious.

My ranking of seasons: 1. Spring 2. Winter 3. Summer 4. Fall All are good, but Spring is the most good and Fall is the least good.

@ShivAroor @Trinhnomics We have lost most of our wars since Korea, despite being the overwhelming military power. Nothing you say changes that other than saying Trump is different.

ARE ANALYSTS MISSING THE MOST DANGEROUS VARIABLE IN THIS WAR? 🚨 1. An overwhelming amount of analysis right now says the same thing: Iran has the upper hand. It controls the narrative. It holds the cards. Hormuz has become a bargaining chip that has clearly rattled Washington. And Donald Trump, many say, now looks trapped. 2. But there is a growing blind spot in that analysis. It risks forgetting the most basic fact of this conflict: the United States is still the most powerful military machine on the planet. By a margin that is not marginal. 3. This is not a middling power trying to negotiate its way out of a corner. This is a country that can decide to escalate in ways nobody else can match. 4. The second blind spot is the man in the Oval Office. Trump has shown repeatedly that he is unusually resistant to being shaped by events. He reacts to pressure by doubling down, not stepping back. 5. Third, he is a second term president. That matters enormously. There is no electoral future to protect (Midterms aside). No campaign calculus to temper risk. The incentives change completely when the next election does not exist. 6. Fourth, Trump is deeply allergic to anything that looks remotely like a concession or a climbdown. Even when the narrative is fluid and post truth, the optics of retreat are something he instinctively rejects. 7. Fifth, the longer the perception builds that Iran has outplayed Washington, the greater the pressure on Trump to do something bold. Something sudden. Something few in the analyst class are currently modelling. 8. Sixth, there is one objective that Washington almost certainly cannot walk away from now: Iran’s enriched uranium. Exiting this war without seizing or neutralising that stockpile would be seen in Trump’s mind as failure. 9. Seventh, Trump clearly believes he is doing the world a favour. In his telling this is not just America’s fight. It is a service to the Gulf, to Israel, to the broader order that fears a nuclear Iran. 10. Eighth, he has escalation heft where it matters. Israel is already in the fight. Saudi Arabia and key Gulf states may not be on the front line but their political and logistical weight sits firmly on one side of this equation. 11. None of this erases the reality that Iran’s Hormuz leverage has been effective. It has changed the tone of the war and forced hesitation in Washington. 12.But the emerging consensus that Tehran now holds all the cards may itself be the next analytical trap. 13.Because if the president leading the most powerful military on earth believes he cannot exit without a decisive move, the story of this war may still have a very sharp turn left.

@TPostMillennial He doesn’t Taco! Right.

Karoline Leavitt: "President Trump does not bluff, and he is prepared to unleash hell. Iran should not miscalculate again."

@ChrisMurphyCT @anneapplebaum Probably a fellow Senator. — they love insider trading.

$1.5 BILLION. Let me say it again - a $1.5 BILLION BET. Bigger than any futures purchases made at the time. 5 minutes before Trump's post. Who was it? Trump? A family member? A White House staffer? This is corruption. Mind blowing corruption.

@TXMCtrades Expect short people to lie down.

Still waiting for someone to tell me if United expects people to start buying three seats just to lie down? So pay triple airfare? Is that what is going to happen?

@mtracey @elonmusk He was out in a penalty box since true to take on Trump.

Does @elonmusk support the Iran War? He seems to weigh in on everything other than this

@MattWalshBlog @danheld Are you saying we started a new Department that now has 300k workers for no reason. The horror.

When TSA has been tested, it has failed to stop up to 80 percent of weapons smuggled through security. TSA to this day has never actually prevented a terrorist attack. There is not a single documented case of a terror plot foiled by TSA. On top of that, TSA was formed in response to 9-11, but 9-11 was not a failure of airport security. Airport security had basically nothing to do with it. So while this stand off over TSA funding continues, keep in mind that the agency shouldn't exist and is historically terrible at its job. We should privatize airport security again. Then it can't be used as a bargaining chip by politicians.