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Jorge Marfil
495 posts

Jorge Marfil
@jorgemarfil_dev
Vibe Coding an App Until I Make $1,000,000 ⭐️ ARR: $34,227
Bergabung Aralık 2016
432 Mengikuti684 Pengikut

Jeff Bezos explains why compromise is one of the worst ways to resolve disagreement:
“An example of a really bad way to reach agreement is compromise. If I say the ceiling is 11 feet and you say 12 feet, we say let’s call it 11 and a half. That’s compromise.”
“The benefit of compromise is that it’s low energy. But it doesn’t lead to truth.”
“Another terrible resolution mechanism is stubbornness. Two executives disagree, they have a war of attrition, and whoever gets exhausted first gives in. You haven’t found truth, and it’s extremely demoralizing.”
“Escalation is better than a war of attrition. Escalate to your boss and say: we can’t agree, we respect each other, but we strongly disagree and need you to make a decision.”
“Exhausting the other person is not truth-seeking. Compromise is not truth-seeking.”
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@jorgemarfil_dev 34k ARR and shipping in public... what's your test coverage look like rn? the ARR chart goes one direction until a silent break ships and you find out from a churn spike
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Jorge Marfil me-retweet

> be random guy on the internet
> makes decisions purely on vibes
> misses a few massive opportunities in crypto
> wonders why his life keeps looking random
> stumbles on a weird article about probability theory
> realizes every decision has expected value
> realizes markets are just Bayesian machines
> realizes most “genius trades” are survivorship bias
> realizes most people size bets completely wrong
> realizes he’s been playing the game with no math at all
> opens Polymarket
> starts thinking in probabilities instead of opinions
> suddenly the world looks like one giant EV calculator
Turns out most life outcomes are just probability problems people never bothered to model:
> career decisions
> investments
> relationships
> risk
All of it is just EV + Bayes + Kelly.
> the crazy part?
None of this math is complicated.
> you can literally learn the models in this article
> use AI to help you apply them
> and completely upgrade how you think in a few months
But most people will keep making decisions the same way:
> vibes
> emotions
> scrolling Twitter
> one lucky success story
And then wonder why nothing compounds.

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