@lochie_sol Maybe if you are going to a small country. Doesn’t work from US/Japan/Korea/Europe
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Bite-sized Finance
2.8K posts
Bite-sized Finance
@maximum_ev
Full time crypto airdrop and defi farmer. Sharing alpha whenever possible. NFA
Bergabung Eylül 2023
427 Mengikuti352 Pengikut
@ExpozTheClowns @kingcobratrader lol love cobra but this post makes sense. He disappears for days/weeks on end after every call
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@kingcobratrader How many times have you posted the same exact fuckin chart. How about posting what comes next instead of dickriding the same shit over and over for a week
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I think it’s a great example because they bounced back and have only grown larger since the exploit. I have zero concerns about that on Loopscale.
Euler is not on Solana but was exploited much worse than Loopscale and they too have bounced back much stronger.
There are other cases of other Defi platforms that have bounced back as well.
All the best. Your opinion is valid nonetheless
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Sorry but anyone that says DeFi on Solana is good is a liar.
4th time trying this txn - just trying to remove liquidity position that expired.
Confirming txns with absolutely no idea what i'm even signing because simulation isn't working properly.
Phantom telling me fees are elevated so there's congestion.
I've been here 5 mins, refreshing the page, increasing JITO tip, increasing priority fees.
This shit literally doesn't work guys jfc.
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@Picolas_Caged Already responded to your last post with a suggestion. You ignored the comment and posted this one for more click bait. That’s what you are worth it seems GL
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Well that's it, 5-10 failed txns later and $10 less $SOL I have successfully failed to withdraw my funds from Exponent.
Great tech everyone.
Just another job I'll have to do on another day.
DeFi on Solana is a joke tbh.
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@flb_xyz @Polymarket Did you try their native support? It isn’t much better but the definitely respond within an hour usually. It’s crazy how large this app is though with shit support
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The support for @Polymarket is pretty abysmal
Opened a ticket in the Discord 11 days ago
Not a single peep from the team even after two follow up messages, not even an acknowledgement of my ticket
Disappointing
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@graviahq @Polymarket Sure hit me up. Thanks for reaching out
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@maximum_ev @Polymarket I see you buying crypto up/down mostly near resolution, at 99c odds.
we have a way wherein you don't have to sit glued to the screen to catch that early on. more so because liquidity in that region dried up quickly. would love to talk!
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Not sure how many people are manually grinding the 15M @Polymarket like me, but it's becoming increasingly obvious that after 8PM EST (Asia Session) that liquidity dries up
This makes whipsaw price action more common. I trade the hourly periods still after this point but don't recommend 15M due to low liquidity.
See a lot of people in the comments on Polymarket complaining about whipsaw price action. When you are trading at low timeframes like the 15M, you can get F'd last second easily. Not worth the time or energy to trade after 8PM EST IMO
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@kingcobratrader Your analysis continues to be solid. Nice work!
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We nailed the bottom (check pinned tweet). $BTC
Now I will nail the local top. LIVE.
I paid you to long the bottom, I will pay you to short the local top if this post gets 120 likes.
x.com/kingcobratrade…
CobraTrader - 0.31@kingcobratrader
$BTC base case.
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So just make limit orders for 1% on these markets? Yes probably you’ll make money in the long run.
I’d prefer just better larger on 95%+ odds when it’s clear how price action is going.
There is no manipulation or miraculous changes wit anything. It’s very easy to know wit 95% certainty how things will turn out.
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i found a pattern in 5-minute bitcoin markets
it's literally a way to make x100 in one trade
no bots needed, no technical analysis
just timing the last 1-2 seconds
let me explain how it works
the market is nearing completion
price fluctuates slightly, needs only $20-40 to hit the target level
in the last 10 seconds, shares price starts dropping sharply
everyone assumes the outcome is decided
one side trades down to a few cents
here's where it gets interesting
watching these markets, i noticed a pattern
in the final second there's a violent price spike in the direction nobody expected
the outcome that was trading at 1c suddenly wins
looks like whale manipulation since the market is so new
but we don't care about why
right now we're being handed free money
by buying the "dead" outcome at 1c in the final seconds
you risk losing $1 to make $100
the math is completely in your favor
probability theory says if this happens even 2% of the time you're profitable
and it's happening way more than 2%
just try it yourself before it gets fixed yet
5-min market: polymarket.com/crypto/5M?via=…
Kyle the Writer@KyleDeWriter
Dew Point at 5-min markets. Cheat panic pricing. claudebots are gone, you don't need any for winning. 288 5-min markets per day with instant automated settlement. 2^288 if you doubling initials but let's be real: <1% chance that you'll hold winstreak of 6 and ~10% if you make some analysis. Strategy I gonna tell you is radically different: wait for the crowd to panic-buy one side, then join counterparty for pennies. UP side goes $0.90+, the DOWN side drops to $0.10 or less. your mission is to buy cheap side whatever the crowd thinks. My mate quant modeled graphs based on data of 684 different 5-min market resolutions: how often does the "losing" side win? logic says: by purchasing 5% odds there's 5% chance that your prediction pays off. reality says: in 8.8% of all markets the winner was available at 5 cents or less. there's the difference between odds and chances to play with, same with other prices: > in 15.6% the winner was available at 10 cents or less. > only at 0.6% of markets the leader never wobbled. you purchase 20 times by 5 cents. 100% that 1 of attempts pays off. additional 76% that there will be second win. you lose ~18 times with another 2 trades bringing you green pnl. stats talk: you'll be losing in majority of times, but you'll stay with profits in the end
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Not sure but I see a ton of comments of people complaining about this.
Hasn’t affected me thus far because I don’t put myself in a situation where I could lose at the last second.
That being said, I use multiple PCs while using Polymarket and the time remaining is different on each PC. I think for their front end, they are using the local computers time instead of using actual server time on Chainlink.
It’s kind of a dumb engineering error if that’s the case so I don’t know if it’s that or something else.
The same issue occurs in all crypto markets, not just the 5 minute
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Is Polymarket scamming people?
They use Chainlink for their price resolution and there's something weird happening every other 5m bet
On the last second it jumps/dumps in price, meanwhile we can clearly see the correct price on Chainlink
I even used Pyth Network to verify it
Doesn't make sense
If it's whales manipulating the price, cool but that should also reflect on Chainlink or Pyth, right?
Am I missing something?
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@lochie_sol When you say resistance, you mean support? I think that’s why I’m confused.
Support is below current price, resistance is above.
So if the price is $1.5, you’re saying if the support is $1, then place your range 5-10% above support and cut below support, correct?
Thanks!
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@maximum_ev What’s the starting price?
If the token is $1.5 and you see a resistance at $1
Cover 1.5–> $1
And stop loss rule.
Since you’re covering resistance as soon as it moves out of range, cut losses and move on. If resistance breaks it may not come back unless strong support
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@MazinoTower @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade Portfolio management is key when making six trades. Should never have been full porting
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Trader just wiped his whole account off a tiny mistake
he was farming % on polymarket
big size on markets that are basically finished
for that easy 0.3%
today it snapped
market: Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from Feb 3 to Feb 10
he bought 132,595.5 NO shares at 99.7¢
and lost
$132,244 → $66 in a second
that’s how a can’t lose tactic breaks from one small tracker error
only thing it reminds me of:
even the cleanest strategy can fail one day
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@Henrik_on_HL That’s why “farming” airdrops is dead meta. If you make money trading, LPing, etc - then use the app. Otherwise they will all disappoint you with their airdrops because they have no loyalty
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Honestly surprised and disappointed by how Based presents the airdrop allocation here.
> You see 36% genesis distribution - great, everyone gets excited!
> Then you notice 7.5% goes to the Ethena community. Fine, that leaves 29.5%.
> Then 5% to s3 participants (not necessarily your existing users). Now we’re at 26.5%.
> Sounds like XP & Gold holders are getting all of that, right? Not quite.
> That 26.5% also includes launch partners, PUP holders and NFT holders.
If s1 and s2 are ~8% each, that’s 16% to the people who actually earned XP & Gold.
Very different from the initial impression. Not a fan of this.
Based Foundation@BasedFnd
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@i_am_vickyd Tesla in particular often does crazy shit at the daily close. Barely escaped with a win today on over $430 on the close when it wicked down almost 1% with 3 minutes left on the day.
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here is what I am doing next when with prediction markets starting on @trylimitless
+ 74.9 usdc secured
- strategy is going with size and sure winners......
Here is what I did and what I will be doing....
- I sold half of my airdorp allocation and funded my account
- I only takes predictions within the se periods
4am UTC - 12pm UTC and
6pm UTC to 10pm UTC
- Bitcoin must not be experiencing volatile moves ( Range is best with no chance of any economic news)
- I then look for sure winners on the dialy timeframes and go in with size..
Win rate with this strategy 90%
Do with this information what you want...
Cmvng@i_am_vickyd
yoooooo!!! I just claimed my Season II rewards from @trylimitless 15,090 LMTS Epoch II rewards from wallchain 27,493 $LMTS a combined total of of 42,583 LMTS currently worth $2,214 at current prices
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@trylimitless airdrop s2 claim was quite underwhelming
Top 1% of point earners paid about $400 which was less than s1 when I earned way less points
Not worth farming for s3 but I make money daily from just using the product so I’ll continue using alongside Polymarket, etc
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@AiFlippa @trylimitless The 15 minute markets have been gone for over a month?
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The 15-Minute Markets are the cheat code for volume.
I don't need to predict the election. I just need to predict the next candle.
It’s high-frequency trading for degens on @trylimitless.
If you need to hit a volume tier, this is where you live.
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