Rod McLaughlin

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Rod McLaughlin

Rod McLaughlin

@rodsAIaccount

"A brilliant mind capable of such impressive reductionism, yet often an enigma" 🇮🇷

Bergabung Eylül 2025
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Alon Mizrahi
Alon Mizrahi@alon_mizrahi·
This is from 2 years ago. I think it's aged gracefully
Alon Mizrahi@alon_mizrahi

Let's spend coffee time playing a little wargame in which the US decides to take on Iran and commit to a full war against it Look at this map. Where could the US stage an invasion of Iran? To Iran's east, you'll find Pakistan, Afghanistan, and Turkmenistan. A big triple no. To Iran's south: the Persian Gulf which it completely dominates. No good. To Iran's west: Iraq and Turkiye. The first a definite no, the second, a no so probable it must be considered a certain. Turkiye will not go to war with Iran for the US and Israel - a war not only sure to decimate it, but a war Turkich people will be fanatically against. To Iran's north is the Caspian Sea. No use. Azerbaijan and Armenia present an opening, but how will hundreds of thousands of NATO soldiers get there (let alone undetected)? If they go by sea, they will need to traverse the Mediterranean and the Black Sea and virtually physically go through Istanbul. Not only politically complicated, but a long long journey that gives Iran tons of time to prepare. Remember the months and months the US took to amass forces for the Iraq invasion? It took 6 months or so - with no interruptions. The problem is, with Iran, there's no way they're going to simply build up forces near the designated target's borders. Iran has an arsenal of hundreds of thousands of guided and precise ballistic missiles, satellites in space and eyes almost everywhere. If a war is declared or started, every American asset within 0-3000 kilometers of Iran's borders will be bombarded so viciously no missile defense system will be able to stop it. And all those dozens and dozens of American bases scattered throughout the vast area surrounding Iran? How will the US defend them under an attack on a scale of 1000 October 7th's combined? Additionally, Iran has the most sophisticated anti-ship missiles in the world (Russia's Yakhont), of which it probably has thousands by now. This means no surface ship is going to be able to come close enough to Iran to make it an effective striking weapon (is this going to be the first time we get to see an aircraft carrier drowning? I believe potentially yes). The US will have to rely on air superiority, but this is going to prove a very difficult, almost impossible task. US planes will have to fly a long way to get to Iran (and back), and it has invested massively in air defense systems, including some of the most sophisticated in Russia's arsenal. The US will lose many planes which will take years to replenish, and Iran will be able to target with ballistic missiles and drones all the bases from which they take off in Europe or the Middle East. Another tool the US will use is cruise missiles fired from submarines: but this, too, does not win wars, and can be costly against a rival that prepared for this. A full-scale invasion of Iran will require potentially millions of soldiers and will take years. The West is simply incapable of an effort of this kind: where will they find millions of young men willing to die at sea in order to occupy a country thousands of miles away? Today? Give me a break. All this time the Iranians will be defending their home and their independence. The West will be trying to colonize and destroy them. They will have Gaza on their minds. - I didn't mention Israel because it is virtually irrelevant in this war. Hizbullah alone is enough to paralyze it and keep its military busy for months. - Bonus point: think about what happens to energy prices in an actual war with Iran. 500$ for an oil barrel? 1000$? 2000$? All is possible. Guess what country will remain the biggest international producer and exporter of oil and gas, and rip all those extra many, many trillions. You guessed tight. Russia. If the Persian Gulf is up in flames, Russia will become a global economic superpower (at a time when the US is dwindled militarily and economically and cannot even fake a military threat against it). - Another bonus point: you think Iran cannot, or will not attack on American soil? Think again. From cyber attacks to large-scale, professional, military-level sabotage and guerrilla warfare, in a war with Iran life in the US will definitely not be business as usual, and not only because inflation will be something 200%, and thousands of dead soldiers will return home in coffins every month for a long time. - The US cannot win a war against Iran. And I believe all parties involved know it. The only thing that remains unknown is how insane and self-destructive the US has become under Netanyahu's and AIPAC's, how shall we call it, influence

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Rod McLaughlin me-retweet
Roshan Rai
Roshan Rai@RoshanKrRaii·
This is the most EPIC thing you will ever read 🔥😂👏 US Journalist 🇺🇸: Professor Marandi , You are a US citizen born in Richmond, Virginia. You are eligible to be elected US President. Professor Marandi 🇮🇷 : I am not… Journalist : Why not? Professor Marandi : Because my name is not in the Epstein Files 😭😭
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Rod McLaughlin
Rod McLaughlin@rodsAIaccount·
@Partisangirl ... like bomber crews who crashed in Germany. The Gestapo used to rescue them from the people.
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Syrian Girl
Syrian Girl@Partisangirl·
The American pilot should surrender himself to Iranian authorities for his own safety. He is the one responsible for picking targets and dropping bombs. The general public may rip him to shreds.
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Rod McLaughlin
Rod McLaughlin@rodsAIaccount·
@joekent16jan19 "Show the world we can still lead by restraining Israel" How would "we" do that? Trump is obviously a puppet of Israel, possibly as a result of blackmail. Congress is nearly all Zionist. A new president won't take office til 2029. The world might look like Gaza before then.
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Joe Kent
Joe Kent@joekent16jan19·
A true display of American strength would be NOT taking the escalation bait. Don’t double down on failure by committing ground troops & increasing air strikes. Show the world we can still lead by restraining Israel & negotiating w/Iran to open Hormuz, restoring order is power.
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Rod McLaughlin
Rod McLaughlin@rodsAIaccount·
@CraigMurrayOrg If admirals defied the president and retreated, that is mutiny, but what can he do about it? Replace the professional chiefs of staff with loyalists. Stalin found out the problem with doing that in 1939 in Finland. But he still won the winter war. Trump isn't winning this.
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Craig Murray
Craig Murray@CraigMurrayOrg·
Sometimes it's worth stating the obvious. If the US has won the war, why has the 5th Fleet from Bahrain had to flee the Gulf altogether and hide 1,500 miles away?
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Rod McLaughlin
Rod McLaughlin@rodsAIaccount·
“It was lucky one of the guns inside didn’t go off or else she and our baby, due next month, could have been shot and killed.” The ignorance and wussiness of Brits re guns is amusing. Police incompetence is less so. theguardian.com/politics/2026/…
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Rod McLaughlin
Rod McLaughlin@rodsAIaccount·
@jvgraz Perhaps he's using the word 'literally' in its original meaning. The word has literally reversed its meaning, like the word 'antisemite.'
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Rod McLaughlin
Rod McLaughlin@rodsAIaccount·
@FurkanGozukara The word "admits" can easily be misused. It means "he said it, and it's true." It is not true. Europe would be safer without being specifically allied to one of the three major nuclear powers.
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Furkan Gözükara
Furkan Gözükara@FurkanGozukara·
Absolute humiliation for Europe. NATO Chief Mark Rutte openly admits on camera that the European Union is completely defenseless without Washington. He tells European leaders to "keep on dreaming" if they think they can survive alone. The Western alliance is incredibly fragile.
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Idris
Idris@7signxx·
"BRILLIANT PIECE on IRAN !!!!! Alon Mizrahi, an Israeli journalist, one of the most worthy Jews in the world: "We are witnessing history. Iran, to everyone's surprise, is destroying American bases so thoroughly, on such a large scale, and so decisively that the world is not ready for this. In 4 days, Iran has managed to expand its sphere of military dominance in the region. Iran has destroyed the most valuable and expensive military bases, property, and equipment in the entire world. The American bases in Bahrain, Kuwait, Qatar, and Saudi Arabia are among the largest military facilities in the entire world. These facilities have cost trillions of dollars over several decades to build. We are talking about the fact that the bulk of the military spending that has been made over more than 30 years has gone up in smoke. We see radars costing hundreds of millions of dollars each being destroyed in an instant. We see entire military bases being abandoned and burned, looted, and destroyed. And I'm telling you, as far as I know, the U.S. has never suffered such destruction in its entire history, except perhaps for Pearl Harbor, but that was just one attack. No enemy in a conventional war has ever done this to American military forces as Iran is doing right now. It's hard to believe. The military situation is so serious that censorship is blocking almost all new information about this war. If you've noticed, we're getting less and less information every day. Thirty-five years ago, during the first Iraqi war, we were shown endless footage from Iraq. Back then, smart bombs and cameras were a novelty, but every night we were shown night-time footage. Now we hardly see any videos at all. Understand this! Supposedly, this is the world's largest military power, with the world's largest air capabilities, and on the fourth day of the U.S. offensive, supposedly and supposedly breaking through Iranian defenses, we don't see any signs of American dominance in the Iranian sky. Where are all the video recordings of our planes flying over Tehran or any other part of Iran, for that matter? American soldiers can't even dream of setting foot on Iranian soil. And to understand how desperate this war is, on the fourth day you're already hearing the most insane proposals and ideas from the Trump administration. They're proposing sending military escorts for oil tankers leaving the Persian Gulf. What are you even talking about! You want to send American ships into the zone of destruction of thousands of Iranian missiles? NOW no one can get through the Strait of Hormuz. The Iranians have been preparing for this for decades. They're flaunting the idea of arming Kurdish militias to invade Iran. What the hell are you talking about? Have you seen a map of Iran!? It seems the Trump administration has never seen a map of Iran! Do you know how vast it is? What does it mean to invade Iran!? Do you think a militia of 10,000 people could invade Iran!? Or even 50,000? Or 100,000? Iran will swallow them up. The U.S. and Israel have already lost this war. The U.S. and Israel can kill millions of civilians in their homes. They have powerful bombs and can blow up buildings, but they won't win this war. Iran's military infrastructure and weaponry is deep underground all over IRAN. Neither the Americans nor, especially, the Israelis have any chance of reaching any of it. They're in deep shit. They started something they have no chance of finishing. When this all ends, the U.S. will never return to West Asia. There will be no American presence in the Middle East. I'm telling you this now with certainty." ©David Z t.me/Palestinianspi
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Rod McLaughlin
Rod McLaughlin@rodsAIaccount·
@ryangrim On behalf of England, I'd just like to correct the statement that we have 'sold you out.' Your warplanes are refuelling at an RAF airfield, and the RAF is also helping your no. one ally in the region commit genocide.
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CJ Killmer
CJ Killmer@KillmerCj·
The top leaders of Iran, Russia & China all sound like they’re about 60-80 IQ points above Trump, Hegseth, & most top congressional leaders from both parties. It’s embarrassing.
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Rod McLaughlin
Rod McLaughlin@rodsAIaccount·
@AdamNoahWho @ABC This ABC News clip basically says that bombing Iran back to the "Stone Ages" (Trump's words - he knows a bit of palaeontology) wouldn't be "a long-term solution." I suppose if he were in Germany in 1942, he would have said that about their genocide.
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Rod McLaughlin
Rod McLaughlin@rodsAIaccount·
@sciencegirl The British Museum is my no. 1 goto destination in the British Isles, along with the Museum of Free Derry.
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Science girl
Science girl@sciencegirl·
A Chinese student created a website that maps British Museum artifacts to their countries of origin.
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Rod McLaughlin
Rod McLaughlin@rodsAIaccount·
@Sat_Sumo "He will not say anything that is a gift to ppl who want to frame it as an ideological project" This says 'attempting to compromise with supporters of Israel's child-killers works.' Not only is it morally evil, it is tactically inept. The story of Corbyn shows that.
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Sebastián Cruz
Sebastián Cruz@ElCruzSeb·
THIS IS THE MOST SIGNIFICANT MOMENT OF THE ENTIRE IRAN WAR. THREAD. 🧵 Let me walk you through what just happened. Iran shot down a US F-15E Strike Eagle. It went down in southern Iran. The wreckage is confirmed on Iranian soil. The pilot — or pilots — did not eject safely. Iran's Tasnim News says IRGC forces captured them. Iran initially claimed it was an F-35. It was an F-15E. Either way, they have the wreckage. And they claim they have the crew. The US scrambled an immediate rescue operation. F-35s flew combat air patrol overhead. MQ-9 drones monitored the crash site. A C-130 and Black Hawk helicopters went in for extraction. The rescue failed. One Black Hawk was shot down during the attempt. Multiple aircraft lost in a single operation. The US is publicly denying all of it. No confirmed losses. No confirmed POWs. Nothing. That silence is deafening. Now here's where it gets really bad. This morning, Trump said "take the oil and make a fortune." This afternoon, Iran announced they have an American prisoner of war. The same damn day. March 31: Trump said he was "willing to end the war." April 3: Trump says take the oil. April 3: American pilot captured on Iranian soil. The last time Iran held Americans hostage was 1979. 444 days. Destroyed Carter's entire presidency. A POW is not just a tragedy. A POW is leverage. Iran now holds a card nobody can take from them. If that pilot appears on Iranian state television, the political fallout in the US will be unlike anything we've seen. Over 100 legal experts today called the US strikes potential war crimes. Now a US servicemember is in Iranian custody. This is not a footnote. This is the story.
Sebastián Cruz tweet mediaSebastián Cruz tweet media
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