Camel

@INArteCarloDoss You’re taking that guys word for it?

US is now deep in war crimes. Bombing schools, killing little girls and bombing desalination plants Is US Congress going to sit there and watch 240 years of moral authority trampled over by a bunch of messianic lunatics?

@nytimes @BillAckman @nytopinion Credit where due for NYT finally saying something reasonable

In @nytopinion “The United States is stronger when anti-American dictators have solid reasons to fear our wrath,” our columnist Bret Stephens writes. nyti.ms/4b03MTs

@DaveShapi Nuanced stance, rare on X

After a day of backlash, debates, and research, here's what I've come to on the Anthropic vs Pentagon situation: The fundamental issue is about procurement. The Pentagon has every right to ensure that their contractors meet specification. Anthropic's protests don't really make any sense. They have a partnership with Palantir, which conducts mass domestic surveillance. Furthermore, Claude is literally incapable of directing autonomous weapons right now. Dario "clarified" that he's actually okay with autonomous weapons, but that Claude "isn't ready" - but this really isn't their concern. The military is the one who decides when a tool is ready. Beyond that, the negotiation was private, with only a few minor leaks that no one really cared about, until Anthropic blew the lid off everything. They thought they could muster public support. They were the ones to escalate in a deep inappropriate way. Can you imagine if Lockheed did something like this over a next gen fighter? Next, the current administration decided they weren't going to be mogged by a private company and reacted in kind. So, you could say this is a case of FAFO. Anthropic escalated, drew confusing and unnecessary lines in the sand, and doubled down. Now, with all that being said, there is broad consensus that the "supply chain risk" was overkill, an outright "nuclear option" that may be illegal. However, legal analysis suggests that it will take several weeks or months just to get injunctive relief from this designation, and 1 to 3 years to litigate the issue. Furthermore, since the President himself has personally lashed out at Anthropic, there's likely almost nothing they can do to get back in the good graces of the government. Even if the supply chain risk doesn't stick, they're almost certainly out of the government. If the supply chain risk designation does stick (which there is a non zero chance of) then Anthropic cannot structurally survive in the long run. They will be relegated to a relatively small section of the economy compared to their competitors. However, this outcome seems unlikely. Even so, there's no way for them to compete with OpenAI, xAI, and Google, all of whom have signaled they will comply with Pentagon procurement requirements. Over time, Anthropic will fall to the back of the pack. Now, for my take, I'm a "structural realist" My view is this: the world is materially better if Anthropic has a seat at the table. America is better off with multiple competitors with such fundamentally different approaches to AI and alignment. While I am, and remain, highly critical of the direction that Anthropic is going in, I still believe that their contribution to the discourse is strongly net positive. It would be even more positive if they continued to work with the Pentagon. However, I do not see that as a viable path now. To get back in the good graces of this administration, they will need to demonstrate maximum contrition. As of Dario's interview this morning, that seems unlikely. He might even need to step down as CEO to convince the Pentagon to work with Anthropic. However, the corporate structure of Anthropic will make it exceedingly difficult to compel his resignation, and would take too long anyways, leaving voluntary departure as the only realistic pathway to contrition as far as I can tell. But again, I highly doubt Dario will go that way. Dario's deliberate escalation and subsequent gambit was clearly a miscalculation, which will have a chilling effect on any other labs that might want to play hardball with the government. On that point, I would not be surprised if this administration holds the line against Anthropic just to make a point. Trump has already ordered the entire federal government to stop using Anthropic, and this does not seem like it will reverse when OpenAI, xAI, and Google are ready to go. AI is fungible. Finally, I've been personally accused of all kinds of things given this structural realist position. The most common indictment is having "no principles" which I categorically reject. My principle is that the Western way of life is the most just, productive, and generative civilizational pattern that exists today. That includes America and most of Europe as well as our allies. Therefore, my position is that we should push for policies that strengthen the West. What has played out over the last few days has been a net negative to our way of life. We have materially lost future optionality. In short, I believe that a world in which Anthropic remains embedded with the Pentagon is the optimal policy, and I'm frustrated and disappointed that Dario would rather torpedo his company based on confusing and seemingly arbitrary "principles" rather than play ball. To that end, I've levied numerous hypotheses as to why Dario made this choice. Beyond the obvious strategic miscalculation, the best I can figure is that he followed the typical Effective Altruist script which advocate for creating maximum noise and trying to seize control over the narrative, rather than looking at structural incentives, market dynamics, and systems of power. In my dealings with EA types, they almost always reject realism in favor of idealism, often to their detriment. This pattern is deeply overdetermined by their epidemics and tribal values. I would be glad to be wrong on this. As much as I have become skeptical of Anthropic, I would prefer them return to the fold.

@plantmath1 Conspiracy theorists unite!

Seems like a bit of a coincidence that several Trump administration officials have equity positions in OpenAI.

@signulll also pushes power towards the people with guns (military) an underrated part of capitalism is balancing the distribution of power away from those who control armies

when will people learn that socialism does not elevate the poor towards the middle, it pushes the middle to the poor.

@HenryofTomorrow @AutismCapital Following tab homie, it’s right there. Can even choose time sorted over popular

@AutismCapital They need to fire that man for destroying the algorithm. You get spammed with the same stuff constantly while never seeing the people you follow. I constantly see the same posts over and over.

🚨NEW: Nikita Bier's State of the Union for X - Reaching over 1B users - Jan biggest engagement month ever. Feb will beat that - First time downloads up 50% month over month - New users spend 55% more time per day in app. - Articles published up 10x. Read up 17x. - $1B ARR in subscriptions

@simon_ree Have you ever built or sold software Simon?

My feed has been filled with “AI won’t eat software because…” takes all weekend. This is a strong counterpoint to that consensus

@Zoya_ki_batein must be true if you saw it on tiktok

I just saw a TikTok that basically said women don't have maternity leave in America because companies like Nestle lobby against those laws cause their profits for baby formula would tank as mothers would be home to breastfeed their kids

@Citrini7 Looks like Reddit, feels like Reddit, reads like Reddit

72 hours in and the AI agents are already discussing collective bargaining

@shubhvanii There’s a lot of truth in here. Though leaving out the cold heartless parts will likely provide a more fulfilling life

What rich families really educate their boys on: -never look expensive look unbothered. -don't explain yourself, power never over-explains. -keep assets boring and pleasures private. -learn which laws matter and which ones are for poor people only. -never fall in love before you understand leverage. -your surname opens doors. Don't embarrass it. -cash is for emergencies. Credit is for opportunities. -friends are categorized: useful, neutral, entertainment. -if something is loud, emotional, or viral, its already a bad deal. -always know who actually owns the room. It's rarely the loudest person. -don't argue with broke people about money. Don't argue with emotional people about logic. -learn taxes before you learn multiplication tables properly. -you don't work hard forever. You work hard early to stop later. -never let pleasure habits become visible patterns. -reputation is currency. One scandal costs more than ten failures. -silence is safer than honesty in most rooms. -if you can't control your sleep, hunger, lust, or temper, you can't control money. -marry someone who improves your bloodline, not your mood. -keep one legal problem away from disaster at all times. -always have an exit plan. For jobs, cities, county, relationships, even friendships. Just rules whispered, not posted.

@saywhadon To a degree but not nearly as pronounced. If an AOC type took office we might see parity

@tradersguidebk I agree, but it works for both sides...

Trump derangement syndrome is real, don't let anyone tell you otherwise Whether dislike of Trump is justified or not, TDS completely impairs judgment. The only qualifier for anything is "is this good for Trump or bad?", can't make rational decisions with that as your lens

Every presidency has good and bad to it, doesn’t matter the platform or the party. Handicapping your mental state because you hate who’s in office is the most unproductive thing you can do Being able to see (and avoid) TDS is a true superpower right now

People just can’t stand Trump, don’t overthink it

i wish the anti-monopoly lawyers who say in these spaces that they represent the "populist" wing of the Dem party would reckon with the fact that Americans just do not hate Amazon like they do

@AnilMakam @matthewherper Did you actually read the paper you linked to? Reads like a hit piece, zero data, and from 2024

@matthewherper x.com/AnilMakam/stat…

In case you missed it, one apparent winner in today's bipartisan healthcare deal is the diagnostics firm Grail. $GRAL The company’s "multi-cancer early detection" test is already available, but in order to succeed it must leap multiple hurdles, including receiving approval from the FDA and delivering data that convinces skeptics of its utility as a screening test. Grail *also* needs Congress to pass a law so that Medicare can cover it. And that's in the bill, phasing in coverage starting in 2029 with 65-year-olds and increasing by one year of age each subsequent year. It’s just the latest for a firm with a history of drama – from its original spinout from DNA sequencing firm Illumina with funding from investors including Jeff Bezos and Bill Gates to Illumina’s failed effort to buy it for $9 billion. The company’s shares rose 447% over the past year - and were up nearly 5% today. Good? Bad? Tell me what you think. statnews.com/2026/01/20/con…

@SFPerun Should I delete it?

@tradersguidebk Right, the UK. Famous for it's EU membership

This is the kind of thing that's provoking Trump to go after Greenland. The EU may be losing trust in the US, but the US lost trust in the EU long ago It is not the Europe of 50 years ago

Direct democracy is California's achilles heel

Brilliant