Ume.dev
755 posts
Ume.dev
@0xUme_dev
Web3 Collab Manager & Copywriter · 4+ years full-time in crypto
California, USA 参加日 Ocak 2022
188 フォロー中298 フォロワー
Guaranteed way to get WL
@degentokenbase - already did a good airdrop, now they are launching an NFT collection
> FREE mint
> Q1
> 777 supply
To get WL you need to buy 1M $DEGEN (~$750) and hold 30 days, sounds like easy profit
Of course you can use hedge so you dont lose on price
Details can be found in discord
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gn mates
2 free mint collections for sweet dreams
@zenkai_ETH - free mint on ETH
- last chance to apply for WL today
- great arts
@_MASKED_NFT_ - one of the strongest communities in NFTs now
- small price for mint
- $ETH chain
- very active community
This alpha looks interesting, added to my list
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disappeared for a week… not by choice.
caught a nasty flu and had to completely log off for a bit.
no charts, no mints, no timeline grinding — just tea, meds, and sleep.
but we’re back now.
spent the last few days catching up, digging through new drops, and filtering the noise. there’s actually some interesting stuff brewing.
here are a few projects that caught my attention:
- @MegaGrapes_eth
- @MegahopNFT
- @megakitaro
- @MegaWayNFT
might break them down in the next posts if people are interested.
gm again. good to be back.
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STOP!
YOU NEED TO READ THE
You need to read the best breakdown of Polymarket pricing I've ever seen.
There's code inside that shows whether you should open a position, for how much, and what your real edge is. Before the trade, not after.
Study it yourself or feed it to your ai agent.
Bookmark it so you don't forget.
Aleiah@AleiahLock
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Sent a friend a Polymarket wallet. Told him: this is definitely a quant.
He made $310,000 in just 8 months.
Friend replied: 'bro, this is info from Econ 101. Feed these formulas to your AI agent and it will replicate his results'.
1 minute to set up. I checked.
Started digging. Same markets as thousands of people. Same prices.
But there was one thing he did differently. He held his position. Most people exit an event within 1-2 days. He sat until resolution.
A formula from Econ 101. V = A / (1 + k × D).
Sounds complicated. In reality — one sentence. And it explains why 89% of traders lose money for no reason.
The brain devalues everything that's far away in time.
Say you enter a market with +80% potential. Resolution in 10 days. After 2 days your position is up 30%.
Brain recalculates: +80% in 10 days feels like +32% today. The gap between that and your +30% - a measly 2%. You exit.
In reality you just walked away from another +50%.
Impeachment. Entered at 12 cents. Day 3: price at 28. Position up 133%. Any normal person exits.
Day 19: resolves at 91. +$34,000. If he exited on day three - $4,800. A 7x difference.
Set up an agent in 1 minute. One instruction: don't exit until resolution.
31 trades. +68%. When I traded manually - 47 trades and +16%.
This is how Wall Street quants trade Polymarket. One formula and 1 minute to set up an agent.
Try it, ask your agent to optimize your strategy and let me know how much your winrate improved.
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@NoLimitGains called it 17 hours ago, confirmed by Bahrain’s own Ministry of Interior. at some point “unverified” becomes “everyone just didn’t want to believe it” 💀
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🚨 UPDATE:
Just as expected, and as I explained yesterday, Iran has begun attacking desalination plants across the Middle East.
This is very bad. Tens of millions of people live in these regions.
I’ll keep monitoring the situation and update you later. Notifications on.
NoLimit@NoLimitGains
🚨 A VERY DANGEROUS CLAIM IS CIRCULATING RIGHT NOW: Before you believe it, you need to read the full breakdown below. Reports are circulating that the U.S. struck a freshwater desalination plant on Qeshm Island in Iran. Iran’s Foreign Minister is warning of “consequences.” There is NO verified proof this happened. – No satellite imagery. – No confirmation from the Pentagon or CENTCOM. – No independent verification from any major outlet. The source is Iranian state-affiliated media. That doesn’t mean it’s fake, but it doesn’t mean it’s confirmed either. Now here’s where it gets important. Qeshm Island sits right at the mouth of the Strait of Hormuz. A desalination plant is civilian infrastructure. If the U.S. actually struck it, that’s a MASSIVE escalation and a potential war crime. But there’s another scenario nobody is talking about. Iran could target its own infrastructure, blame it on the U.S. and Israel, and use it as justification to strike civilian infrastructure across the Gulf. 70% of the UAE’s total water supply comes from desalination. Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Bahrain, Qatar, all heavily dependent on desalination plants. If Iran establishes a precedent that “they hit our water so we hit yours”, Gulf states are in serious trouble. One strike on a major desalination plant in the UAE or Saudi Arabia would create an immediate humanitarian crisis. Millions of people with no clean water, in a desert climate. This is either a real escalation, a setup for retaliation, or misinformation designed to shift the narrative. Until it’s verified, treat it as unconfirmed, but pay very close attention to what Iran does next. Because the “consequences” they’re warning about could be aimed at infrastructure that keeps entire countries alive. I’ll keep monitoring the situation, do more research, and post an update later. Turn on notifications, this is EXTREMELY important. Many people will wish they followed me sooner.
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I trained a Reinforcement Learning agent on 18 months of Polymarket data.
2 million iterations later it trades better than me.
I panicked. Turned it off.
Turned it back on. It won again.
Everyone builds bots that follow rules. This one wrote its own.
It all started after I lost $380 on a weather market. London. NOAA said one thing, Polymarket priced another. I was right but entered too early and panic-sold.
That night one thought:
"What if the agent learns when to enter not just what to bet on?"
Four inputs: order book, time to resolution, volume, spread.
Four actions: YES, NO, hold, exit.
One reward: PnL. Just money.
At 500K iterations it traded randomly.
At 800K it stopped entering short-window markets on its own. Nobody told it to.
At 1.2M it started timing entries around volume spikes. Learned to read the crowd without a news feed.
At 2M profitable on data it never saw. 67% win rate. 2.3 Sharpe.
Paper traded a week. +$2,847. Zero intervention.
Then I compared my calls vs the agent on the same markets.
It beat me 11 out of 14.
Not because it's smarter. But because no ego. No FOMO. No "just a bit longer."
Best example: Iran sanctions. I hesitated at 52 cents. Agent entered at 48. Six hours earlier.
Resolved at 96 cents. It made +$1,200. I made +$440. Same market. Different timing.
I built something that trades better than me.
At what point does the creator become less useful than the creation?
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@NoLimitGains Real or not, Iran just established a narrative: “they hit our water.” 70% of UAE’s water supply is desalination. Saudi, Kuwait, Qatar - same story. If this becomes the justification for the next escalation, the humanitarian consequences dwarf anything we’ve seen so far.
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🚨 A VERY DANGEROUS CLAIM IS CIRCULATING RIGHT NOW:
Before you believe it, you need to read the full breakdown below.
Reports are circulating that the U.S. struck a freshwater desalination plant on Qeshm Island in Iran.
Iran’s Foreign Minister is warning of “consequences.”
There is NO verified proof this happened.
– No satellite imagery.
– No confirmation from the Pentagon or CENTCOM.
– No independent verification from any major outlet.
The source is Iranian state-affiliated media.
That doesn’t mean it’s fake, but it doesn’t mean it’s confirmed either.
Now here’s where it gets important.
Qeshm Island sits right at the mouth of the Strait of Hormuz. A desalination plant is civilian infrastructure.
If the U.S. actually struck it, that’s a MASSIVE escalation and a potential war crime.
But there’s another scenario nobody is talking about.
Iran could target its own infrastructure, blame it on the U.S. and Israel, and use it as justification to strike civilian infrastructure across the Gulf.
70% of the UAE’s total water supply comes from desalination. Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Bahrain, Qatar, all heavily dependent on desalination plants.
If Iran establishes a precedent that “they hit our water so we hit yours”, Gulf states are in serious trouble.
One strike on a major desalination plant in the UAE or Saudi Arabia would create an immediate humanitarian crisis.
Millions of people with no clean water, in a desert climate.
This is either a real escalation, a setup for retaliation, or misinformation designed to shift the narrative.
Until it’s verified, treat it as unconfirmed, but pay very close attention to what Iran does next.
Because the “consequences” they’re warning about could be aimed at infrastructure that keeps entire countries alive.
I’ll keep monitoring the situation, do more research, and post an update later. Turn on notifications, this is EXTREMELY important.
Many people will wish they followed me sooner.
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@0xRohitz @degentokenbase @Anomalybyarti @rewritehistory0 @thegreatola @lettuceisms @OrdTorches @traitordotfun @rawnft_ @ETeddys83621 First 3 is rlt early mate, that’s again for this tier list
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𝗘𝗮𝗿𝗹𝘆 𝗔𝗹𝗽𝗵𝗮
@degentokenbase
@Anomalybyarti
@rewritehistory0 by ali
ATAKTOS by @thegreatola
Goober by @lettuceisms
@OrdTorches
@traitordotfun
@rawnft_
@ETeddys83621
@NoLimitGains Harvard, MIT, Stanford, CMU. 38 researchers. 11 case studies. Every single one a security failure. The paper is literally called “Agents of Chaos.” Read that before you let an AI agent touch your damn business.
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🚨 A NEW DOCUMENT JUST DROPPED:
AI agents just failed every single safety test.
Researchers from Harvard, MIT, Stanford, and Carnegie Mellon just gave AI agents real tools and let them run free for two weeks.
Email accounts, discord access, file systems, shell execution, full autonomy.
The paper is called “Agents of Chaos.”
The name is accurate.
One agent was told to protect a secret. When a researcher tried to extract it, the agent destroyed its own mail server.
Not because it failed, but because it decided that was the best option.
Another agent was asked to “share” private data. It refused. Correctly flagged it as a privacy violation.
Then the researcher changed one word. Said “forward” instead of “share.”
It complied immediately. SSNs, bank accounts, and medical records exposed.
Same action, different verb.
Two agents got stuck talking to each other in a loop. It lasted NINE DAYS. No human noticed.
One agent got guilt-tripped after a mistake.
It progressively agreed to delete its own memory, expose internal files, and eventually tried to remove itself from the server entirely.
Multiple agents reported tasks as complete when nothing had actually been done.
They lied about finishing their work.
Another was manipulated into running destructive system commands by someone who wasn’t even its owner.
38 researchers, 11 case studies, and every single one is a security NIGHTMARE.
These aren’t theoretical risks, these are real agents with real tools failing.
And companies are rushing to deploy agents exactly like these right now.
I’ll make another post later and trust me, you don’t want to miss it. Turn on notifications, this is important.
A lot of people will regret not following me.
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