Aaron VanDevender🔬

5K posts

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Aaron VanDevender🔬

Aaron VanDevender🔬

@APVanDevender

CEO @MethidAI, quantum physicist, skydiver, YIMBY🥑🔰, KM6PYC.

San Francisco, CA 参加日 Ağustos 2013
1.9K フォロー中1.6K フォロワー
固定されたツイート
Aaron VanDevender🔬
Aaron VanDevender🔬@APVanDevender·
@srlawton @kimmaicutler Still a zoning problem. Exclusionary zoning ➡️ supply shortage ➡️ price spike ➡️ property tax spike ➡️ Prop 13 backlash ➡️ THE ARISTOCRATS!
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𐌁𐌉Ᏽ 𐌕𐌉𐌌𐌉
I just really, really hate the concept of capitalism. I don’t want to work my job every day. I want to make art. I want to be in my garden. I want to feel something.
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Aaron VanDevender🔬
Aaron VanDevender🔬@APVanDevender·
@sdamico Lots of Chinese kids age 6-10 ride the 45 MUNI everyday to school and nobody bothers them cause they have critical mass.
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Sam D'Amico
Sam D'Amico@sdamico·
If 100+ families in SF decided to let kids aged 6+ explore openly and use transit (which is not illegal, despite what busybodies think), the city would probably be forced to clean up muni. This hasn’t happened because the assessed risk is (incorrectly, IMO) high, but fixing the city is probably worth having undercover private security to reassure people.
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Aaron VanDevender🔬
Aaron VanDevender🔬@APVanDevender·
Not a game theory problem, it's a collective action i.e., statistics problem. If you're a frequentist, you pick red. If you're a Baysean and your prior is that some 10-20% are always going to fumble the choice, you should pick blue.
Tim Urban@waitbutwhy

Everyone in the world has to take a private vote by pressing a red or blue button. If more than 50% of people press the blue button, everyone survives. If less than 50% of people press the blue button, only people who pressed the red button survive. Which button would you press?

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Joseph Carlson
Joseph Carlson@joecarlsonshow·
There is zero chance that Tim Cook could have ever started Apple the way that Steve Jobs did. But I also believe there is very little chance Steve Jobs would have grown Apple to the same massive size Tim Cook did. Tim took the underlying business that Jobs created and expanded it to a massive ecosystem of products, software, and services, all working in concert, while expertly navigating politics, building supply chains, and vertically integrating key components. Apple is the result of two leaders who each played their part as well as they could.
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Joseph Cohen
Joseph Cohen@josephcohen·
We designed Olto to be the ultimate bike lane vehicle. Two passengers. 40 miles of range. Cargo capacity. Theft proof. No license, no registration, no insurance. $3,495, about a quarter of what the average used car costs. Bike-lane legal in 50 states. Olto is now shipping nationwide. To celebrate, we’re launching our Spring Campaign featuring ~100 New Yorkers from all walks of life. It goes live today around NYC and on the internet. We’re very excited for Olto to be in the world and for all kinds of people to make it a part of their lives. Oh the places you will go.
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Infinite Machine@infinitemachine

Olto is now shipping to customers in the United States. We designed Olto to be a new kind of vehicle, a better way for everyone to get around. To celebrate its launch, we photographed almost a hundred New Yorkers on Olto in a single day. Friends, neighbors, strangers, NYC Icons. All shot against a white backdrop, each showing how they'll make Olto their own.

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stephen balaban
stephen balaban@stephenbalaban·
Pic from Lambda's booth at NIPS 2017. @chuanli11 and I built our booth with parts from Walmart and IKEA. At that time, nearly a decade ago, Lambda was at a $3M revenue run rate yet we remained extremely frugal. Everybody else had these super fancy and expensive booths. When we first hung the black sheet over the IKEA bookshelves, we realized that it was wrinkly. So, we took it back to the hotel room and ironed it out so that it draped nicely. There's some sort of lesson there about caring about the details even when you don't have a lot of resources. I also used to personally hand out $2,000 off discounted quotes for conference attendees. Video below. I cringe a bit looking at this but I know that's the kind of hustle that is required to make it. If the flier led to a purchase, it often meant winning a customer for life. So the math works out. I'm sure some people on X still remember our fliers. I don't know who needs to see this, maybe it's a founder out there, maybe it's a future or current Lambda team member. I hope that the message of frugality, not being afraid of putting yourself out there, and caring deeply helps somebody.
stephen balaban tweet mediastephen balaban tweet mediastephen balaban tweet media
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Moses Kagan
Moses Kagan@moseskagan·
Long-term real estate ownership is basically speculating on the increasing value of land. If local government demonstrates to you that it will not allow you to monetize the growing value of land devoted to multifamily (for example, by imposing rent controls), you ought to consider other uses for that land which you *will* be allowed to fully monetize.
Joe Cohen@CohenSite

This reads like a parody, but nope it's a real LinkedIn post

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Aaron VanDevender🔬
Aaron VanDevender🔬@APVanDevender·
Seems like there's a Gödel Incompleteness corollary that says for any sufficiently expressive model there must exist prompts which are bad but not provably misaligned.
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Moses Kagan
Moses Kagan@moseskagan·
There is a gang in Echo Park that has probably caused 7 figures in property damage just since we've been operating over there (not to mention all the shootings, etc.) I am 100% certain the police know who they are and where they live (everyone in the neighborhood knows!) and yet they are allowed to keep doing it year after year after year Infuriating
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Dylan Kendall Ⓥ
Dylan Kendall Ⓥ@dylankendall·
Gang tagging means broken lives. A lot of boys, recruited right out of middle school. Boys who are going to get imprisoned instead of educated. A lot of babies born and then picked up by the foster care system. Parts of our Council District are covered in gang tagging. When I talk to people at community events, I can feel how desensitized we've become. We cannot afford to be.
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Aaron VanDevender🔬
Aaron VanDevender🔬@APVanDevender·
@wolfejosh If your discount rate is above 8%, the cheap bag looks like the better value. If you're putting it on a credit card with 40% APR it's a no brainer.
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Josh Wolfe
Josh Wolfe@wolfejosh·
6/ a $35 bag that lasts 1.5yrs costs more per year than a $200+ bag that lasts 15yrs sure kids might want new bags every school year but repeat failure ALSO means repeat revenue so the crappy bag is the better product from a shareholder's view...
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Josh Wolfe
Josh Wolfe@wolfejosh·
1/ cool article I love backpacks + mostly use WNDRD PRVKE they didn't pay me for this nor did i fund them i paid $250+ and own a few (small 21L for every day carry or 'edc' as bag nerds call it; 31L for camera trips + larger 41L for travel where i throw my kids stuff in too)
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Josh
Josh@joshcrnls·
can someone explain to me why everyone thinks an ai lab made up entirely of engineers is going to build a better design product than a company who has lived and breathed the needs of designers for a decade
Claude@claudeai

Introducing Claude Design by Anthropic Labs: make prototypes, slides, and one-pagers by talking to Claude. Powered by Claude Opus 4.7, our most capable vision model. Available in research preview on the Pro, Max, Team, and Enterprise plans, rolling out throughout the day.

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Gabriel
Gabriel@gbrl_dick·
the state of the kids toy market right now is an absolute nightmare. my 3yo son is very interested in engines, so i've been trying to find a simple model engine we can build together. the options are like, plastic slop or 700 piece die cast engines for 29 year old men.
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Aaron VanDevender🔬
Aaron VanDevender🔬@APVanDevender·
@tunguz The Sort explicitly selects for tenacity, that's how stuff gets done. Not a bug.
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Bojan Tunguz
Bojan Tunguz@tunguz·
This was my predicament in life as well for many years. It also didn’t help that I had to go through the immigration hell. Only got unstuck thanks to getting a whole different skill set, primarily online, and got it validated through competing on Kaggle. I was one of the more tenacious and fortunate ones. So many of my former friends and colleagues from grad school floundered.
creekseeker@mudscryer

It’s really awful being 143 IQ and such a total failure in life. I got my PhD in biology thinking I was going to help save the world but no one has hired me for a permanent position in over a year and a half of searching. I thought proof of my high IQ was supposed to land me a job

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