Data Orbital

Let's talk about where our Arizona Absentee Ballot/Early Voting (AB/EV) data comes from! 🤔 We use a combination of sources to bring you the most up-to-date information available to the public. Our data may differ from other early vote trackers because we pull directly from multiple county sources and the Arizona Secretary of State. Others may be able to get data in different frequencies than we can.

At SPN, our own @George_Khalaf will present policy recommendations from case studies on ESA public comment, appeals, rulemaking, and state ESA handbooks to help these programs better serve families. #SchoolChoice #ESA @StatePolicy

As AZ tobacco tax revenue declines, GOP voters in the state are open to change: 📊 62% support extending the tax to vape & alternatives 📉 27% oppose New @DataOrbital poll (Feb 25–27), commissioned by @AZFTF Details here ➡️dataorbital.com/2025/03/new-su…

New Data Orbital & @AZFreeNews 2026 GOP Primary Gubernatorial Poll! Read the article and access the survey toplines and crosstabs here: azfreenews.com/2025/01/exclus…

Monday morning #AZ update ~160k ballots were counted yesterday. ~270k ballots left to report. Of those, ~33.4k provisional. Of those, ~10k are from Maricopa. Provisional meaning many won't be counted for various reasons (different than any ballots being cured for mismatched signatures). I expect ballot counting to wrap up today. No change in AZ Legislative make up. Republicans hold a 17/13 margin in the State Senate (a pick up of one) and a 33/27 margin in the State House (a pick up of two). In AZ06 (Cong Ciscomani/Engel), I expect Ciscomani to grow his margin today. He is in a strong position to hold the AZ06 seat. Cong Ciscomani now +2,093 (.6%) AZ on pace for ~78.5% turnout (a bit lower than the high watermark of 79.9% set in 2020). #Election2024

Update on the #AZ US Senate race. There is not a path for Lake to make up the margin against Gallego. #Election2024

#AZ US Senate Update… First Pima drop of the day: 22,094 votes Gallego 54.8% Lake 42.6% Nets Gallego 2,703 votes (+12.2% margin) Overall Pima county is Gallego +22.47% so as expected, this drop is better than the overall margin. ~90k non-provisional ballots remain in

RT @George_Khalaf: For those awaiting #AZ results in the US Senate race…here is what to watch for: 1) How do subsequent updates from Maric…

Happy Saturday! #AZ Update About 150k ballots were counted yesterday. ~602k ballots left to report. Of those, ~45k provisional. Provisional meaning many won't be counted so likely ballots remaining probably closer to ~565k. We expect updates from various counties

#AZ Update Small update from Maricopa County and we now have estimated totals from every county. ~758k ballots left to report. Of those, ~45k provisional. We expect one additional update from Maricopa and updates from the other 14 counties throughout the day. Reps gained in all of the legislative races (in Maricopa County) I mentioned yesterday in both the State House and State Senate. US Senate - Gallego lead now +39,676 (1.5%) President - Trump now up 6.1% #ElectionDay

Afternoon update... *UNOFFICIAL* outstanding ballots left to be counted according to the 15 county recorders in #AZ. There are ~953k ballots left, with ~49.8k of those being provisional. We are expecting one drop from Maricopa this evening between 6pm and 7pm MDT. We

Good Morning! *UNOFFICIAL* outstanding ballots left to be reported *THAT WE KNOW ABOUT* in #AZ. There are thousands more ballots that we do not have confirmed yet so I have not listed them below. There are likely between 1million to 1.2million ballots left to be counted and

What we know in #AZ with ~1.85mil ballots reported...as a caveat, these are more than 95% early ballots received as of Tuesday/Wednesday of last week. Very little Election Day voters. 1) Trump in a strong position to win AZ 2) Lake in a tough position to be able to win 3) Reps look good to hold both chambers of State Legislature 4) A lot riding on Election Day/Late Earlies for Cong Ciscomani. A lot of Reps outstanding there 5) Jungle Primaries/Rank Choice voting loses big We don't expect another large batch of Election Day votes to be reported from Maricopa for at least another hour or so. #ElectionDay

@George_Khalaf Final breakdowns of Pima County Election Day in-person voters by Congressional District and Legislative District. This only includes in-person #ElectionDay📷📷 voting and not early ballots dropped off.

Pima County Election Day Update: As of 7:30pm MDT (9:30pm EDT) *Final Election Day In-Person Voter Update. Could have a couple more votes be reported but very close to final numbers.* Total - 71,899 Rep - 25,078 (35.73%) Dem - 18,277 (25.42%) Oth - 28,035 (38.99%) Reps finish with +7,410 more ballots than Dems (was 7,644 at the 6:30pm update). Reps decreased again in the last hour but maintain an overall lead. This only includes in-person #ElectionDay voting and not early ballots dropped off (yes, #AZ allows that).

Second to last update from Pima on Election Day in-person voters! Final will come after polls close in 26 minutes. #election2024 #AZ

Key county to keep watching for all those tracking #AZ #electionday2024 results.

Pima County Election Day Update: As of 5:30pm MDT (7:30pm EDT) Total - 63,515 Rep - 23,484 (36.97%) Dem - 15,819 (24.91%) Oth - 24,300 (38.26%) Reps +7,665 more ballots than Dems (was 7,461 at the 4:30pm update). This only includes in-person #ElectionDay📷 voting and not early ballots dropped off (yes, #AZ allows that).

~2.5 more hours until polls close in #AZ! New Pima County update below. #ElectionDay

Voting locations close in ~3.5 hours in #AZ. Anyone in line before 7pm local time will be able to vote! #ElectionDay

Breakdowns of Pima County Election Day in-person voters by Congressional District and Legislative District. This only includes in-person #ElectionDay📷 voting and not early ballots dropped off (yes, #AZ allows that). Positive numbers for Congressman Ciscomani in CD6 and for Rep team in swing district LD17.