casual_flex

@tornadotrx @ryanhallyall @AaronRigsbyOSC I unfollowed.

@ryanhallyall @AaronRigsbyOSC I hate u 😭

Here’s the problem I feel with convergence right now and the reason there’s so many people out: the low end event does not exist anymore. We’re at a point where there’s so many people monitoring so many models that any trend less than F200 gets tweeted out and tracked like it’s going to be the biggest day of the year. When you have events being tracked a week out the hype and mystique around them builds. It becomes a situation where no one even cares what the official risk is, they’ve been hyping day after day on twitter Now every new trough with a warm sector is a huge chasing opportunity to most people. Especially when it’s warm season and you get parameter space bait. When events randomly uptrend and surprise people, they have way less time to get pto or drive across the country, But I feel like more and more this just isn’t happening. I think this has become especially evident with the new ai variants of deterministic models essentially giving us over 4 really good deterministic globals. Now we also have cams that go well over 48 hours, even if they suck It’s an interesting paradigm shift imo, and I don’t think it’s a good or bad thing. it’s just a thing, something we will have to adapt to as a community.

@nynjpaweather Find out tonight for 4.99 on his onlyfans.

I'm just curious, what if the "Super El Niño" fails to develop? Would your trust in seasonal forecasts decline? Would an approach that explains an El Niño is developing be a more responsible approach than aggressively advertising a historic event based on model data alone? #weather #wxtwitter #ElNiño

@mikevendi93 @JayB7897 @WeatherOwen That has nothing to do with the water table though.

@JayB7897 @WeatherOwen The Resi in Scituate is so high that the trees are 3-4’ under water

Lack of rain 🤣🤣🤣 @WeatherOwen

@jmelmed23 That was a pretty impressive band of graupel

Turned out to be a really nice Spring day out here in Ct after I was told to get my snowblower and ice melt ready for today 🤣. Good grief when do they stop already. Up to 52 with just a few puffy clouds great for getting more yard work done.

@MyRadarWX Fascinating!

There are tornado outbreaks, there are high risks, and then there's what happened on April 7, 2006. The Storm Prediction Center draws an ultra-rare high risk – level 5 out of 5 – when there's a 30% chance of tornadoes within 25 miles of a point. (That seems confusing, but think about it this way... there's a 1 in 3 chance of a significant tornado hitting within a half hour drive of you.) That's pretty serious! But on April 7, 2006, SPC forecasters broke out a never before-seen contour – the 60% tornado risk. There hasn't been a 60% tornado risk issued since... not even on April 27, 2011. @MatthewCappucci dug through the archives. April 7 was the crescendo of a three-day outbreak from April 6-8; in all, 73 tornadoes would be confirmed across 13 states. The update came at 3:13 p.m. CT, shortly before all hell broke loose. Here's a snippet from the outlook issued by Chris Broyles: RAPID SUPERCELL INITIATION SHOULD TAKE PLACE JUST AHEAD OF A LOW TO MID-LEVEL JET PUNCHING INTO THE AREA. AS THE JET PUNCHES EWD ACROSS NRN MS AND NRN AL...SHEAR PROFILES WILL BECOME VERY FAVORABLE FOR LONG-LIVED STRONG TORNADIC SUPERCELLS. AN OUTBREAK OF STRONG TORNADOES SHOULD OCCUR ACROSS NRN AND CNTRL MS...NRN AL AND SCNTRL TN. AS THE STORMS TRACK ENEWD...SEVERAL LONG-LIVED VIOLENT TORNADOES NOW APPEAR INCREASINGLY LIKELY. In the end, two dozen tornadoes, mostly F0s and F1s, would hit northern Alabama. Interestingly, the strongest tornadoes – including a couple F3s – would track north of Nashville.

@DavisDoesWX 100$ isn't enough of an apology n I'll be coming back to this tweet. And you'll be adding another zero.

There is no defending this. For absolutely no reason should somebody as influential on severe weather preparedness in the public as Reed be making a post with that headline a week away from any weather pattern taking place. If this truly does end up being “THE MOST ACTIVE PATTERN FOR TORNADOES SINCE 2011”, I will issue an apology to Reed & donate $100 to severe weather recovery efforts. For now, I’m leaving this post with nothing but disappointment.

@Symply_rhoda1 I'll raise my kids exactly how I want. Both my kids know they have the right to defend their selves to the death of the other person.

Parents, please stop sending your kids to school with the mindset of “if someone hits you, hit them back.” You are part of the problem.

@Sceleratissimus @ryanhallyall @ReedTimmerUSA Aren't we a bit advanced to be gate keeping internet slang? Or are we still stuck in the 4th grade mentality brother?

@ryanhallyall @ReedTimmerUSA Aren't you a bit old to be using Gen alpha/Gen Z slang?

THE MOST ACTIVE PATTERN FOR TORNADOES SINCE 2011 AHEAD A historically active April for severe weather and #tornado outbreaks appears possible this month across the central ant southern Great Plains. This active stretch will begin Friday/Saturday across the Texas Panhandle and southern Plains on Sunday, then ejecting northeast on Monday. A train of large scale troughs are upstream fed by the positive North Pacific Oscillation that has persisted since 2023. Round after round of severe weather and tornadoes appears likely through much of the month of April 2026.

@meteoroloquads I'll take the guy who eats shits and cums weather models and metorlogy over some twitter weenie with slippery fingers

dont take steroids kids

@DukeOfManch Rhoad island #1 nh kinda sucks. Maine is good if you like to be bored . Vermont has to many hills. Massachusetts is just a mini ny . Ct sucks. Cuz I live here

1. New Hampshire 2. Maine 3. Vermont 4. Massachusetts 5. Rhode Island 6. Connecticut

@upshine3 Chimps be chimping out

Teacher tried to stop him until everything went south 😞

@MatthewCappucci My kids love making these.

It’s time to prepare for a very busy work stretch beginning this weekend…

@ccace_wx @jmelmed23 @mike61400 @grok You suck grok

@ccace_wx @jmelmed23 @mike61400 @grok tell him about the winter of 1816 in CT it was snowing the first week of June and by late June it was 100° . It was due to the volcano in the Philippines and lowered global temps by 3c? I believe.

Prepare for @mike61400 posts today as he’ll awaken from his winter hibernation and be glued to the models all day today 🤣😂 but trust me this is epic HRRR long range failure. Yes there’s some flurries expected tomorrow but any accumulation will be Mass north.

@ccace_wx @jmelmed23 @mike61400 In 1816 yes

@jmelmed23 @mike61400 Have you ever seen snow in late may or June?

Chemtrails are not real. The only reason why this dumb conspiracy theory even exists is because science-illiterate adults who failed 5th grade science got scared when they saw clouds trailing behind airplanes. If that frozen condensation wasn't visible, “chemtrails” wouldn't even be a thing that was talked about. Proposed stratospheric aerosol injections (SAI) are a real thing, at least in theory. But that process, which is very expensive and not widely conducted, does not produce visible “trails” behind aircraft. Clouds also do not form in the stratosphere, except for the rare polar stratospheric clouds (PSCs) seen during the winter in the Arctic and Antarctic, which form at altitudes of 15–25 km (10–15 miles) when air temperatures dip below −78°C (−108°F). PSCs are often colorful because they are created by the condensation of trace gases such as stratospheric water vapor (H₂O), nitric acid (HNO₃), and sulfuric acid (H₂SO₄). 🔗scied.ucar.edu/image/polar-st… Cloud seeding, on the contrary, is done inside of existing clouds to attempt making them more efficient at producing rainfall or snowfall, usually wintertime orographic (think mountain-produced) stratiform (gray, sheet-like) clouds or convective (fluffy, cotton ball-like cumulus) clouds. Contrails, which people on here mistake for alleged “chemtrails,” are artificial cirriform clouds akin to the natural feather-like cirrus clouds, which do not precipitate. The efficacy of cloud seeding at enhancing precipitation, however, is not really known. Estimates vary. 🔗chrismartzweather.com/2025/10/19/con… 🔗#contrails" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">epa.gov/geoengineering… That being said, I don't care if SAI or cloud seeding are banned. Cloud seeding should probably, at the very least, be more strictly regulated at a federal level. SAI should in all honesty be banned whether it is in use or not. But neither of those things have anything to do with the clouds you see overhead that form behind airplanes. Those are not examples of “spraying.” What people see are contrails and contrails only. The only way those will ever go away is if we ban air travel or change the laws of physics, the latter of which is not possible. People need to stop being paranoid about things due to some YouTube or TikTok video, and start learning a thing or two about science.

@NaderChaserRob Narcissist post. Old heads are anoyying. Can't wait for another 20 years when these dead brain hippies are gone

@bobmaxon good foggy quinibaug morning. Good morning Bob!

@MJTruthUltra Imagine thinking Joe Rogan is a licenced Dr lol

Joe Rogan’s logic is solid.. If the autism rate was 1 in every 10,000 kids x amount of years ago, and today it’s 1 in every 12 kids, at some point all children born will have autism. “Something’s going on, and don’t tell me it’s just ‘better diagnosis’s’, because that’s F*CKING HORSESH*T! That’s gaslighting to cover up for the Pharmaceutical drug complex.” Clip rumble.com/v77zrgg-at-thi… Full Show m.youtube.com/watch?v=wRJ2N8…

@NWSEastern @NOAANCEI That 30" was in a much wider area .

The Northeast Snowfall Impact Scale (NESIS) is a scale that was developed in 2004 to rank high impact Northeast snows. @NOAANCEI maintains an updated list for these storms at ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitor… which also explains the methodology. This February's storm was recently added.