The Fundamentalist

662 posts

The Fundamentalist

The Fundamentalist

@Funmentalist

$NBIS, $IREN, $NVDA, $OSCR, $HIMS, $BMNR Bull CEO and Co-founder, European investor interested in US markets Fundamentals FTW

Czechia 参加日 Mayıs 2026
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The Fundamentalist
The Fundamentalist@Funmentalist·
$ZETA Potential definitely there!! So let me write a quick summary from my research about Zeta My thesis on AI in general was always having as much 1st party data as possible and having a model that you can feed this data This will be a gamechanger for many stocks not only $ZETA, for example $HIMS They have access to the 4th largest data set after $META, $GOOG and $AMZN, which I did not know. This was a huge deal for me as it aligns with my AI thesis for successful AI businesses. I will need to do more digging into Athena, but my first feeling is that this is definitely something that you need in new environment where everyone is just looking for quick answers in LLMs like ChatGPT, Gemini, Claude, etc. So from the first glance, I see the MOAT, I see the logic behind their business model and overall rate it as interesting investment I am more of a finance guy so I obviously need to feel that the numbers make sense When I woke up today, I went through their Q1 results: - Revenue $396M +50% YoY - Adjusted EBITDA $66M +42% YoY - FCF $42M +48% YoY - GAAP net loss of -$13M So results were great, I just thought they are already profitable on GAAP basis, more research needed there from my side They RAISED 2026 quidance: Revenue to grow 37% YoY Adjusted EBITDA +43% YoY FCF +43% YoY What I really like is the increasing FCF margin now guided at 13% Now the guidance for 2028: Revenue: $2.3B + (23% CAGR) Adjusted EBITDA: $573M + (25% margin) FCF: $371M + (16% margin) I LOVE THE INCREASING MARGINS If software company can grow 23% and have 16% FCF margin you should definitely give it some premium Right now $ZETA is trading at: 2.8x forward sales 21x forward FCF In 2028: 2.2x sales 14x FCF This is really low compared to other companies like Trade Desk, Salesforce, Adobe given the compounding growth and increasing margins Summary: Definitely interesting company with reasonable MOAT The problem I have is that I am not sure what multiple I would use for it. The current valuation definitely does not see the potential but would I give it 6-10x multiple not sure yet Looking to agree/disagree with the retail bulls in the comments @wealthmatica @TheRonnieVShow Did not expect such a strong retail reaction to me looking to dive into $ZETA
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The Fundamentalist
The Fundamentalist@Funmentalist·
Really great interview about $ZETA If you are new to the company and you want to get some insights on what exactly is $ZETA capable of and what is the potential, watch this Take advantage of people doing the research for you
Steven Fiorillo@stevenfiorillo

Ok, @wealthmatica and I had a discussion about $ZETA that I think the community is going to enjoy. Thank you to Nick for coming on! Zeta Global: The MULTI-BILLION Dollar Secret is OUT! youtu.be/rcPt0Psc9Xk?si… via @YouTube

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The Fundamentalist
The Fundamentalist@Funmentalist·
yeah I agree with your arguments, that is why in my repost I say that I both agree and disagree. Additionally, I think this post is not really meant for me as a long term investor. What I am looking at is $NBIS in 2030+ becoming full stack AI cloud and I like this share price for that 4-5 years investment
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The Analyst
The Analyst@MMatters22596·
clearly, one of the best points that make $NBIS attractive, but they will still continue burning cash until 2028. Execution risk remains real and hyperscalers will at some point become competion whit a lot more pricing power and capacity. Just poiting out the downside here, I'm still long yk
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The Analyst
The Analyst@MMatters22596·
You are being fooled on $NBIS. Every day I see big Fin-X account praise the stock and preach that it's going to the moon. Those same Accounts didn't even mention $NBIS when it was sub $100. People are acting like this stock could still 5x over this year. Now I'm not a bear at all. I've been invested and bullish in $NBIS since august 2025. But the valuation is stretched here. And everyone who tells you that $NBIS can still double over the next months is straight up lying to you. It's not hitting $500 by EOY, and everyone knows it. This company is great without a doubt. And it deserves to trade at a premium compared to $CRWV or $IREN. But valuation still matters. If you plan to hold for a really long time, paying $260 might still be reasonable, when you later average down. But if you believe that $NBIS can double in a short time period, because some guru that bought at $200 told you so, you will most likely be disappointed.
The Analyst tweet media
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The Analyst
The Analyst@MMatters22596·
I agree that it's not massively overvalued based on future potential. But you need to take in execution risk as well. The path until profitability is long. $20-$25B capex is massive for a company with this revenue. If everything works out, great if not 🤷‍♂️ And I really hope that it works out
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The Fundamentalist
The Fundamentalist@Funmentalist·
I have to agree and disagree at the same time Is $NBIS overhyped by many? YES Is $NBIS overvalued here? NO There is only major execution risk as it is in the whole sector, but both ARR and EV/EBITDA multiples seem fine to me
The Analyst@MMatters22596

You are being fooled on $NBIS. Every day I see big Fin-X account praise the stock and preach that it's going to the moon. Those same Accounts didn't even mention $NBIS when it was sub $100. People are acting like this stock could still 5x over this year. Now I'm not a bear at all. I've been invested and bullish in $NBIS since august 2025. But the valuation is stretched here. And everyone who tells you that $NBIS can still double over the next months is straight up lying to you. It's not hitting $500 by EOY, and everyone knows it. This company is great without a doubt. And it deserves to trade at a premium compared to $CRWV or $IREN. But valuation still matters. If you plan to hold for a really long time, paying $260 might still be reasonable, when you later average down. But if you believe that $NBIS can double in a short time period, because some guru that bought at $200 told you so, you will most likely be disappointed.

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RonnieV
RonnieV@TheRonnieVShow·
Firm handshakes to @TheLongInvest @BullTradeFinder and @investingwithac who have been here since day one with $OSCR The amount of alpha and due diligence that has come out with Oscar Health wouldn't be a thing without this group. Congrats on the gains and to all the bulls who stuck through on this amazing company. Sorry if I missed someone, drop them below. We are just getting started.
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The Fundamentalist
The Fundamentalist@Funmentalist·
$NBIS people are getting bearish only because the stock went up a lot The simple fact is that if they keep executing the way they executed the last two years, we are still early, and the stock is undervalued $NBIS $300 EOY still remains my target
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Mi204839
Mi204839@mi20483980476·
@Funmentalist I’m just kidding. It’s my 2nd biggest too. I should have added lol. Ended up trimming 20 percent around 245 to buy NOK
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The Fundamentalist
The Fundamentalist@Funmentalist·
$NBIS bought a very small amount at $235, but as I said to you Around $213 is where I get really interested, and I might buy a significant amount relative to portfolio size
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The Fundamentalist
The Fundamentalist@Funmentalist·
$HIMS Shorts are really trying today Let them think this is a good short More shorts means more squeezing, once catalyst comes
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Mi204839
Mi204839@mi20483980476·
@Funmentalist Bud it’s going to 300 stop thinking dips are coming to you
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The Fundamentalist
The Fundamentalist@Funmentalist·
$IREN down 16% from the highs after announcing their first DC in Australia Never chase these moves unless it is something completely game-changing (instant revenue increase, margin expansion, etc) and immediately initiates repricing You will most of the times get your chance
The Fundamentalist@Funmentalist

$IREN be careful chasing this move It is not something that will immediately result into some revenue so after algos finish the work it might get faded after market opens

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The Fundamentalist
The Fundamentalist@Funmentalist·
@sudokhanh I said it before all of this happened, I warned people to be careful chasing that DC announcement pop
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The Fundamentalist
The Fundamentalist@Funmentalist·
I can provide a lot of value during bull markets I can provide even more value during bear markets During a bull market, everyone is a genius. I can see everyone spamming here triple-digit YTD, but when the bull market arrives, you will not see them post about their stocks a single time I will be there, no matter what happens, I will defend my high beta stocks like $NBIS, $IREN, $SOFI, $OSCR, $HIMS, etc. So stick with me, guys, and we will provide enough insight for you to not panic and finally outperform the market for consecutive years from now
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The Fundamentalist
The Fundamentalist@Funmentalist·
I wasted 30s of my life reading this Plain words, with 0 facts that would somehow tell you why this should happen Comparing Polygon to $NBIS is just pure comedy, be careful who you follow
Soumya@soumyasen

Nebius $NBIS reminds me of Polygon in 2022-23 when it outperformed most crypto tokens including Solana . Everyone at that time got convinced that Polygon has the most potential and Solana is trash because price action showed that and Polygon was partnering with Starbucks and what not. Then when the actual crypto boom started in Q4 of 2023 , it just faded. In my opinion , we can see the same story play out again with $CRWV replicating Solana and $NBIS as Polygon . Let’s see . Fundamentals wise there are similar parallels though I would still rate Nebius as a buy at a lower price vs I ever did with Polygon

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The Fundamentalist
The Fundamentalist@Funmentalist·
$SPCX They want your money so bad it is actually sad So let me tell you the strategy 1) Give retail as much hype as possible 2) Let retail help to drive the price over $200 3) Institutions get free liquidity The valuation is just so stupid, but it might run hard For trade it is ok and it might make you a lot of money For investment? Terrible, all stories Do your own research on this one please
Watcher.Guru@WatcherGuru

JUST IN: $3.5 trillion Goldman Sachs expects SpaceX's AI revenue to surge 100x by 2030.

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The Fundamentalist
The Fundamentalist@Funmentalist·
@daniel_koss I think this sentiment has been around for like 2 months already, $NBIS seems to get the highest bid
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Daniel Koss
Daniel Koss@daniel_koss·
$NBIS Someone knows something. Who is someone and what do they know? 🤔
Babyfolio@babyfolio

$NBIS -0.97% 🔴 $CRWV -4.22% 🔴 $IREN -7.01% 🔴 One thing that stands out to me is the relative strength in $NBIS. Even after rallying roughly 200% off the lows, it's still holding up significantly better than many names in the same theme. When a stock dramatically outperforms its peers during red days, It means someone knows something. To me, that kind of price action suggests there may still be strong demand underneath the surface. Obviously, one day doesn't prove anything, but relative strength is one of the things that gives me confidence in my position.

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The Fundamentalist
The Fundamentalist@Funmentalist·
@city8778 Stronger narrative around $NBIS, $IREN might be tapping the ATM. I would really not focus on these intraday prices
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