Kody @🏡.

UPDATED 🚨 🌑 Mar 22: “Open Hormuz in 48 hrs!” 🌓 Mar 26: “Open Hormuz in 5 days!” 🌔 Mar 27: “Open Hormuz in 10 days!” 🌕 Apr 4: “Open Hormuz in 48 hrs!” 🌒 Apr 5: “Open Hormuz by Tuesday!” 🌖 Apr 7: “Open fuckin’ strait by Tue!” 🌓 April 7: “Open Hormuz by Wednesday”

@PeterVogel This is actually fake. Just an attempt for attention for their own start-up.

The Post called the White House. But the name attached to the number read “Epstein Island.” A Google Maps error labeled the White House as “Epstein Island” on some Android phones. Google reversed the edit and the White House said it was an external issue. wapo.st/3NR5I9s

LMAO 🤣. This hour has 22 minutes strikes again ...

@NoLimitGains Ugh, why? What actual reporting has this schmuck done?

Here you go Nick, keep exposing them 👏 I support good work when I see it.

Three weeks into the war with Iran, a number of observations as someone who spent years war-gaming this scenario. 1. The U.S. and Israel may have produced regime transition in the worst possible way. Ali Khamenei was 86 and had survived multiple bouts of prostate cancer. His death in the coming years would likely have triggered a real internal reckoning in Iran, potentially opening the door to somewhat more pragmatic leadership, especially after the protests and crackdown last month. Instead, the regime made its most consequential decision under existential external threat giving the hardliners a clear upperhand. Now we appear to have a successor who is 30 years younger, deeply tied to the IRGC, and radicalized by the war itself – including the killing of family members. Disastrous. 2. About seven years ago at CNAS, I helped convene a group of security, energy, and economic experts to walk through scenarios for a U.S.--Iran war and the implications for global oil prices. What we’re seeing now was considered one of the least likely but worst outcomes. The modeling assumed the Strait of Hormuz could close for 4–10 weeks, with 1–3 years required to restore oil production once you factored in infrastructure damage. Prices could spike from around $65 to $175–$200 per barrel, before eventually settling in the $80–$100 range a year later in a new normal. 3. One surprising development: Iran is still moving oil through the Strait of Hormuz while disrupting everyone else. In most war games I participated in, we assumed Iran couldn’t close the Strait and still use it themselves. That would have made the move extremely self-defeating. But Iran appears capable of harassing global shipping while still pushing some of its own exports through. That changes the calculus. 4. The U.S. now finds itself in the naval and air equivalent of the dynamic we faced in Iraq and Afghanistan. It’s a recipe for a quagmire where we win every battle and lose the war. We have overwhelming military dominance and are exacting a tremendous cost. But Iran doesn’t need to win battles. They just need occasional successes. A small boat hitting a tanker. A drone slipping through defenses in the Gulf. A strike on a hotel or oil facility. Each incident creates insecurity and drives costs up while remind everyone that the regime is surviving and fighting. 5. The deeper problem is that U.S. objectives were set far too high. Once “regime change” becomes the implicit or explicit goal, the bar for American success becomes enormous. Iran’s bar is simple: survive and keep causing disruption. 6. The options for ending this war now are all bad. You can try to secure the entire Gulf and Middle East indefinitely – extremely expensive and maybe impossible. You can invade Iran and replace the regime, but nobody is seriously going to do that. Costs are astronomical. You can try to destabilize the regime by supporting separatist groups. It probably won’t work and if it does you’ll most likely spark a civil war producing years of bloody chaos the U.S. will get blamed for. None of these are good outcomes. 7. The other escalatory options being discussed are taking the nuclear material out of Esfahan or taking Kargh Island. Esfahan is not really workable. Huge risk. You’d have been on the ground for a LONG time to safely dig in and get the nuclear material out in the middle of the country giving Iran time to reinforce from all over and over run the American position. 8. Kharg Island can be appealing to Trump. He’d love to take Iran’s ability to export oil off the map and try to coerce them to end the war. It’s much easier because it’s not in the middle of IRan. But it’s still a potentially costly ground operation. And again. Again, the Iranian government only has to survive to win and they can probably do that even without Kargh. 9. The least bad option is the classic diplomatic off-ramp. The U.S. declares that Iran’s military capabilities have been significantly degraded, which is how the Pentagon always saw the purpose of the war. Iran declares victory for surviving and demonstrating it can still threaten regional actors. It would feel unsatisfying. But this is the inevitable outcome anyway. Better to stop now than after five or ten more years of escalating costs. Remember in Afghanistan we turned down a deal very early in the war with the Taliban that looked amazing 20 years later. Don’t need to repeat that kind of mistake. 10. The U.S. and Israel are not perfectly aligned here. Trump just needs a limited win and would see long-term instability as a negative whereas for Netanyahu a weak unstable Iran that bogs the U.S. down in the MIddle East is a fine outcome. If President Trump decided he wanted Israel to stop, he likely has the leverage to push it in that direction just as he pressured Netanyahu to take a deal last fall on Gaza. 11. When this is over, the Gulf states will have to rethink their entire security strategy. They are stuck in the absolute worst place. They didn’t start this war and didn’t want it and now they are taking with some of the worst consequences. Neither doubling down with the U.S. and Israel nor placating the Iranians seems overwhelmingly appealing. 12. One clear geopolitical winner so far: Russia. Oil prices are rising. Sanctions are coming off. Western attention and military resources are shifting away from Ukraine. From Moscow’s perspective, this war is a win win win. 13. At some point China may have a role to play here. It is the world’s largest oil importer, and much of that supply comes from the Middle East. Yes they are still getting oil from Iran. But they also buy from the rest of the Middle East, and a prolonged disruption in the Gulf hits Beijing hard. That gives China a real incentive to help push toward an end to the conflict.

@MichaelAArouet Lol... Ratio'd hard on this terrible take.

It’s always so cute when the greens miss to mention the amount of steel and concrete needed for wind turbines, and the fact that they operate at only 25% capacity max Guess what, same applies to their beloved bicycles for the cities Isn’t it childish?

@retrogradeswift Same experience here in North Van. Thought the flash was lightning, but the boom was way too big.

saw the absolute craziest flash of light through the window and 2 minutes later the loudest bang i’ve ever heard in my life and it shook the entire house. genuinely think that was a fucking meteor that just hit

Meteor shakes up the Metro Vancouver area, from the Fraser Valley through to North Vancouver. @bobmackin @BCNewsAddict

US declared war on Iran...

4 years ago Russia launched the full scale war into Ukraine. The results are: - Russia failed to topple the Ukrainian government - Russia failed to defeat the Ukrainian army - Russia failed to defeat the will of the Ukrainian people - Russia failed to take Kyiv - Russia failed to isolate Ukraine - Russia failed to take a single regional capital - Russia controls less than 20% of Ukraine compared to 27% in March 2022 - 1.2 million Russians have been killed or permanently wounded - Russian energy infrastructure leading to the West has been practically entirely eliminated, whether by sanctions or physically - Russian economy is purely a war economy producing nothing of worth for the future - Russian resource are getting taken from China for the lowest price imaginable The list can go on, but the results are clear: Despite investing everything they got into this senseless war, Russians have failed, big times. But in order to bring the war to an end, more has to be done. Ukraine's victory is the only path to sustainable peace. Aggression must not be awarded. The past has proven this over and over again. It is in our hands to end it and Putin, altogether.

We have a real problem brewing with the “Board of Peace” and it needs much more attention. 1) There is no legal entity for “Board of Peace” organized under the laws of any country, meaning it is subject to NO country’s laws. 2) Trump is acting like the US is party to it as a treaty organization, but only Congress has the power to do approve that. 3) BoP is collecting and distributing funds (JP Morgan playing as banker) but this must be in violation of Know-Your-Customer laws since BoP *doesn’t exist*. It is a transnational mafia backed only by the executive power of its members. 4) Since BoP doesn’t exist, USPTO is illegally holding its trademarks on its behalf, violating the Lanham Act, which requires that holders intend to use marks in commerce. 5) Trump signed Executive Order 14375 protecting BoP under the International Organizations Immunity Act, but this merely protects from interference, it does not legitimize or establish the organization. 6) Trump is saying he intends to use it to “oversee” the United Nations. There is no provision in the UN charter for any such oversight organization; what he means is that he is going to extort the UN by withholding US dues. This thing needs to be challenged legally and practically. If it is not stopped it will quickly evolve into a world takeover mechanism, and indeed it is already usurping US sovereignty as well as sovereignty in Gaza and of participant countries. Seriously, this is no joke and intervention is necessary NOW. The illegal trademarks are one pathway in. There are others. But whatever you do don’t brush this off as one of Trump’s follies. It’s anything but.

Wow. New FEC reports show billionaire Matt Moroun gave Trump’s super PAC $1 million last month. A few weeks later, Moroun met with Trump officials, and the next day, the president came out publicly against a rival bridge project that would cut into Moroun’s profits.

@ryangerritsen Who pays you to say this trash?

This was Joly yesterday in Toronto. She says Canada is doubling down on EV production. Once again not listening to what consumers want, but will use regulations to force a market to succeed. She also says they are going to use defense procurement money to attract new auto investments? I’m so tired of Governments controlling every single thing. EV’s are not more environmentally friendly, that is a lie. EV’s will be about controlling movement.

@RealRickRule I don't want to pay for each public service per use. Healthcare, roads, education, police and fire, EMT, military, etc. It would be more expensive.

@Kodes make your case

Sir, the most efficient way to leave people more in their bank account is to take less out of their paychecks! Canadians, please comment below, help your prime minister!

Ukraine’s people were honored at the Munich Security Conference with a top peace award.

*Trump approval rating drops to 29%* *Approval stops being measured* Don’t think I need to call the Scooby gang to solve this mystery

@jamiljivani Does he love us like he loved the little girls he's r*ped?

Productive meetings today with the White House and State Department. The President asked me to pass along a message: “Tell the Canadians I love them.” I'll have much more to say later. More meetings with Senators, GM, and others this week.

A statement like this is highly unusual and should be heeded. All 3 Alberta Courts are VERY concerned about the erosion the rule of law & the subsequent risks to democracy. Anyone who claims that the threats are overblown needs to sit down & let serious people deal.