Seb
822 posts
Seb
@MLT2022
Sports Trader• Cycling Fan•Eurovision fan The aim is to be compelling in our stupidity
参加日 Mart 2022
184 フォロー中74 フォロワー
@Reality_Tim Aside from if the staging is impressive, which of course is big if it is.
Do you think any of the other things turn into points on the night?
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@MLT2022 It’s because of how hard they’re trying. Jury friendly song on paper, Aidan has visited more countries than anyone else this year, with or without brown envelopes remains to be seen. Tease of allegedly amazing staging in podcast/YouTube interviews. Budget to bet on themselves…
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@ChrisWh08370492 Need to check i’m not missing something. Yeah staging hype the danger which I think there’s some reason to be sceptical of.
Honestly if staging isn’t much I think they’ll only qualify thanks to Australia’s presence
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@MLT2022 There is none. Underperformed in eurojury but a sense that is possibly random (think Alika 23, Iolanda 24)
That being said, market move has meant I've mostly exited my positions on them with only T10 left that I really don't like. Staging sounds good ig is the other argument
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@chuckbasspoker @DizzyJB I don’t think it’s easy and lots who talk confidently on here have and will lose.
Not everyone’s winning, most are losing.
EV fans who aren’t bettors could get a really damaging impression of nobody losing being on here
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@chuckbasspoker @DizzyJB Not trying to scrutinise your record don’t get me wrong.
I only point it out to show exactly as you say, there will be things that we all get wrong.
Last year lots got things wrong yet nobody apparently lost of course, such is Twitter
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I’m bullish on Serbia. Reluctant to say why just yet.
Could go wrong though.
If it had a less favourable RO spot. I might be tempted to bet both the NQ and Top 10. As it is I think it will scrape through even on a weaker tail outcome
chuckbasspoker@chuckbasspoker
I just discovered Serbia is 85% to qualify? Lmao what? 50% feels extremely generous (and now it sounds like Montenegro came to play too). Another classic fanwank: ”Ooh it’s so different”, this is 3min of pointless screaming, jury poison (as evidenced by EJ), and gl getting tele
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@chuckbasspoker @DizzyJB Don’t mean to be combative but don’t think Betting is ever so easy really, not at even this size event anyway, so disputing that.
Did you not consistently disregard JJ’s winning chance last year, even laying at places. Considering 🇳🇱 & 🇸🇪 major value?
Nice 🇪🇪 calls
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For the first time in 152 years — HISTORY IS MADE!!!
Trainer Cherie DeVaux watches Golden Tempo and Jose Ortiz get up at the wire to win the Kentucky Derby at odds of 23-1.
🎥: Reaction footage owned by America’s Best Racing.
@reredevaux | @jose93_ortiz | @PhippsStableFan
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@Fairforward1 They certainly are capable of quite a bit higher. I think they will fail to quite land the live delivery. If they do they beat this
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1🇫🇮 218pts
2🇦🇺 197pts
3🇩🇰 187pts
4🇫🇷 169pts
5🇬🇷 168pts
Others available on request 🤣.
I've excluded 🇸🇪🇮🇱 results here cause they had 0 jurors and there might be minor maths issues made as I haven't doubled checked but hopefully the maths degree has meant there is none 🤣
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Eurojury result if you weight each countries points by the amount of jurors in each country. I.e. ROW ranking weight 12 times more than Belgiums (12J Vs 1):
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@arcanepa99de @Reality_Tim Yeah my data on this one was just lived experience of living here and every Maltese having an Aussie connection.
Do have numbers I can check tomorrow though on historical voting
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@Reality_Tim @MLT2022 The second highest Maltese population (outside of Malta) is Australia. 550,000 living in Malta, 200,000 Maltese people in Australia. So yes, Malta is indeed a friend of Australia’s.
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Malta’s Eurojury had 11 people on it and Australia got the 12 points #Eurovision #Eurojury
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Just a reminder that someone burned down a queer bar packed full of people the other day, and it was a footnote in the news.
Lambeth, London 🇬🇧 English