固定されたツイート
Nik
1.5K posts
Nik
@Nik_Poly
Top 0.7% trader on Polymarket. Sharing some stuff about Polymarket and Crypto Partnered with Polymarket
参加日 Şubat 2026
178 フォロー中543 フォロワー
English
@Nik_Poly @tsybka @PolymarketTrade it's fairly priced, it's only a 13% yearly return when the SPY is currently in it's AI supercycle, which would probably net you more than 13% yearly. also China could invade Taiwan at any moment, imo it's a stupid trade
English
Traders have priced in a significant 27% probability for “China to invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027.”
Additionally, the market offers an “Earn 4%” rule, which increases annual yield on purchased shares.
According to U.S. intelligence data, China does not plan to invade Taiwan in 2027, instead favoring non-military approaches in this direction.
It seems like a safe investment, doesn’t it?
English
@christinemal @SkrypterX @GollumGekko1 @MikeLevin @mehdirhasan Weapon industry is way worse. It allows for the killings to happen. No weapon industry no (or less) killings
English
English
This is totally insane.
A war correspondent just received death threats from online gamblers who wanted him to change his reporting on an Iranian missile strike so they could collect a payout. One bettor had $900,000 riding on the outcome.
He told the journalist he knew where he lived and who his family members were.
This is what prediction markets on life and death actually look like in practice.
This is exactly why I introduced the DEATH BETS Act with Senator @AdamSchiff.
The DEATH BETS Act would ban contracts on assassinations, deaths of world leaders, and acts of war on platforms like Polymarket. This story shows exactly why that matters.
When you let people place million-dollar bets on whether a missile kills someone, you create a financial incentive to threaten journalists, manipulate information, and profit from human suffering.
washingtonpost.com/technology/202…
English
@Nik_Poly The june one is even better IMO. It's sitting at 70c right now. I don't see how the regime falls by June
English
HLTV Confirmed: Reload update, malbsMd & NertZ swap, EPL wrap up, BLAST Rotterdam hltv.org/news/44133/hlt…
English
For your consideration, an update pertaining to Guns, Guides, and Games: steamcommunity.com/games/CSGO/ann…
English
And today's Release Notes: steamcommunity.com/games/CSGO/ann…
English
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any player participating in an official match at BLAST Open Rotterdam 2026 visibly breaks equipment during or immediately following that match by March 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
I think that pic u sent might even not count
English
