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The greatest trick the devil ever pulled is convincing people that sports betting is a contest of who knows the most about sports
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Plus EV Analytics
35.4K posts
Plus EV Analytics
@PlusEVAnalytics
Actuary. Gambler. Pragmatist. Canadian. Small data specialist. King of korrelated parlays. Husband. Father. Below-average golfer. Parrot parent.
Toronto, Ontario 参加日 Ocak 2013
502 フォロー中29.2K フォロワー
The Betting Wars, Day 46: The morality police finds themselves backed into a corner between "support people's freedom to gamble" and "agree with Martin Shkreli"
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These guys can't get basic 4th down strategy right and now you're gonna throw meta at them?
Josh Norris@JoshNorris
Fascinating wrinkle floated here NFL might get an 18 game season, but every player limited to playing a maximum of 17 games (not QBs or ST)
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I don't think "you'll win more money but you should feel bad about it" is gonna be the messaging home run you think it is.
Gambling is Not Investing@EndBackdoorBets
Mick's Picks @MickMulvaney is riding with Michigan to cut down the nets! When wagering on your national champion, remember that prediction markets skirt the consumer protections and state tax structures that legal sportsbooks comply with.
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I do not think "Hot Steak" means what some people think it means
A hot streak is an UNINTERRUPTED period of exceptional success, luck, or high performance, often featuring multiple consecutive wins in sports, games, or business.
You cannot have a bad patch in a hot streak
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@DustinGouker Page 1 of the gambling marketing playbook is convincing sports fans who engage in fake gambling (fantasy sports, brackets, etc) to step up to the real thing
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@PlusEVAnalytics The reason most normies follow the tournament is because of brackets? There are plenty of ways to market it that doesn’t make it feel like you are an alien pretending to be an earthling
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Watching crypto people try to market sports betting is like putting a penguin in the desert.
Yes “forget the brackets” great stuff.
Coinbase 🛡️@coinbase
Forget the brackets. Trade the madness instead. The buzzer beaters, the upsets, the Cinderella runs - trade it all. We’ve got live college basketball markets, all tournament long.
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Plus EV Analytics がリツイート
4. But really, the point of my story is not that I lost a bunch of money. What makes this new era of frictionless online betting so dangerous is how easily it robs you of time, well-being, meaningful experiences, peace of mind, etc.
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I'm out of the country so can't try it, but I wonder if you could build some dope SGPs with that early payout rule. Siena ML + Duke +1.5 etc.
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@tyford32 So get creative! What's on the SGP menu that's unlikely conditional on a dog win but likely conditional on the dog going up by 10 and losing?
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How to build a marketing database full of probability-blind hopeless optimists for the cost of a few thousand dollars in insurance premium. Well played, sir.
Tarek Mansour@mansourtarek_
90 minutes left to attempt generational wealth. The odds are not zero. And it's free. You owe it to your grandchildren.
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@CirclesOffHQ I'm severely outclassed in this matchup but it was a fun ep. Some Ben the bettor controversy, some math Q&A, etc.
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March Madness - Circles Off Best Episode edition
Who do you have winning each round? What's your finals?
More interviews coming out on the channel in the coming weeks
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I think we've found the new official mobile food service partner of Major League Baseball
LASHY BILLS@LASHYBILLS
A homeless Atlanta man's restaurant, "Nasty Azz Cheeseburger", has been removed from DoorDash after countless users reported it over food safety concerns.
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@JonathanDCohen1 @astraffon That's a real ad? What the hell?
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Kalshi runs these super predatory, untruthful ads. And now 41% of prediction market users say their main reason for using the platform is to make money
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@FadeUsDave Not even top 10 biggest operator errors I've capitalized on this year
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@PlusEVAnalytics They will put you in prison for that sort of scam in canada
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Daughter won 10 tickets, machine glitched and paid her 2400.
Arcade machines do not have a "malfunction voids all pays and plays" rule.
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Yearly reminder of how 🔥 a Nova Scotia-inspired Masters dinner would be.
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