Nick (Positive Investing)
2.8K posts
Nick (Positive Investing)
@PositiveInvst
ex-Finance YouTuber with 75,000+ subscribers. Now posting my thoughts on X.
参加日 Ocak 2020
157 フォロー中1.3K フォロワー
Really curious to see the answers here…
What are 3-4 stocks that you believe are currently the most dislocated (ie undervalued) from where you think the fundamentals are going in the next 18-24 months?
**feel free to explain why you think your picks are super undervalued including your thesis and any catalysts that could/should get the stock(s) moving higher… because Twitter (X) is still the best place to find new ideas!!!
Jonah Lupton@JonahLupton
Some of you know that I launched a hedge fund several months ago (early November). We run a long/short strategy, focused on owning the 20-40 growth stocks that we believe have the most upside over the next 2-3 years... this means they need to have great fundamentals, strong management teams, compelling valuations, and multiple catalysts that we can identify and track accordingly. It's been a rough few months for many growth investors (we also took some pain)... thankfully we were averaging down into our core positions but we've still seen some red months and it has not been enjoyable. I'm not a fan of losing money. Stepping back... I've never had more conviction in my process or my portfolio than I do right now... especially with some of my favorite stocks down 20-40% from their September/October/November highs despite strong Q4 earnings reports, strong CY2026 guidance and extremely compelling valuations. With that said, here are our top 10 positions in alphabetical order: $APP $CPNG $CRDO $HIMS $HROW $SKHYNIX $IREN $NBIS $RDDT $TMDX I believe all of these stocks are trading at meaningfully higher prices in 2-3 years which remains my focus for generating outsized long-term returns. Enjoy the rest of your day 😊 NFA. DYOR. ** @FirstWaveFund owns all of the stocks mentioned in this post.
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@mukund It’s funny how something even as simple as spinach is overcooked in Indian food to the point it isn’t even green anymore 😂
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X is the worst place on the internet to be on April fools. Im skeptical of every single post i read.
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@mukund I’m half expecting someone to comment $DUOL
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@joecarlsonshow Usually a bottom indicator. Or close to it. Maybe one more big red day before we start the 2026 rally…
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My video today that highlighted why it’s a statistically, logically, and historically a good time to buy stocks has received the most negative comments so far this year of any video I’ve made.
Almost every comment is explaining why and how things can get worse than they already are.
This is almost identical to the response I had when I was bullish during the tariff sell off. Everyone explained to me then how things will never be the same and the relationships between the US and the rest of the world were damaged forever.
Of course, those investors missed out as the market quickly recovered from the tariff lows. Sentiment changed quickly as stock prices rose.
It’s a common pattern, every time stocks go down people become more convinced that they will go down further. I haven’t seen social sentiment this bad in a long time.
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@Chansoo Been using FSD for over 5 years now. Yes, it’s incredible. But the time you spend in the car on the 401 vs 407 unfortunately can’t be returned.
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In Toronto 🇨🇦, we have a toll highway 407 cuts across the entire city. Sometimes, it cuts ~50% of travel time (40 minutes vs 20 minutes) during rush hours.
It costs~ $35-40 bucks to cross the city one way. If you do a round trip, your monthly bill will add up exponentially.
FSD is only $99 bucks. it takes off all the stress of rush hour driving and reduces all the stress of commuting. This is the ultimate magic you can BUY TODAY.
$TSLA @Tesla @elonmusk @wholemars @SawyerMerritt @DriveTeslaca @Tesla_Asia @TeslaAUNZ @cybertruck
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@mukund Makes sense why they’re looking to cash out on the public markets soon..
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There is a HUGE disconnect between private market "VC" valuations and public. $SNOW vs databricks for example
for the last 19 deals I looked at -
Series B/C: ~61x ARR
Public SaaS: ~9.7x (or ~4x median)
VCs are betting on the future.
Public markets are pricing in disruption.
One of them is wrong. Possibly both.
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Huge insider buy this week. I’ll continue nibbling under $150… $PANW
Nick (Positive Investing)@PositiveInvst
$PANW - give me your bear cases. Bull case: -compounder -high FCF -acquisitions make it more of a sticky platform -undervalued -secular trend (security and AI)
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@cashflowyield Under 15%. Probably will go single digits in the coming weeks at the rate we’re selling off!
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@PositiveInvst Nick, what percentage of your portfolio is in cash right now? I'm at around 19% cash and will keep deploying it in the coming days and weeks. So many opportunities out there: $MSFT $META $MA $V $ADP $BKNG $INTU … and many more.
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Been deploying capital regularly the last 2 months. Down to the lowest cash % in a long time (probably since Covid or 2022 levels).
Will continue deploying at these prices!
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$MSFT and $META are the most obvious buys. Cant get more silver platter than this.
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@cashflowyield Fantastic companies. Attractive valuations. Definately should consider having them on a shortlist!
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@PositiveInvst Nick, what’s your opinion on $V and $MA? Higher margins and dominant moat... down almost 20% from all-time highs as well.
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Big tech trading at extremely attractive valuations. Just a few months ago investors were head over heels with how big tech will benefit from AI the most.
This is a buying opportunity imo!
$MSFT $META $AMZN $GOOGL
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@mukund Hard to ignore some of these prices. I own 3 of those 4!
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@mukund RadPower was great, but just went bankrupt 🫠
Take a look for options as Costco incase you need support and the company goes bust! This space seems very thin margins.
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@TheLongInvest Agreed. Feels similar to Google sub $200. History rhymes.
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He does have a point
$MSFT is below its 200 WMA, a typically oversold state
That is the equivalent of $GOOG going to $165 (now at $290)
And $NVDA at $91 (now at $175)
Why are people not stepping in to buy $MSFT now?
It’s the same reason why people will struggle to add $GOOG below $200, even tho they love it right now
You need to do what the masses can not do
And that’s buy as a Contrarian
Autopilot@joinautopilot
Breaking: Cramer is publicly bullish on Microsoft $MSFT "what the heck is this stock doing down here"
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