@FinanceJack44 i think you're confusing stability or cash flows with moat with the exception of asml
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scarmat
2.4K posts
I made a tier list of popular FinX stocks based on moat.
Some are unbreakable, others don’t have much.
Anything you would change here?
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@realroseceline every company sandbags it's the way the game is played no need to bag on zeta even more than you have
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If your company beats guidance ~20 times in a row is that because your company is elite or is management not trustworthy because they keep sandbagging? 🌹
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@antibearthesis both are turnarounds and take time to recover one trades a 30 times but gives you almost a 4% dividend the other trades at 9 times 1% yield but a 10% buyback yield
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@KrisPatel99 Same however I can't lie when I go check reels people sent me I do swipe watch a couple and then go back to not using it until someone else sends me a reel 🤣
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IDK how to say this without sounding offensive but the day my parents started using instagram and facebook is the day I stopped using them...
Back in the day, social media kept you engaged but it didnt crossover into the family table or even work... now it's different.
Between cancel culture and facebook becoming an old folks home... I'm not jumping on either platform these days.
I still use instagram from time to time because my wife makes me watch the reels she sends me but thats about it.
a16z@a16z
Scrolling is on the decline More charts: a16z.news/p/charts-of-th…
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@Gubloinvestor $oscr and $enph imo. High medical costs and high rates
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There are two types of penny stocks
(A) This company is not a broken company; it’s strong and has something to back it up. The stock price is down due to temporary headwinds, etc.
(B) A broken stock with a broken company, nothing to prove, and no hope of turnaround.
So you choose (A), buy, forget, and harvest wealth in 2–3 years. We know there is risk, but we know it has hope to rebound.
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@weary_centurion I mean we'll see what happens we don't know what price is paid for venmo or if it's sold at all. All I know is it's still cheap and negative growth is priced in so anything else that's not that should be good
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$PYPL
This is ultimately why I sold PayPal
It wasn’t the valuation it’s because I lost faith in the BOD after they axed Alex Chriss
Diego Scotti and Michelle Gill were probably the highest achieving execs during Alex’s leadership
Diego did amazing things with Venmo and Michelle managed to inflect SMBs back to growth
I do not think it’s coincidental that they have departed
As time goes on it seems more and more likely PayPal is going to be broken up and sold for parts
It will probably work out ok for shareholders but it’s a painful reminder of what PayPal could have been if it was managed correctly and not neglected to the point of deterioration under Schulman
I don’t think it would have mattered who the CEO was who took over in 2023, it was destined to fail. Nobody knew the full extent of the damage under the hood
I also suspect there is an entrenched corporate culture there which is obstructive towards innovation and meaningful change
A real shame
StockOpine@Stock_Opine
PayPal just dropped a new 8-K and it’s raising some serious red flags. 🚩 Yet another major leadership shakeup. Two EVPs are out: Diego Scotti (Consumer Group) and Michelle Gill (Small Business). Scotti’s exit is especially notable as he was the executive driving Venmo’s growth and monetization, and he led the launch of PayPal Everywhere and PayPal Ads. $PYPL is shifting to a new 3-unit operating model, but they are leaving critical growth engines like Venmo to interim leads. How many executive restructurings does it take before we start questioning the stability of this turnaround story?
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Portfolio Update
Apr : +1.6%
YTD: -22.2%
Cumulative: +73.6%
Holdings:
1. $NET 14.2%
2. $CRWD 12.1%
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4. $MELI 11.3%
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7. $AXON 6.3%
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10. $NOW 4.7%
11. $IOT 4.3%
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13. $RBRK 2.8%
Historical performance (TWR):
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2022: -59.6%
2023: +57.3%
2024: +24.9%
2025: +8.2%
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Past recaps: x.com/SergeyCYW/stat…
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@KrisPatel99 I thought the same to be honest but as theyve gotten better they've become stickier yes you can technically transfer data but I don't think most people would
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Ultimately I think Alex Karp will be proven right about his comments on the commoditization of AI Models.
Not sure what the ultimate value of OpenAI or Anthropic will be if they are forever locked in a battle to fight each other and other research labs to the death. The cost of switching the brain is likely easier than switching the platform.
Gonna borrow this diagram from @arny_trezzi
Natasha Mascarenhas@nmasc_
Scoop: Anthropic has gone from rebuffing unsolicited term sheets to discussing funding offers at an over $900 billion valuation. While no term sheets have been accepted, it's one key update amid a historic funding round for the company. w/ my brill colleagues @shiringhaffary @EdLudlow bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
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$NVDA not moving after big tech saw BLOWOUT earnings across the board is a bit puzzling 🤔
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@ariaradnia gotta say this every earnings reverse cramer effect
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NEW ALL TIME HIGHS AFTER HOURS $AMZN
GIF
Aria Radnia 🇮🇷@ariaradnia
I unfortunately think $AMZN gonna dump 10% after hours
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@cantonmeow allegedly Kevin warsh doesn't think the fed should step in
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Banks are too big to fail since 2008.
They are backed by the US government.
The only way for a true economic collapse, or "The Great Reset", to happen is that the US government fails.
There will be bigger problems than the stock market when that happens.
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@Dr_Crossroads yea idk could just be doing it to prove to the market how much venmo is worth because I honestly think venmo is worth the entirety of PayPals ev at the moment and I doubt they will receive that amount
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$PYPL One of the things that former CEO Alex Chriss did was integrate the siloed aspects of PayPal's business into a whole unit.
This was necessary. PayPal had failed to digest and accelerate past acquisitions, to the extent that Pay With Venmo competed directly with branded paypal (at a lower take rate).
The only way this move makes sense is selling Venmo, which is easier to do as an independent business unit, which is what I am expecting this indicates.
Wall St Engine@wallstengine
CNBC: PayPal $PYPL is separating Venmo into a standalone business unit under new CEO Enrique Lores, a move that could make the app easier to track or potentially sell. The reorg comes as takeover interest has circled PayPal, with Venmo seen as its most valuable asset.
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@HanSoloTheForce @Sam_Badawi for him it is. for a normal person no he rather buy at a cheaper valuation at a higher price a normal person should essentially always want the lowest price sometimes that comes with a higher valuation example of this is 2022.
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@QualityGrowthFV @Sam_Badawi Is that a better time to buy?
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PAUL TUDOR JONES ON BUYING THE S&P 500 RIGHT NOW:
"If you buy the S&P at this current valuation, the 10-year forward returns are negative when you buy with the S&P P/E of 22. That's what history shows."
Jones called the 1987 crash before it happened. He's not predicting a crash. He says the setup is more leveraged than anything he's seen including 2008.
"The stock market's really high, and it's going to be really hard to make money from here."
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@ChrisCamillo @GerberKawasaki he does this with every popular company he's addicted to being contrarian even if it means he's wrong
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@GerberKawasaki Bold statement for an account of your size and I doubt you want to mislead investors?
Got data showing Robinhood only profits when users lose?
Because like every broker, they make money on account growth and activity.
$HOOD
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They only make money when you gamble and lose on.... stock options, crypto and betting. This is a gambling app, nothing more. They make money when you lose. $hood
Brew Markets@brewmarkets
Robinhood stock falls 9% after reporting weaker-than-expected earnings.
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@ariaradnia prime easily insanely cheap for the value. I mean same day shipping no delivery fee Amazon prime video. No one uses it but Amazon photos as well
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@heresyfinancial I mean it's not only go up but it's a trend higher with increased volatility for sure
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Most hated bull market in history.
In the last ten years the market has seen four 20%+ bear markets and eight other 10%+ corrections
This is historically above average and puts us already on par with the 70’s and 30’s for highest frequency of bear markets
The idea that the market has done nothing but go up in the last decade is just demonstrably false
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