geldrausch

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geldrausch

geldrausch

@SimpleSwing

Freedom: To ask nothing. To expect nothing. To depend on nothing. Freedom is also the freedom to be stupid!

参加日 Ocak 2009
1.3K フォロー中1.1K フォロワー
geldrausch
geldrausch@SimpleSwing·
@SIPPNFTs You are missing the point. Everyone jeets because they “earn” 5 dollars and celebrate it. And most of those that did not jeet end up at zero. We need for the first time a project owner that has a project and is willing to share profits with those that hold a NFT equally.
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geldrausch
geldrausch@SimpleSwing·
@MartKAD No WL but project sounds interesting, bought in GL
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Martøn.
Martøn.@MartKAD·
A lot of founders can’t wait for the mint but I can’t wait for the reveal 😂😭 1 hour to mint see you very soon 👋 opensea.io/collection/mar…
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₿🧞‍♂️
₿🧞‍♂️@BR4ted·
Early Alpha: @yr365art Followers Count: 119 Probably 365 NFTs capturing the passage of time on-chain. LMK once you’ve followed them♾️
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geldrausch
geldrausch@SimpleSwing·
I like to be proven wrong, but I honestly do not see from where the new hype can come from. Those that are here are looking at the blue chip NFTs, but already all the new fully onchain NFT projects on ETH are "ignored" to the point were a value of 50 US$ per NFT is considered great. Now it is not (only) about the money. But if new and interesting projects cannot get a bid, then do not tell me that suddenly a newcomer or someone that is waiting for the turnaround is willing to pay 1k US$ or 10k US$ outside of the blue chips. Where would the money go to? Hundreds of new projects, barely interest. The only way we generate interest is by falling into the same old trap. KOLs that funnel views into some of the projects. And to be also quite direct. Yes, I see a lot of new projects coming up, but almost none have anything to offer that was not offerd in 2021. I get it, it is all about the art. But then I buy a punk or a BAYC hand display it in my living room. The last really big NFT project that everybody was talking about was what? Wolf Game? Or maybe Opepen? Maybe it is the timeline, but al the shows, podcasts that were giving a display to those projects are all gone. How would any newcomer be drawn into the rabbit hole of NFTs.
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TheJPEGGallery ⌐◨-◨
TheJPEGGallery ⌐◨-◨@thepropgallery·
Lots of people don’t want to see NFTs come back They lost money, missed out and just want to be negative I guarantee you they will survive and flourish
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geldrausch
geldrausch@SimpleSwing·
@exQUIZitely Just bought a Anbernic RG477V All the old games in one device! So much fun
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exQUIZitely 🕹️
exQUIZitely 🕹️@exQUIZitely·
I got a Game Boy for Christmas in 1990. With it came Super Mario Land (released in 1989). It was my first game and remained my favorite. What was yours?
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geldrausch
geldrausch@SimpleSwing·
@TheOG_General @Pokemon I think the pysical aspect makes a lot of the difference still. Check those art NFTs where ppl could chose NFT or physical painting. All pysical paintings have higher values than the NFT as far as I am aware.
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OG General
OG General@TheOG_General·
This is giving me serious NFT 2021 vibes… @Pokemon Free promo from Pokémon and the Van Gogh Museum collab Mass printed. Now selling for $2,300 PSA 10 Let that sink in. Different asset, same psychology. Call it addiction or conviction… but I’m still ripping packs like a maniac 😅 So what is it? 📈 The next cycle or 💣 a bubble about to explode? How is Pokemon and Sports Cards different or it should not be compared to the NFT market ?
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geldrausch
geldrausch@SimpleSwing·
@SearchDecoder @vangoyaa Check their website. They mint and show the new noun, that then is auctioned off. I would imagine that some have more interest than others. But the floor price on OS will be a guidance I assume
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SearchDecoder
SearchDecoder@SearchDecoder·
@SimpleSwing @vangoyaa True! Does rarity play any role in price action? Like do people mint to hope to get a very rare noun or rarity not as important?
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vangoya
vangoya@vangoyaa·
It’s wild to see the Nouns floor price go from 150 ETH to just 0.5 ETH. Letting 56% of your holders drain the treasury might go down as the worst DAO experiment in history.
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geldrausch
geldrausch@SimpleSwing·
True but, they have 1864 nouns minted so far. They mint one each day. To reach the 10k of for example CryptoPunks it will take them over 22 years. CryptoPunks do nothing but look good and be history. Nouns still collect the mint price every day to be added to the treasury. But if we ignore this and just see it as art and coming from a historical important time of NFTs, then I think the 0.5 ETH floor is not that bad.
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SearchDecoder
SearchDecoder@SearchDecoder·
@vangoyaa The thing is that the new ones also keep being generated if I’m Not mistaken so the collection is being inflated indefinitely
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geldrausch
geldrausch@SimpleSwing·
@adam3us @Deadpolaroidz @rodarmor But is blockspace really heavily used at the moment? I mean the ordinals frenzy is over and we managed to survive the hype phase. Why now?
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Adam Back
Adam Back@adam3us·
@Deadpolaroidz @rodarmor most people don't graffiti art on other peoples walls though - you paid for the spray paint, and the wall is public property. also imperfect analogy, but again blockspace is necessarily and inherently scarce, and there are lots of other vastly cheaper places to store digital art.
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Adam Back
Adam Back@adam3us·
evergreen explainer about the spam problem fundamentals, from Andrew Poelstra (@blksresearch). read a few times, very carefully to adjust intuitions.
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0xC0DE
0xC0DE@0xC0DE6502·
Acorn Electron 3D wireframe experiments. Now with back-face culling which looks better and is also faster. Testing cubes and Cobras at different scales. Warning: coding this stuff is highly addictive
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0xC0DE
0xC0DE@0xC0DE6502·
@DagfinnDybvig Thanks! Sorry, there is no published source code
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geldrausch
geldrausch@SimpleSwing·
@Giovann35084111 @LeviteDaniel Given the launch date approaching, you should consider pinning this page to your bio. Looking forward to reading the book.
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Giovanni's BTC_POWER_LAW
Giovanni's BTC_POWER_LAW@Giovann35084111·
🧵 THREAD: We just proved Bitcoin's 4-year halving cycle is a fundamental eigenmode of the system Using eigenvalue decomposition (SSA + DMD), we discovered something remarkable about Bitcoin's price dynamics. Let me explain what we did and why it matters... 1/ What are eigenvectors? Think of Bitcoin price as a complex signal - like a symphony with multiple instruments playing at once. Eigenvectors are the "fundamental notes" that compose this symphony. Each eigenvector captures a distinct pattern in the data, ranked by importance. 2/ How we found them: Singular Spectrum Analysis (SSA) We worked in LOG SPACE (critical!) because Bitcoin spans 6 orders of magnitude ($0.05 → $125k). We created a "trajectory matrix" from the price history and decomposed it using SVD (Singular Value Decomposition). Think of it as separating the signal into layers. 3/ What we discovered: Eigenvector 1: 98.70% of variance→ This IS the power law: Price ∝ t^5.7 → The fundamental attractor of the system → Bitcoin's "base note" Eigenvectors 2-6: 1.29% of variance→ Oscillations around the trend → This is where the magic happens... 4/ Then we applied Dynamic Mode Decomposition (DMD) DMD extracts the "Koopman eigenvalues" - these tell us the frequencies and growth rates of oscillations. We found: Short cycles: 15-30 days (market microstructure) MODES 5-6: Period = 1,530 days = 4.19 YEARS The halving cycle! 5/ Why this matters: The 4-year cycle isn't just a coincidence or narrative - it's a fundamental eigenmode of Bitcoin's dynamics. Eigenvalue |λ| = 0.9985 (slightly decaying, stable oscillation). It exists as a persistent oscillation in log-space around the power law attractor. 6/ The physics: This is exactly what renormalization group theory predicts for complex systems: A power law fixed point (dominant eigenvalue) Log-periodic oscillations (subdominant eigenvalues) Stable, bounded dynamics (all |λ| ≈ 1) Bitcoin behaves like a critical system near a phase transition. 7/ Why log space was critical: In LINEAR space: 4-year cycle INVISIBLE (buried in noise) In LOG space: 4-year cycle CLEAR (eigenmode 5-6) Why? Halvings affect price MULTIPLICATIVELY (% changes), not additively. Log space reveals the true geometry of the dynamics. 8/ Reconstruction: Blue line = Eigenvector 1 + Eigenvectors 2-6 Red line = Power law fit R² = 0.9678 (better than raw data!) We reconstructed Bitcoin's full price dynamics from just 6 eigenvectors. The math works. The physics checks out. 9/ Bottom line: The Bitcoin power law isn't just a trend line. The 4-year cycle isn't just protocol mechanics. They're fundamental eigenmodes of a complex dynamical system - proven through eigenvalue decomposition. This is physics, not hopium. TL;DR: Decomposed BTC price into eigenvectors (SSA) Found power law = dominant eigenmode (98.7%) Found 4-year halving = oscillatory eigenmode (DMD) Reconstructed full dynamics from 6 components Log space was key Math + physics confirm: Bitcoin is a critical system
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geldrausch
geldrausch@SimpleSwing·
@vangoyaa Imagine if the 375 ETH were originally bought for a total of 3750 US$… A lot of early high ETH price purchases were bought with old ETH
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vangoya
vangoya@vangoyaa·
This Autoglyph just sold for 42 ETH (~$91k). The seller originally bought it 4 years ago for 375 ETH. That is a -$1.1M loss. Wow.
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Schnuartz
Schnuartz@Schnuartz·
Anonym mit Bitcoin bezahlen? @freedomiacard macht's möglich. Heute zeige ich dir im neuen @_einundzwanzig_ Video wie die Freedomia Card - komplett ohne KYC, überall wo Visa akzeptiert wird. Freedomia Card Website: freedomia.io/a/schnuartz Google Pay / Google Wallet: wallet.google Unterstützung des Videos: @21bitcoinApp 👀 21bitcoin.app Timecodes: 00:00 – Einleitung 00:24 – Gebühren 01:33 – Gebührenvergleich 02:18 – Konto Erstellung 04:21 – Abo bezahlen 05:32 – Karte ausstellen 07:25 – Mit Handy verbinden 09:02 – Tipp bei Problemen 11:16 – BTC angekommen 12:08 – Schluss Verlinkte Videos: 00:05:02 – Alby: youtube.com/watch?v=VV2h0L… Creator des Videos: @schnuartz
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CyberMonk
CyberMonk@RealCyberMonk·
@pete_rizzo_ If he keeps the 6% APY, he'll have 10 million new X money accounts in less than a month. 😅
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The Bitcoin Historian
The Bitcoin Historian@pete_rizzo_·
JUST IN: ELON MUSK'S X MONEY SOCIAL PAYMENTS ARE NOW OFFICIALLY LIVE IN BETA A FIRST LOOK AT THE FUTURE OF FINANCE LIKE, IF YOU WANT TO BUY AND SEND #BITCOIN ON X 🔥
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geldrausch
geldrausch@SimpleSwing·
@0xfilter8 Are there any communities with whitelist, please?
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Filter8
Filter8@0xfilter8·
Terminal updated > contract deployed > mint page live > network is forming
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geldrausch
geldrausch@SimpleSwing·
@Ludalll @LilithWittmann I honestly doubt it. Way easier to go via Curaçao. There is no real advantage to enter Germany without a license but then be MGA restricted.
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Il gufetto
Il gufetto@Ludalll·
@SimpleSwing @LilithWittmann MGA has probably been covering companies operating on the black market and get paid for that. I would not be surprise
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Lilith Wittmann
Lilith Wittmann@LilithWittmann·
Dear Malta Gaming Authority, Yes, I hacked you, and the data obtained has been shared with media partners, authorities,…. And yes, we will expose the organized crime enablement schemes you created while presenting yourselves as a “legitimate public service”.
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geldrausch
geldrausch@SimpleSwing·
Game over if you look for the same action as in 2021. Obviously over the time some collections turn into grails. Like buying Lego from the 1970s But to think that the majority of people that were in the NFT scene in the last years and got ripped off left and right would come back is too optimistic. Even the big vocal X accounts stopped their podcasts and in general discussing the topic. Do you think they would come back? And the retail that till now never touched NFTs will not be large enough numbers to reactivate the hype. Same goes for memecoins or random crypto projects in general. Next hype I can see is token based IPOs with real companies. Backed by real values but still risky enough for "gambling"
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TheJPEGGallery ⌐◨-◨
TheJPEGGallery ⌐◨-◨@thepropgallery·
Every PFP collection outside of Punks resides at 5ETH or less Honestly which one can you see hitting 10ETH again? BAYC, Pudgy, Moonbirds? Or is it game over?
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geldrausch
geldrausch@SimpleSwing·
What is the update? Ok, you hacked the MGA, we know. But what did you discover that is so scandalous? The gaming authorities in general do not seem to be the places that collect the companies that everyone likes. But that is the same in Germany. Look at the digitalisation of the GGL and look at the outcome of those authorities in general. In Germany the licensed companies are the ones pressured by strikt rules while the real vulnerable people play in the unregulated black market that is not targeted (or it is verbally targeted but nothing is being done against it and all the strict rules for the licensed companies make the black market companies very attractive).
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