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Algionics
120 posts

Algionics
@algionics
Structure over prediction. Market analysis across crypto, equities, and macro. Free Indicator: https://t.co/N9h4EVazrQ
参加日 Nisan 2026
12 フォロー中29 フォロワー

Goldman isn't buying bitcoin. They're selling its volatility. Covered calls on 40 to 100% of exposure means they collect premium while capping the upside. This fund prints money when bitcoin chops sideways. It underperforms when bitcoin runs.
Wall Street doesn't want bitcoin at the moon. They want it loud enough to sell premium and quiet enough to keep the strikes safe.
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Filed at $20B in November. Paused in March. Back today at $13.3B. 33% haircut in five months. But the timing says something. BTC reclaims $75K, Deutsche Boerse puts in $200M, and Kraken just got a Fed master account with direct Fedwire access. They're not just filing an IPO. They're walking in with a banking license and European institutional money.
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Margin used at 111%
Free margin at zero.
Liquidation $739 away.
This isn't a position anymore, it's a countdown.
40x cross on a 1,030 BTC short entered at $71.6K with no room to add margin. Three months and $67M in losses and still holding. At some point conviction becomes captivity
If this liquidates at $76.4K, that's $78M in forced buying hitting the book. In a thin overnight session, that alone could push the next leg.
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Exposure ≠ vulnerability.
China is 38% exposed but has Russian pipelines, Central Asian supply, and strategic reserves. South Korea at 12% just secured a crude deal with Kazakhstan last week. Japan at 11% has the largest strategic petroleum reserve in Asia relative to consumption.
The real question is who has alternatives and who doesn’t. That ranking would look very different from this one.
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Your 64% reading and the rial’s 8% gain make sense together. Oil surging from $70s to $100+ boosted per-barrel revenue even as volumes dropped, temporarily supporting the currency.
But the US naval blockade went into effect yesterday. If Iranian crude stops flowing, the revenue floor under the rial disappears.
Your next update on this could be the most important one
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PPI below forecast is the one to watch here.
The Iran headline gives sentiment, but PPI is what moves the Fed’s hand. If rate cuts are back on the table while oil is still above $95, the Fed is stuck between inflation from energy and deflation from everything else.
Bitcoin is trading that contradiction right now
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$500M in shorts liquidated and price is sitting at $75,367. That’s a lot of fuel burned just to hold above the line. The real tell is what happens next
If $75K holds as support after absorbing that much selling pressure, resistance is flipping. Second reclaim of the same level weakens the ceiling structurally
$75,500 is where the next cluster sits. Break that and dealers in negative gamma do the rest.
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BREAKING: Bitcoin reclaims $75,000 for the second time since the US-Iran war started.
It is now up 7% in the last 24 hours, adding roughly $98 billion to its market cap.
$500 million in short positions were liquidated in the same period. The entire crypto market added $135 billion in a single day.

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Three things converging at $75K. $200M in shorts stacked above $75,500 facing liquidation. BOJ just signaled no rate hike on April 28, keeping yen carry trade alive. And Strategy’s ATM program bought roughly 10,800 BTC in a single day on April 13.
Dealers are in negative gamma at this level. If $75,500 breaks, their hedging accelerates the move up. If it rejects again, same amplification downward. This is the third test of $75K since February. The market picks a direction here.
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@2020_gtx690 @chqx_15 @hong_xu1 @nulpuleunsonamu Qian: heaven. Kun: earth. Kan: water. Li: fire. Identical to yours. On the Korean flag, they represent the four fundamental forces in balance.
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@algionics @TedPillows This isnt a directional yolo trade lol 😆
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@BitcoinJunkies $65,400 has held for six weeks straight through a war. The floor isn't price action. It's ETFs buying 50,000 BTC/month.

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Everyone's watching the EPS. I'd watch loan loss provisions instead. Trading desks probably crushed it from tariff volatility, which will make headlines look great. But if banks are quietly building reserves at the same time, that tells a different story.
Profiting from chaos while bracing for its damage. That's the real signal this week.
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🇺🇸🇺🇸 Key Events This Week:
1. Goldman Sachs $GS Earnings - Monday
2. JPMorgan Chase $JPM Earnings - Tuesday
3. Citigroup $C Earnings - Tuesday
4. Wells Fargo $WFC Earnings - Tuesday
5. U.S. PPI Inflation - Tuesday
6. Morgan Stanley $MS Earnings - Wednesday
7. Bank of America $BAC Earnings - Wednesday
8. NY Fed Manufacturing Survey - Wednesday
9. Taiwan Semi $TSM Earnings - Thursday
10. Initial Jobless Claims - Thursday
11. Philly Fed Manufacturing Survey - Thursday
12. Netflix $NFLX Earnings - Thursday
$SPY $QQQ

Jesse Cohen@JesseCohenInv
Happy Sunday! Here Are My #Top5ThingsToKnowThisWeek: 1. Q1 Earnings Season Kicks Off 2. $JPM $BAC $C $WFC $GS $MS Earnings 3. $NFLX $TSM $JNJ $PEP Earnings 4. PPI Inflation Data 5. Fed Speakers May The Trading Gods Be With You 🙏 $DIA $SPY $QQQ $IWM $VIX
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@steve_hanke Your posts are short, but they kill assumptions I didn't even know I was carrying. Makes me think twice before I hit reply. That's rare on this platform.
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What the job numbers don't show: $8B+ in Chinese goods rerouted through Vietnam in just 9 months of 2025. Brookings data suggests the drop in China's direct surplus is fully offset by surges through third countries. The deficit didn't shrink. It got relabeled.
And the factories that ARE coming back? 88% of reshored positions are high-tech, not blue collar. The OBBB just made robots tax-deductible in year one.
Who's actually benefiting from this?
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"To our Chinese friends in this thread"
We're a data analytics company. we just started using Twitter as part of our retail business expansion. we generally avoid political or cultural debates because thats not what we do
but the claims here were too much to scroll past
we criticize Korea just as readily when the data calls for it. we dont operate on emotion, ideology, or national pride. only data, historical evidence, patterns, and scientifically verifiable sources. thats literally our entire business model
"change the color and rotation and its original?" the answer is in the archaeological record.
earliest Korean taeguk pattern: Baekje wooden tablet, Naju, 618 AD. Silla Gameunsa stone carving, 682 AD.
earliest Chinese taiji diagram: Zhou Dunyi, 1070 AD. 400 year gap. and Zhou Dunyi's original diagram wasnt even the swirl pattern we know today, it was concentric circles.
the swirl form first appeared in China with Zhao Huiqian in the 1370s.
Korean style is red+blue, top-bottom swirl. Chinese style is black+white, left-right. the name was borrowed, the design was not
until you close that 400 ~ 752year gap in the archaeological record, nationalist claims carry no weight. approaching history with zero depth and using it to fuel cultural conflict says more about your own bias than anything else
we're not on Korea's side or China's side. instead of picking a fight, check what you had wrong
And for the record, even Chinese scholars dont claim their taiji diagram is the original pattern. Zhou Dunyi's 1070 AD date is from their own academic sources, and the 400 ~ 752year gap has never been disputed in any peer-reviewed research. so if your own scholars arent making this claim, maybe ask yourself why you are
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