Betsbehavingya

@notthatgeorgez1 @YipStrickler @BarstoolClassic 😘

@betsbehavingya @YipStrickler @BarstoolClassic Wow… I think he is being serious and he really thought he was nice with the “feel free to use chatgpt to do 1500/150” 🤡🤡🤡🤡🤡🤡

Davis McDulin and Blake Poe claimed the top spot at the first @BarstoolClassic qualifier of 2026. Blake was a 7.2 handicap index and fired an even Par 71 (NET 62) from the Black Tees at The Park. According to the United Sandbagger Guardian Agency’s (USGA) score probability table, the odds of Blake shooting a 71 were 1 out of 1,580.6. #TheYipRule #golf #journalism

@notthatgeorgez1 @YipStrickler @BarstoolClassic You’re right, that was a punch down. I should have been more sensitive with those who only get to loan brain cells rather than own them.

@cuse78 @greenbackzach @YipStrickler @BarstoolClassic But the more astonishing thing which feels more cultural, is how incredibly resolute, smug and self congratulatory they are while simultaneously being wrong. It’s like they want to convince us they’ve followed Blake Poe and his scores for years….

@greenbackzach @betsbehavingya @YipStrickler @BarstoolClassic You’re not getting it. In isolation yes- but when you have a large enough sampling size that you are monitoring, obviously you’ll eventually find it happening by chance.

@cuse78 @greenbackzach @YipStrickler @BarstoolClassic You’re only the second person to get this. It’s literally like a ratio of 95% of responses not realising the reason Blake Poe’s score is under scrutiny is BECAUSE HE WAS THE OUTLIER of the day in a large field. Despite it being the first line of stricklers tweet…

@evisnegative @ryanb1188 @YipStrickler @BarstoolClassic That’s the exact point I was raising. If people choose option 2 on every net golf tournament they’ll witch hunt every winner. The first line of stricklers tweet identified him as tournament winner, and then the deepdive into his score. It’s disingenuous.

Yeah I just mean I think 95% of people would likely agree with Ryan and not understand that it is a vastly different question to evaluate the probability of a specific golfer being a sandbagger if you: 1) Select them in advance, then they go into a tournament and shoot a NET 62 2) Wait until the tournament plays out then select the player who shot NET 62.

@evisnegative @ryanb1188 @YipStrickler @BarstoolClassic I’m not sure I agree with this last statement but I’m all out of arguing - and I will admit you were more concise in explanation so hopefully it got through 😂

@betsbehavingya @ryanb1188 @YipStrickler @BarstoolClassic To be fair to them it is a difficult concept to understand if you haven't taken like a collegiate level statistics class.

@greenbackzach @YipStrickler @BarstoolClassic Cool! Out of interest what odds do you have it at then that the winner of the barstool shot a net 62? (Approximate would be fine).

@betsbehavingya @YipStrickler @BarstoolClassic My man.. my brother.. I can assure you with absolute certainty this is not correct.

@evisnegative @ryanb1188 @YipStrickler @BarstoolClassic Thanks for taking on the good fight but I think you may find some of these guys unwilling to accept the conclusion! I’m now just assuming it’s all ragebait and calling it a day ha!

@ryanb1188 @betsbehavingya @YipStrickler @BarstoolClassic Hope this helps, I dont know how you can lay it out any more clearly

@ryanb1188 @evisnegative @YipStrickler @BarstoolClassic This has to be ragebait at this point. My 4 year old nephew wouldn’t be struggling this badly.

@evisnegative @betsbehavingya @YipStrickler @BarstoolClassic Jesus H. His odds of doing it are not 10 percent

@evisnegative @ryanb1188 @YipStrickler @BarstoolClassic @evisnegative exactly.

It's like you can't read. No one is saying his odds of doing it are 10%. What they are saying is that if you take 150 Non-Sandbagging golfers the odds of 1 of them shooting Net 62 is ~10%. | So just because someone shoots Net 62 in a field of 150, does not mean they are a sandbagger

@RetroGolfGame @OGChoe @ryanb1188 @YipStrickler @BarstoolClassic To take context out of it is selection bias. Sticklers first line introduces them as first place in the qualifier. There’s your selection bias. I’m astonished by the pushback on this. It may be he’s a sandbagger, but this isn’t conclusive evidence of it.

@OGChoe @betsbehavingya @ryanb1188 @YipStrickler @BarstoolClassic exactly. the 1:1500 is that specific player's likelihood from the tips — completely separate math from asking what the odds are that someone in the whole field posts a hot net round

@RetroGolfGame @OGChoe @ryanb1188 @YipStrickler @BarstoolClassic If you only want to judge people who have just won net competitions’ handicaps, you’ll judge them all to be cheats. By almost definition, winning a net comp means you were the biggest cheat of the day no?

@RetroGolfGame @OGChoe @ryanb1188 @YipStrickler @BarstoolClassic But we’re only evaluating his score as a direct result of him winning the competition, hence field size is relevant. If Blake hadn’t played, the exact same tweet would have been sent with someone else’s name in and their “probability”. Just seems like a net golf witch hunt.

@ryanb1188 @theOGLindy @roberto69481547 @YipStrickler @BarstoolClassic I would say envy doesn’t look good on you Ryan but it looks better than you trying to put an argument together.

@betsbehavingya @theOGLindy @roberto69481547 @YipStrickler @BarstoolClassic Hahahahaha

@ryanb1188 @YipStrickler @BarstoolClassic I’m not gonna spend my afternoon forwarding you the actual proof that you’re the idiot. Like a true idiot you can’t comprehend it. One thing the world has learned is how hard yanks have it at taking the Ls.

@betsbehavingya @YipStrickler @BarstoolClassic Do you think it hurts your betting success rate being an idiot?

@ryanb1188 @YipStrickler @BarstoolClassic Smart move on not including your prompt 😝

@betsbehavingya @YipStrickler @BarstoolClassic 👌

@ryanb1188 @YipStrickler @BarstoolClassic 🫡

@betsbehavingya @YipStrickler @BarstoolClassic Again, Just because there was a 9% chance of someone doing it does not in any way speak to whether this dude cheated. It is still a 1 in 1580 chance, no matter how many competitors there are. Good Lord.

@stersing_ @YipStrickler @BarstoolClassic 2/2 That’s because the “1 in 1500” is for an individual player. When approx 150 players all have that same small chance, you’re effectively giving it x 150 attempts — which pushes the chance of it happening to someone up to around 10%

@stersing_ @YipStrickler @BarstoolClassic 1/2 It was a clunky explanation originally but it doesn’t stop it being correct. At the start of play the chances (assuming around 150 competitors) that someone would shoot a “1 in 1500 round” is approximately 10%.