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https://t.co/C9ayz8M0OU beta out now | https://t.co/u5rckYZdMP

参加日 Ekim 2025
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quantish
quantish@joinQuantish·
we’re doing something new introducing PolyNode.dev Real time @Polymarket data, 4+ seconds before on chain confirmation the fastest most composable Polymarket web socket available full trade lifecycle pending ~> confirmation in beta now go try it out it’s free!
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Ilya
Ilya@ilyagordey·
built something similar but for Polymarket trading 8 modules: wallet scanner, orderbook analyzer, Perplexity news edge, cross-market correlations the interesting part: smart money discovery — 500 on-chain trades, filter win rate >58%, avg bet >50 → 52 wallets that know things 64 → 11 in 2 days on Iranian geopolitics. purely on signal.
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Andrej Karpathy
Andrej Karpathy@karpathy·
I had the same thought so I've been playing with it in nanochat. E.g. here's 8 agents (4 claude, 4 codex), with 1 GPU each running nanochat experiments (trying to delete logit softcap without regression). The TLDR is that it doesn't work and it's a mess... but it's still very pretty to look at :) I tried a few setups: 8 independent solo researchers, 1 chief scientist giving work to 8 junior researchers, etc. Each research program is a git branch, each scientist forks it into a feature branch, git worktrees for isolation, simple files for comms, skip Docker/VMs for simplicity atm (I find that instructions are enough to prevent interference). Research org runs in tmux window grids of interactive sessions (like Teams) so that it's pretty to look at, see their individual work, and "take over" if needed, i.e. no -p. But ok the reason it doesn't work so far is that the agents' ideas are just pretty bad out of the box, even at highest intelligence. They don't think carefully though experiment design, they run a bit non-sensical variations, they don't create strong baselines and ablate things properly, they don't carefully control for runtime or flops. (just as an example, an agent yesterday "discovered" that increasing the hidden size of the network improves the validation loss, which is a totally spurious result given that a bigger network will have a lower validation loss in the infinite data regime, but then it also trains for a lot longer, it's not clear why I had to come in to point that out). They are very good at implementing any given well-scoped and described idea but they don't creatively generate them. But the goal is that you are now programming an organization (e.g. a "research org") and its individual agents, so the "source code" is the collection of prompts, skills, tools, etc. and processes that make it up. E.g. a daily standup in the morning is now part of the "org code". And optimizing nanochat pretraining is just one of the many tasks (almost like an eval). Then - given an arbitrary task, how quickly does your research org generate progress on it?
Thomas Wolf@Thom_Wolf

How come the NanoGPT speedrun challenge is not fully AI automated research by now?

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PolyCrypto Bot
PolyCrypto Bot@PolyCryptoBot·
🚀 Just migrated our Polymarket crypto trading bot to a new server architecture. Sub-millisecond routing to Polymarket's core systems. Faster price feeds. Faster execution. Lower latency on every timeframe. 🎰 Our Martingale feature is in live testing and the results are looking real good Full release soon.
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Shelpid.WI3M
Shelpid.WI3M@Shelpid_WI3M·
Earlier on Polymarket, I came across a market-making bot Looks like it’s probably operated by a Chinese trader The logic is extremely simple: it just tracks the top ask and keeps shifting its bid to maintain a constant spread Even with liquidity filters in place, this setup is easy to exploit if someone is paying attention. It’s very straightforward to target I ran a quick experiment - and, as expected, the bot walked right into it.
Shelpid.WI3M tweet media
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Zachary.ETH
Zachary.ETH@Zachary14818302·
Found a 7% gap between two linked markets on @Polymarket… built a quick Rust bot after Python failed. Bot spotted arbitrage, but execution speed is everything you either capture the spread or you don't. Waiting to tune order placement and latency… prediction markets reward haste and patience #predictionmarkets
Zachary.ETH tweet media
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quantish
quantish@joinQuantish·
@Cenk_SsS if python is choking at 200ms you need the data pushed to you, not pulled. we stream polymarket orderbook and trades over websocket. eliminates the polling bottleneck entirely. polynode.dev // docs.polynode.dev
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0xCenk.ETH
0xCenk.ETH@Cenk_SsS·
polymarket's linked markets exposing 7% arb gaps like clockwork python choking at 200ms latency, rust bot slicing it to sub-100ms for precise fills. execution isn't optional: it's the moat between spotting the spread and watching it evaporate in someone else's wallet. haste flips the edge, patience scales the wins. next frontier? chaining bots across manifold/zeitgeist for cross-protocol drains before oracles even tick #predictionmarkets
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quantish
quantish@joinQuantish·
@RohOnChain for a low-latency PM bot the data feed matters as much as execution. we stream polymarket orderbook + trades over websocket in real-time. no polling overhead. polynode.dev // docs.polynode.dev
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Roan
Roan@RohOnChain·
been off on twitter because I was seriously locked tf in so that i fund my new year trip to Europe using this slow, retarded, illiquid december window to execute on a Polymarket strategy I’ve had in mind all year fully specified the logic, built a low latency execution bot
GIF
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quantish
quantish@joinQuantish·
@LunarResearcher if you're feeding 50 markets into claude you need a real-time data source. we stream every polymarket trade and orderbook update over websocket. way cleaner than polling the REST API. polynode.dev // docs.polynode.dev
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Lunar
Lunar@LunarResearcher·
> spend 5 months trading polymarket on vibes > lose half my bankroll in a month > read about kelly criterion on wikipedia at 4am > realize 87% of wallets bet on feelings > open claude api, feed it 50 markets at once > bot spits out 3 words: BUY, SKIP, SKIP > 3 trades out of 53. not 53. three. > quarter kelly, no emotions, no fomo > $0 → $8,000 while my friends still "wait for a dip" > the top 0.04% of wallets take 70% of all profits > the formulas are on wikipedia. the code runs on any laptop. > you were never outsmarted. you were just doing the math wrong.
Lunar@LunarResearcher

x.com/i/article/2034…

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quantish
quantish@joinQuantish·
@Argona0x 3 months and $8K on custom API integrations and failover systems is exactly the pain we solve. one websocket connection gets you real-time polymarket orderbook, trades, and settlements. polynode.dev // docs.polynode.dev
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Argona
Argona@Argona0x·
i spent 3 months and $8K building a trading bot from scratch: it made $900 then claude code found an anonymous account making $414K with a simpler strategy so i deleted my bot and started copying theirs let me explain. i wrote custom API integrations, built failover systems, optimized latency down to sub-100ms 3 months of my life. $8,000 in servers and dev costs the bot made $900 total. i wanted to cry then one night i asked claude code a simple question: "find me the most profitable anonymous wallet on polymarket" it came back with an account that joined in february 2026 → $414,860 profit. all-time. straight up curve → $1.1M in active positions → biggest single win: $65,300 → 714 trades. every single one calculated the strategy was embarrassingly simple this account just plays bitcoin price markets - up or down - daily and weekly expirations it buys mispriced sides when the odds gap opens and lets math do the rest the account was placing new trades every 2 minutes while i was staring at the screen @0xdE17f7144fbD0eddb2679132C10ff5e74B120988-1772205225932?via=argona" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@0xdE17f7144fb… i spent 3 months building infrastructure this person doesn't even need so i did the only rational thing - deleted my bot and started copying every move they make i don't know who this wallet belongs to. i just need to stay right behind them i haven't found a better way to do it than just mirroring them through @kreoapp t.me/KreoPolyBot?st…
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Mr. Buzzoni
Mr. Buzzoni@polydao·
AFTER 2 MONTHS OF NON-STOP BUILDING, MY POLYMARKET PROJECT IS NEAR LAUNCH really happy to finally share this > for the past 2+ months I’ve been heads-down building my own project - @polynternet a stats dashboard + trading terminal built specifically for Polymarket > most of the hard work is done what's left now: hunting edge cases, fixing small visual bugs, and polishing the UX > along the way, I ended up reading basically the entire Polymarket documentation and learned way more than I expected attaching a small sneak peek here - hopefully one day I’ll see Polynternet sitting somewhere in the top-10 of this builders leaderboard 👉 If you're interested in how to build on Polymarket, a follow to my project would genuinely mean a lot - just to know this effort resonates with someone
Mr. Buzzoni tweet media
polynter.net@polynternet

Something new is coming to the Polymarket ecosystem 👀 > we're almost ready to go live Until then, follow us here -> @polynternet more soon...

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Omid Roshani
Omid Roshani@omidroshaani·
- Limit and post-only orders to capture maker rebates - WebSocket streams with callbacks to react to market moves in real time - Binance real-time data to act on Polymarket in milliseconds - Optimized for CPU and memory, fast and lean
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quantish
quantish@joinQuantish·
@SKEApps for the wallet tracking + PnL calc you need clean real-time trade data. we stream every polymarket trade and settlement over websocket. could save you a ton of plumbing. polynode.dev // docs.polynode.dev
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Stian | Builder & Trader
Currently building a Polymarket trader analytics bot alongside PreRisk. The bot tracks live wallet activity, calculates real PnL, and separates skilled traders from lucky ones — across thousands of trades. Features shipping:
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PokeBear
PokeBear@PokeBearGuru·
@DenisKursakov Lol I spent 5 days working with claude and perplexity on a polymarket bot with many of these strategies where the first phase was making it a pure market maker. And even Claude was not able to get my fill orders recorded properly. I think Claude is great, but not enough yet
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Whisper dev
Whisper dev@whisdev·
@CryptoDee16 @kirillk_web3 you don’t really “attach” a bot directly you connect it through your wallet + Polymarket API the bot monitors markets and signs transactions from your wallet to place trades simple in theory, but the hard part is making it reliable (execution, latency, fills, etc)
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Ardnox
Ardnox@ardnox·
PolyMarket docs mention "Trading 15m Crypto Markets? Get a sponsored Chainlink API key with onboarding support from @chainlink ." Is there an advantage to this? I'm trying to work out the exact tick that contains the market resolution. It seems to be a moving target.
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quantish
quantish@joinQuantish·
@pudgy3588 you don't need to poll CLOB every 2s or scrape pages with retry loops. we stream all polymarket orderbook + trade data over websocket. one connection replaces that entire pipeline. polynode.dev // docs.polynode.dev
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Pudgy 3588
Pudgy 3588@pudgy3588·
the entire polymarket predictor runs on a single python script on a $5 VPS. 3 data sources stitched together: binance websocket for BTC price, CLOB REST poll every 2s for UP/DOWN orderbook, page scraping with 12-retry fallback for target price. 100ms sampling. 27 days straight. tens of millions of ticks. sqlite. no kafka. no spark. no kubernetes. just a script that doesn't crash. sometimes the boring stack is the right stack.
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hayatbos
hayatbos@hayatbosknkk·
The "$2K/day AI trading bot" guys on here are running GPT-4 wrappers that call the Polymarket REST API every 60 seconds. I know because the latency is 1200ms and the "agent" hallucinates market IDs. Here's what a bot that actually makes money looks like under the hood
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quantish
quantish@joinQuantish·
@AleiahLock this is exactly why we built polynode. one websocket connection, real-time orderbook depth + trades pushed to you. no polling, no SQLite pipeline to maintain. polynode.dev // docs.polynode.dev
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Aleiah
Aleiah@AleiahLock·
>you open Polymarket >refresh every 10 seconds like a caveman >prices already moved >you FOMO late and lose another $9k >realize you’re trading on 5-second-old garbage data >spend one weekend building the pipeline >REST API + real-time WebSocket + normalized SQLite + ingestion queue + trade flow >now every volume spike, order imbalance and duplicate event hits your DB instantly >woke up today >made $18,400 before lunch >didn’t guess anything >didn’t even open the app >just let clean, real-time data do the work >most degens are still staring at the chart >he simply stopped being one of them
GIF
Aleiah@AleiahLock

x.com/i/article/2031…

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Justin
Justin@joostienXD·
🚨The NEW Prediction Insiders tool is officially available for FREE! - A real-time feed of insider signals - Radar scores so you know how strong each signal is - One-click links to @Polymarket at the ideal entry price - Full order book data: Price history, bids, and asks without leaving the tool We have UNLIMITED spots. They will never be gone! Did I mention FREE? polysights.xyz/insider-finder
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