Rossium

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Rossium

Rossium

@rossium

researching market inefficiencies / onchain since 2020 / founder @ObscuraIntel

magic internet money world 参加日 Haziran 2025
817 フォロー中3.5K フォロワー
slash1s
slash1s@slash1sol·
bitcoin:native HAS BLED $25,000 AND FOR THE FIRST TIME, THE MAJORITY IS BETTING IT BREAKS $50,000.. The Bitcoin price market on @1winToken just tipped to a 53% chance BTC drops to $50,000. Not a hope and not a poll. A majority of positioned money. > 71,485 bets. > $711,000 in volume. -> On a single question. When a sample that big leans bearish, it stops being sentiment and becomes signal. Traders already called this slide from the mid $80,000 before it printed. They're not waiting for the bottom -- they've already priced it. > The chart says $60,000. > The money says lower. -> Save it and try make money here.
1win Token@1winToken

UPD: bitcoin:native price: $60,000 Most 1win traders were right... There is now a 53% chance that Bitcoin hits $50,000

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Gipp 🦅
Gipp 🦅@gippp69·
@rossium I don't think I would answer these questions haha
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Rossium
Rossium@rossium·
This question is asked at Jane Street for $750k/year roles: > A drunk man stands 1 step from a cliff edge. > Every second he randomly steps forward or back with 50/50 odds. > What's the probability he eventually falls off? if you answered 50%, you just failed. drop your answer below. I'll reply to the right ones.
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hammertime
hammertime@hammertime_one·
Meta is paying $100M signing bonuses to steal AI engineers - Anthropic got Karpathy anyway. Andrej Karpathy moved from Slovakia to Toronto at 15 wanted to do quantum computing got bored, switched to AI now he's building the next Claude at Anthropic here's his story: > studied under Geoffrey Hinton - the Godfather of AI > PhD at Stanford under Fei-Fei Li - she taught him how to think > coined the term "vibe coding" - guiding AI instead of writing code > one of the founding members of OpenAI > Elon Musk personally recruited him to lead Tesla Autopilot AI > now on Anthropic's pre-training team - teaching Claude how to understand the world in 2012 he wrote: "we are very, very far, this depresses me" 10 years later he's one of the people building the systems he thought were impossible Meta reportedly offers OpenAI engineers $100M signing bonuses to switch sides and even Karpathy tweeted: "I've never felt this much behind as a programmer" the AI race is moving so fast even the people building it can't keep up
hammertime@hammertime_one

ONE OF THE MOST INFLUENTIAL CEO INTERVIEWS IN TECH HISTORY STARTS WITH A LINE THAT SOUNDS ARROGANT BUT QUIETLY REVEALS HOW ELITE TEAMS ARE REALLY BUILT In this rare 4-minute behind the scenes clip, Jobs reveals exactly why traditional hiring fails and what separates game-changers from everyone else trying to look qualified "Most managers are bozos" - Steve Jobs didn't hold back he's not talking about better hiring, he's saying most managers don't even NEED to exist his actual filter was brutal: not credentials, not experience, not culture fit just -> does this person raise the bar or lower it? if you need to manage someone heavily, you already made the wrong hire that's how Apple had english majors building manufacturing systems and first-time engineers shipping world-class products no resumes as truth, no bureaucracy as safety, just judgment 20+ years later this still cuts deeper than any modern hiring framework the AI era makes it even more relevant - coordination is getting cheaper, judgment is becoming everything watch it👇

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Rossium
Rossium@rossium·
@gippp69 gotta dive into that Hermes thing
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Gipp 🦅
Gipp 🦅@gippp69·
THIS CHINESE GUY SET UP HERMES AGENT IN 5 MINUTES, OPENED 200+ MODELS FOR $0, AND SHOWED HOW A FREE LOCAL STACK CAN REPLACE A $200/MONTH AI HABIT he walks through the setup step by step. windows, macos, linux, free api, localhost, and a clean install flow that looks way less complicated than most people assume this is the part people keep missing about Hermes. the install is only the front door. the real value starts after the first task, when the agent begins saving repeated work as reusable skills instead of forgetting everything like a normal chat tab most AI users keep renting the same output every day. Hermes turns pricing scans, review mining, research summaries, and competitor breakdowns into workflows you can run again without rebuilding the process from scratch that is why local agents are getting dangerous. not because they are flashy, but because one laptop, one model stack, and 10-20 saved skills can do the kind of repeatable work people still pay humans $300-$500 to produce watch this first, then look deeper into Hermes. the free setup is not the real story. the real story is owning the workflow, the memory, and the system that gets sharper every time you use it
Gipp 🦅@gippp69

x.com/i/article/2062…

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Movez
Movez@0xMovez·
@rossium Legend. Are you building your own product?
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Movez
Movez@0xMovez·
Claude Code creator: "Since Opus 4.5, i uninstalled my IDE. I don't edit a single line of code by hand. 100% my code is written by Claude." in 1-hour Y Combinator podcast, Boris Cherny reveals his daily Claude Code setup. Claude Code + loops + dynamic workflow Worth more than a $500 vibe-coding course.
Codez@0xCodez

x.com/i/article/2062…

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Rossium
Rossium@rossium·
@0xchromium gonna give a read. current idea is to connect iPhone with my MacBook to keep it in backpack coding while I talk to him through my phone
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Chrome
Chrome@0xchromium·
you’re missing 90% of Claude if you’re only asking him questions you asked, it replied, then it sat there doing nothing until you came back to ask again that's all a chat is, a smart tool that stays frozen until you use it a workflow is the opposite, it has a standing job and it starts itself you're not even at your desk, the trigger fires on its own and it gets to work you come back to a finished thing, not a reply you still have to do something with the entire system is going from something you operate to something that operates on its own detailed info on how to build your workflow in the article below
Chrome@0xchromium

x.com/i/article/2061…

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Rossium
Rossium@rossium·
@polydao oh where is my 30k/month startup?
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Mr. Buzzoni
Mr. Buzzoni@polydao·
GitHub Student Pack + Cursor Pro for a year = everything you need to build a $30K/month startup for free while everyone's paying $20-100/month for AI tools and developer subscriptions, students get all of this for free GitHub Student Developer Pack: > JetBrains all IDEs ($700/year) > GitHub Copilot Pro + GitHub Pro > DigitalOcean $200 cloud credit > Microsoft Azure $100 credit > Notion Education plan > FrontendMasters 6 months > Namecheap domain + SSL > Stripe - fees waived on first $1,000 Cursor Pro 1 Year: > extended limits on Agent > access to all frontier models - GPT, Claude Opus, Gemini > MCPs, skills, and hooks > cloud agents > no card required > takes 2 minutes with your .edu email > no .edu? many countries have their own student verification 📁 Cursor Pro 1 Year ↳ cursor.com/students 📁 GitHub Student Pack ↳ education.github.com/pack combined value: $2,000+ > most students don't know any of this exists bookmark this and share it with every student you know
Mr. Buzzoni@polydao

Just applied to the OpenAI Codex program and honestly didn't expect to hear back > my GitHub isn't exactly packed with activity but they still accepted they're giving away 6 months of ChatGPT Pro ($1,200 value) + Codex to developers with an active GitHub the bar is lower than people think: > active GitHub profile - even basic activity counts > a few repos with stars, or useful projects > doing vibe coding, maintaining something, contributing anything if your profile is thin: fork a few popular repos, make some commits, or create a simple useful project > one Japanese developer reported they're basically approving everyone with any active GitHub presence - not guaranteed but the signal is good apply at: openai.com/form/codex-for… > worst case they say no. best case you get $1,200 of tools for free drop your GitHub in the replies - i'll star it and subscribe so your profile looks more active 👇

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Rossium
Rossium@rossium·
@RohOnChain gotta watch this to not miss the biggest opportunities of the next 10 years
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Roan
Roan@RohOnChain·
i can't believe this 1 hour talk by the people who control the world's financial system including Ray Dalio, Jamie Dimon & Larry Fink literally told you exactly where the money is going for the next decade:
Roan@RohOnChain

x.com/i/article/2061…

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Rossium
Rossium@rossium·
@TheGreekTrader @willo2_Poly okay, my bad. Was looking at another market so yeah, main problem here is Polymarket not learning from its own mistakes which cause hundreds of thousands in losses
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The Greek Trader
The Greek Trader@TheGreekTrader·
@rossium @willo2_Poly That's the previous market. The rules weren't talking about an announcement but if MicroStrategy would "purchase". On our case it's the exact same rules but with sell instead of purchase.
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The Greek Trader
The Greek Trader@TheGreekTrader·
Did @willo2_Poly really get scammed by Polymarket or was he just a greedy dude who full ported into 'free money' and got rekt? Let's dive into it. Yesterday I made a post explaining why I thought this market would resolve to NO while YES was trading at 65% (check the screenshot or my profile). Long story short, based purely on the written rules, this looked like a YES resolution. However, there was strong precedent for it resolving NO. A previous market with almost identical rules had been clarified so that information outside the market timeframe didn't count. This was public information, although not easy for a newbie to find. It was immediately shared in the Polymarket Discord, which is why I always recommend being active there. Another reason a YES clarification would've been bad is that we'd never know when a market is actually resolved. The market timeframe was already over. If information that comes out days or weeks later that can change the outcome, how long are traders supposed to wait before considering a market settled? There are already markets where confirmation arrives days or weeks later, yet they still resolve based on what was known within the timeframe. Changing that standard would create huge uncertainty and be disastrous for the platform. Now back to Willo2. Willo2 was buying thousands of shares that MicroStrategy sold Bitcoin by May 31, AFTER the news came out at 70%-80%. (he had a few shares already, that he had sold them before the news). He saw that even though everyone knew MicroStrategy had sold the Bitcoin, the market was still trading around 70-80%, while markets for later timeframes, like June 30, were trading at 99.9% and he kept buying YES. I think we can all agree this was a dumb and greedy move. You always have to remember that if something looks too good to be true, it probably is. You don't just go all in, on something that doesn't make sense, thinking you are smarter than everyone else. And if there had been no ambiguity in the rules, Willo2 would never have been in this position because the market would've been trading at 99.9% immediately after the news came out, not 70%, when he was buying. Anyway, no matter how Polymarket clarified this market, there was always going to be massive drama. If they clarified YES, they would've gone against their own previous clarifications, which had created some level of consistency on the platform and all the sharp traders who traded based on that precedent would've been rekt. The real reason for all this drama was the unclear wording of the market. If the rules had explicitly stated that only the announcement itself mattered, it would've been clear. Instead, the wording left room for interpretation about whether information outside the timeframe should count. For me, Polymarket's biggest mistake was not clarifying the market before May 31. People had already asked for clarification specifically to avoid this exact situation. My take is that it sucks that @willo2_Poly lost $500k and I genuinely hope he makes it back. But he lost it mainly because he was greedy af. The problem isn't that Polymarket resolved this market to NO. The problem is that the rules were ambiguous enough that reasonable people could argue either side and they didn't clarify it days ago to prevent all of this.
The Greek Trader tweet mediaThe Greek Trader tweet media
willo2@willo2_Poly

I was just scammed for $500K by Polymarket. I am "willo2", the top holder of YES on "MicroStrategy sells Bitcoin by May 31st". Here's what happened:

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beamnxw ./
beamnxw ./@beamnxw·
@rossium uma oracle design is completely broken for stuff like this
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Rossium
Rossium@rossium·
Polymarket just set a precedent that breaks trust in prediction markets. 'MSTR sells any bitcoin by May 31' market resolution text said YES if MSTR sells any BTC by the deadline. source: MSTR info + on-chain data. no mention of when it's disclosed. 8-K says the sale happened May 26–31. in-window. verifiable on-chain. then a clarification dropped saying confirmation outside the window doesn't count – importing an announcement-timing rule the text never had how does anyone – retail or institutional – trust a platform that rewrites rules after the event? imagine reading the resolution text, building convictioN, understanding how 8-K filings work. then a clarification drops that wasn't anywhere in the original rules and ruins all of it. a resolution standard you can only know after the event isn't a standard
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Rossium
Rossium@rossium·
@polydao if you're not hitting limits, you're not doing enough
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Mr. Buzzoni
Mr. Buzzoni@polydao·
pov: you find out 60% of your Claude tokens were wasted the entire time an Anthropic engineer just explained why most users hit usage limits every day and have no idea it's their own fault > context rot kicks in after 300-400K tokens - dead weight from failed attempts and tool calls dilutes everything > /clear before new tasks, Esc + /rewind after failures, /compact around 250K tokens - most people skip all of this > Opus 4.8 added Dynamic Workflows, Effort control, and Fast mode - almost nobody uses them > /code-review replaced /simplify - if you're still using the old command you're doing it wrong > master CLAUDE.md and Skills and you triple useful work from the same subscription the people hitting limits every day aren't using Claude more they're using it worse save this before your next session
AdiiX@adiix_official

x.com/i/article/2061…

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Rossium
Rossium@rossium·
@gippp69 good for creators. I wish we could run opus 4.8 locally
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Gipp 🦅
Gipp 🦅@gippp69·
THIS GIRL DEVELOPER CUT A $4,200/YEAR AI VISUAL STACK BY 99% - AND BUILT THE LOCAL VERSION FROM ONE LAPTOP she went through the whole setup herself from a raw camera feed to TouchDesigner, Ollama, local models and a live visual loop that runs without paying for every request she started with a normal laptop, opened TouchDesigner, connected the camera layer, then moved the “brain” local so the system could react without waiting on cloud tools then she removed the expensive parts - $120 API months, $80 render credits, plugin chains, visual software fees and the 6-tool stack most creators keep renting the final version is the crazy part - one interface handling visuals, particles, scene logic and realtime reactions while cutting the recurring cost from hundreds a month to roughly $2 she says creators are still overpaying 95%+ for workflows that can now live on one machine, and she already built the proof before most people realize the stack changed
Gipp 🦅@gippp69

x.com/i/article/2060…

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lagerskoy
lagerskoy@lagerskoy·
Most people open Claude, ask one question and close the tab, never realizing they just touched maybe five percent of what it actually does It stopped being a chat box a while ago and became four tools that quietly erase the busywork your week is buried under > Chat for quick questions, the part everyone already uses > Cowork reads your real files, spreadsheets and documents and does the busywork > Code writes and ships working software, in the clip it builds a full app called Notespace > Projects and memory keep your context so you stop re-explaining yourself every morning > connectors plug it into Slack, Drive and your calendar so it acts instead of just answering The five percent most people use is the chat box and the other ninety five is everything they never bothered to open, which is exactly where all the saved time was hiding
SCOTTY BEAM@ScottyBeamIO

x.com/i/article/2059…

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Goaty
Goaty@goatyishere·
This Dude Made $3,588,720 Betting on Sports Most people lose money betting on sports One Polymarket trader did the opposite "sovereign2013" has generated over $3,588,720 in profit trading sports markets The craziest part? He's done it across more than 40,000 predictions Profile: @sovereign2013?via=goaty" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@sovereign2013… Some of his largest publicly visible wins: > Arizona Wildcats: +$179,120 > Utah State Aggies (-10.5): +$114,244 > Tulane vs Temple: +$81,415 That's nearly $375,000 from just three trades This isn't a lucky parlay It's thousands of bets, repeated over years, with strict sizing and risk management While most people treat sports as gambling... Some traders treat it like a financial market Save this
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Rossium
Rossium@rossium·
@0x_fokki just saw video of 8 yo going to shop owners and selling them designs made with ai
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Fokki
Fokki@0x_fokki·
🚨a 22-year-old made $20k last month with an iPhone and one insight no design skills. no team. no studio. just figured out that businesses need images and don't have time to make them. Midjourney generated 90% of the work. he uploaded, tagged, priced. > wallpaper subscriptions: $6,200 > stock photos: $5,400 > Etsy print-on-demand: $4,800 > Fiverr: $3,600 four free platforms. one phone. month 12: $20,000 the pack he spent two weeks refining made $180. the one he shipped the same day made $640. he documented the whole thing
Fokki@0x_fokki

x.com/i/article/2061…

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