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Francis E. Dec fan club ๐ŸŽ„

@IceThat48637

๊ฐ€์ž…์ผ Temmuz 2023
118 ํŒ”๋กœ์ž‰77 ํŒ”๋กœ์›Œ
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Francis E. Dec fan club ๐ŸŽ„
Francis E. Dec fan club ๐ŸŽ„@IceThat48637ยท
It's one of those day when I can't stop thinking about Hitler's Breitspurbahn project. Why does someone just build it anyway?
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Denys Shtilierman
Denys Shtilierman@DenShtiliermanยท
While the U.S. is losing control over its foreign policy and Italy is becoming an energy hub, another critically important development is unfolding in Europe. Iโ€™m referring to Germanyโ€™s new General Concept of Military Defense, signed in April 2026 by General Carsten Breyer, Inspector General of the Bundeswehr. This is the first military strategy in the history of the Federal Republic of Germany. Prior to this, such a strategy simply did not exist in Germany. Two figures you need to remember. 460,000 โ€” the target number of Bundeswehr personnel by 2035. And 2039 โ€” the year by which Germany plans to become โ€œthe strongest conventional army in Europe.โ€ This is a quote from the document โ€œGesamtkonzeption militรคrische Verteidigung.โ€ Defense Minister Boris Pistorius opens the document with the words: โ€œIn Europe, Russia remains the greatest threat to our security in the near future. Through its rearmament, it is preparing for a military confrontation with NATO and views the use of military force as a legitimate tool for advancing its interests.โ€ This is an official German document from 2026. Not a leaderโ€™s statement at a rally, not a newspaper article โ€” and it explicitly names Russia as the greatest threat to Europe. For a country that spent 20 years building Nord Stream and that, as recently as 2022, sent 5,000 helmets to Ukraine โ€” this is a civilizational shift. But there is much more of interest in the strategy. Here are a few points. The U.S. is no longer a reliable guarantor of European security. Quote: โ€œThe U.S. is key to the alliance both politically and in terms of its military capabilities. At the same time, they declare that strategically they are increasingly focused on their Western Hemisphere and the Indo-Pacific.โ€ Translation from diplomatic language to plain English: we can no longer count on the Americans. The document directly references the U.S. National Defense Strategy of 2026, in which Washington demands that allies โ€œmake greater efforts to ensure their own security.โ€ Germany is taking on a leading role in Europe. General Breyer writes: โ€œThe military strategy is based on the premise that Germany, as Europeโ€™s largest economy, must and will assume a leading role in NATO โ€” including a military one โ€” in a more complex and severe threat environment.โ€ This is a phrase that, just ten years ago, would have been unimaginable in an official German document for historical reasons. Now it is written in black and white. The first permanent deployment of a Bundeswehr combat brigade abroad is in Lithuania. Quote: โ€œThe decision, taken for the first time, to permanently station a Bundeswehr combat brigade outside Germany is a visible expression of this new role.โ€ German soldiers are permanently stationed in a country bordering Russia. This is not a rotational presence โ€” it is a permanent deployment. The Bundeswehr also explicitly identifies six key elements of modern warfare: 1. โ€œThe blurring of warโ€ โ€” the state, the economy, and the population become targets. One cannot count on the enemy to adhere to ethical and legal principles. 2. โ€œMultitemporal warfareโ€ โ€” advanced technologies such as quantum computing and robotics are used alongside inexpensive off-the-shelf tools and conventional weapons. 3. โ€œTransparent battlefieldโ€ โ€” data becomes a weapon, artificial intelligence enhances cognitive capabilities, and it is no longer possible to hide from real-time reconnaissance. 4. โ€œLong-range actionโ€ โ€” precise long-range strike capabilities. There are no safe rear areas. 5. โ€œAutomation and Autonomyโ€ โ€” the enemy will make unlimited use of AI and autonomous unmanned systems. 6. โ€œMass Effectivenessโ€ โ€” cheap, mass-produced systems become a distinct advantage. Quantity becomes quality. This is an exact description of what we see in Ukraine every day. This is the war we have been fighting for four years. The Germans now officially recognize that this is the war of the future. Development phases: Phase 1 (until 2029) โ€” maximizing defense capabilities. Rapidly bringing existing forces to combat readiness. Phase 2 (until approximately 2035) โ€” strong growth focused on the role within NATO. By this period, the Bundeswehr is expected to have 460,000 active and reserve personnel. Phase 3 (2039+) โ€” achieving technological superiority. โ€œEuropeโ€™s strongest conventional army.โ€ Six National Capability Targets that the Bundeswehr will develop separately from NATO objectives: 1. Long-range operations and air defense โ€” โ€œDeep Precision Strike.โ€ 2. The fight for information superiority using AI. 3. Networking and digitalization โ€” โ€œDigital Backboneโ€ as a cloud-based IT platform. 4. National operational command capability, including Multi-Domain Operations. 5. โ€œOperation Base Deutschlandโ€ โ€” transforming Germany into a NATO operational base. 6. National crisis response. What this means for Ukraine: Germany has finally ceased to be โ€œEuropeโ€™s great pacifistโ€ and has officially recognized Russia as its primary enemy. A country that for decades viewed its role in NATO as purely supportive is now officially asserting a claim to leadership. The Bundeswehr officially recognizes the principles of warfare that Ukraine has formulated on the battlefield with the blood of its soldiers. When Europeโ€™s largest economy writes in its first-ever military strategy: โ€œCheap, mass-produced systems become a distinct advantageโ€ โ€” this is a direct acknowledgment that the Ukrainian approach to war is strategically correct. This opens up huge markets for our defense industry. It is extremely important for us that the document effectively describes Ukraine as a provider of expertise, even if it does not name it directly. When the strategy states: โ€œThe Bundeswehr must accelerate innovation, embrace it, and quickly apply it to its own warfareโ€ โ€” this is a direct reference to what Ukraine does every day. The Germans will now learn from us. And this is not a political statement โ€” it is a legal document.
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Francis E. Dec fan club ๐ŸŽ„
Denys Shtilierman@DenShtilierman

โ€œWorld War III will begin in a few months: Russia plans to attack NATO countries in that timeframe,โ€ said Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk. He also doubts the allianceโ€™s readiness for war. I can dispel any doubts on this matter right away โ€” no, NATO is not ready. Whatโ€™s more, it is unlikely to ever be ready. At best, while Russia is invading Poland or the Baltic states, NATO will convene a meeting and decide to send body armor and express its deepest concern. Europe must understand that the only ones who care about the continentโ€™s fate are ourselves. As I have written many times, Europe needs a new military alliance that will respond decisively to threats. A defense alliance that is independent of electoral cycles and cannot be undermined by Russian agents from within. Such treaties must be technically unbreakable โ€” for example, based on blockchain technology. Only clearly defined response scenarios for various threats, which automatically come into effect, are worth signing. Quotes from Tusk: โ€œFor the whole eastern flank, my neighbours...โ€‰ the question is if NATO is still an organisation โ ready, politically and also logistically, to react, for example against Russia if they try to attack.โ€ โ€œThis is something truly serious. I'm talking about short-term perspectives, rather months than years,โ€ Tusk said, referring to a potential Russian attack. โ€œFor us, it's really important to know that everyone will treat the NATO obligations as seriously as Poland.โ€ โ€œI want to believe that [Article 5] is still valid, but sometimes, of course, I have some problems,โ€ he added. โ€œI donโ€™t want to be so pessimistic...โ€‰but what we need today is also practical context.โ€ โ€œI had some problems during the night in September when we had this pretty massive drone provocation made by the Russians,โ€ Tusk recalled. โ€œIt wasnโ€™t easy for me to convince our partners in NATO that it wasnโ€™t a random incident, it was a well-planned and prepared provocation against Poland.โ€

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