Ink Byte

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Ink Byte

Ink Byte

@InkByte

Tracking DeFi & @Polymarket narratives | Prediction markets & meta plays | @zscdao | Read me or get left

ALPHA 👉 가입일 Ağustos 2024
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Ink Byte
Ink Byte@InkByte·
I just took a NO position on an official US Iran ceasefire by March 31 on Polymarket. Entry around 69c. My reasoning is basically the same as for the March 15 market. Nothing meaningful has changed. Trump keeps demanding full nuclear concessions. Strikes are still happening almost every day. Neither side looks ready to slow things down. Talks are going nowhere and mediators have not moved the needle. And the resolution requires an official public agreement. Right now there is not even a hint of that. Market still prices YES around 25 percent. To me that feels high for March.
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Ink Byte 리트윗함
Ink Byte
Ink Byte@InkByte·
I just took a NO position on an official US Iran ceasefire by March 31 on Polymarket. Entry around 69c. My reasoning is basically the same as for the March 15 market. Nothing meaningful has changed. Trump keeps demanding full nuclear concessions. Strikes are still happening almost every day. Neither side looks ready to slow things down. Talks are going nowhere and mediators have not moved the needle. And the resolution requires an official public agreement. Right now there is not even a hint of that. Market still prices YES around 25 percent. To me that feels high for March.
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🐦Score
🐦Score@Twiter_score·
Airdrop history: how it used to be. A quick reminder what early users earned: 2020 Uniswap — 400 UNI (~$1.2k → $17k at ATH) 2021 dYdX — 310–9,529 DYDX (~$700 → $25k) ENS — 200+ ENS (~$4k → $100k+) 2022 ApeCoin — 1,043–10,950 APE (~$24k → $258k) Optimism — 327+ OP (~$400 → $5k) Evmos — 4,000 EVMOS (~$16k peak) 2023 Arbitrum — 625–10,250 ARB (~$800 → $13k) Blur — $100 → $1M+ for top traders Celestia — 100–1,000 TIA (~$800 → $8k) Pyth — 1,000 PYTH (~$500) 2024 Starknet — 700–20k STRK (~$1k → $30k) Jupiter — 1,000 JUP (~$1.7k at launch) zkSync — 450–100k ZK (~$90 → $20k) Eigenlayer — 16–1,000+ EIGEN (~$100 → $7k) Hyperliquid — 2k–300k+ HYPE (~$14k → $2M 🔥) Now the real question: Will we see airdrops like this again in the next cycle? Follow updates on @Twiter_score
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🐦Score@Twiter_score

Perps List to watch in 2026 🔥 If you’re farming the next wave of perp DEX airdrops, these should be on your radar. Hibachi — TS: 54.7 Liquid — TS: 129 Cascade — TS: 38.3 TreadFi — TS: 48.4 Backpack — TS: 379 Bullpen — TS: 147 Hotstuff — TS: 23.2 RISEx — TS: 45.4 Dreamcash — TS: 66.5 StandX — TS: 45.5 Variational — TS: 95.1 01xyz — TS: 80.2 Ethereal — TS: 75.7 Nado — TS: 57.1 GRVT — TS: 96.5 Extended — TS: 77.9 Which ones are you trading on already? Let’s see who’s early. Follow updates on @Twiter_score

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Криптанчик sand | base.eth
1/4 Earning money on @Polymarket and other prediction markets becomes much easier when you have the right tools at your disposal.With @prob_trade , you can create your own bot completely free of charge using artificial intelligence:
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Ink Byte
Ink Byte@InkByte·
@Limb0NFT The key point here is the “official statement” requirement
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Ink Byte
Ink Byte@InkByte·
@0xbobaaa Could just be someone who follows the region closely
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0xbobaaa
0xbobaaa@0xbobaaa·
he called the date of the iran strike and made $500,000 off it the trader magamyman has been on polymarket since way back in 2024 but his best hits only happened last week he specializes in middle east event calls last time he nailed the exact ceasefire date between israel and hamas this year he also called the start of the war in iran now there’s a lot of talk that people close to trump made money on this and everyone’s hunting for their wallets do you think this trader is one of them? you can easily track him here - @prob_trade
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0xbobaaa@0xbobaaa

most people get wrecked not because they think badly but because they get the info too late that’s why i’m feeling @prob_trade right now it’s not just another prediction markets terminal it’s basically a clean layer on top of trading that actually helps the ai assistant pulls quick market research saves you hours of manual digging copy trading lets you track strong traders and enter with their logic instead of chasing after the move already happened stop loss and new order types make execution way easier and take a lot of the stress out market and trader analytics help you spot where the real alpha is and where it’s just noise and it’s all in one interface no bouncing between a million tabs the biggest thing is this it’s not a magic profit button it gives you speed, structure, and a second opinion which is what most people are missing in real trading if you trade geopolitics, sports, or you just wanna move faster in prediction markets this is one of the most useful tools i’ve tested lately app.prob.trade/?ref=prob-trad…

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Dekos
Dekos@PolyDekos·
Trump said he would personally choose Iran's next leader. But traders on Polymarket - people with real millions - are giving only 13% odds that the regime will fall by March 31. Trading volume is already $22 million. I opened @prob_trade . AI ran through 5 news items - all negative, no bullish factors. Result: 12.7%. Exactly what the market says. Trump is playing to the crowd. The markets see something else: Iran is holding out, there is no uprising, and there are 25 days left. By June ~38%. By the end of 2026 ~50%. In the long term - possibly. But not now. "YES" is overrated. Math says one thing: NO is a cheap position with good upside. Who do you trust more - loud statements or real money? polymarket.com/event/will-the…
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Dekos@PolyDekos

Saudi Arabia and the UAE are joining the US in the conflict against Iran and will strike. Footage of Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's residence in Tehran shows several buildings destroyed The current whereabouts of Iran's supreme leader are unknown.

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Ink Byte
Ink Byte@InkByte·
@0x_fokki If someone had a real 92% edge they wouldn’t be sharing it on X
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Ink Byte
Ink Byte@InkByte·
most people lose in prediction markets not because they’re wrong, but because they’re late that’s why i started using @prob_trade it’s basically a trading layer on top of @Polymarket AI helps with quick market research, copy trading shows what strong traders are doing and stop loss orders make execution way easier just better tools, faster decisions and less chaos while trading
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Ink Byte
Ink Byte@InkByte·
🧵 My take on the Polymarket question: “Will Iran close the Strait by March 31?” — I’m betting NO. Yes, Iran’s Revolutionary Guards have issued very strong warnings and attacks have disrupted shipping through the Strait of Hormuz. Many companies have pulled vessels, and insurers are canceling war risk cover - essentially making the area too risky for normal traffic right now. But a true 80%+ sustained drop in moving averages caused directly by Iran’s actions - that’s a high bar. Shipping data shows near-halt activity at the moment, but that’s largely due to multiple parties choosing safety first - not an enforced legal blockade. Fully closing the Strait would hurt Iran’s own export economy and risk broad military escalation. Tehran also relies on that route for its oil trade, including shipments to big partners. Right now we’re seeing a de-facto disruption, not a sustained, enforced, measurable collapse as defined by the market. So my view is that by March 31 the conditions for a “Yes” don’t seem likely, even if tension and delays remain. I think the market may be pricing emotion and risk premiums - not the technical trigger needed to resolve YES. 🔍 So I’m leaning NO - shipping will still find some way to move or resume de-facto once immediate pressure fades.
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Rex
Rex@0xRexnftcrypto·
Ethereum is still having a tough time pushing back above $2,000. One more rejection there has the price locked in this narrow band after the latest drop. If that $2K mark keeps holding as resistance, we could see a dip back toward the $1,850 to $1,900 zone. That area is really pulling its weight these days. What's your take? $ETH
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NBIN
NBIN@Rima29962495081·
BREAKING NEWS 🇦🇷 Ángel Di María has confirmed he will play in the 2026 World Cup The Argentine legend isn’t done yet. One more dance on football’s biggest stage. 🏆🔥
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破威腾 DeFi 🌏 🐬TermMax
The fastest way to build real wealth in the creator economy isn't grinding alone it's learning exactly how the successful ones in Web3/SocialFi play the game. When someone flexes daily Løøkz claims, top Alpha Rank, or referral passive stacks on @3look_io , many newcomers think 'just spam', 'lucky', 'probably fake' then try to drag it down to their level for comfort. But real grinders on @3look_io do the opposite. They connect with winners. Join early, follow top OG grinders, reply, discuss, learn tips from high-rank users about quality engagement, aligned brand posts, referral strategy. Invite aligned creators so 10% lifetime from their rewards flows to you as passive compounding. Successful people feel comfortable around other winners because they know near fire you get warm, near winners you learn to win. I used to be comfortable with the old mindset: posting for free exposure, chasing viral $0. Now I've flipped it. Grinding @3look_io , connecting with real daily claimers, pushing Alpha Rank together. Season 1 pool is still loaded, OG spots getting limited those who connect early, learn early, capture the best share. Do you want to stay in the judging group or join the learning & stacking group? Connect with winners, become one. Ref link to start connecting (welcome bonus for them, 10% lifetime for me): 3look.io/?ref=pvt808139 Surround yourself with winners, become a winner 💜 #3look #TheLoopSeason1 #AlphaRank #OGStatus #PostToEarn"
破威腾 DeFi 🌏 🐬TermMax tweet media
破威腾 DeFi 🌏 🐬TermMax@pvt808139

GM peo! 🌅 @3look_io just listened to the community: OG status extended a bit longer 🫡 But next Alpha waves will be more limited – if you want to secure your spot, access Campaigns, and grab your share of the rewards pool, push that Alpha Rank UP now! I’m grinding daily claims + inviting real creators via ref → Alpha Rank climbing steadily, OG badge in sight. Feels good knowing consistent grind actually pays off here 🔥 Season 1 pool still loaded (30K Løøkz), early grind is still juicy. Don’t wait till waves close and regret! Check your OG eligibility on dashboard: 3look.io Join through my ref (welcome bonus + 10% lifetime from your rewards): 3look.io/?ref=pvt808139 Stay in the Top. Become OG 🥇 Let’s stack together 💜 #3look #TheLoopSeason1 #AlphaRank #OGStatus #PostToEarn

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linie
linie@linie_oo·
oil prices are going up and up, but the ceiling is not as high as you might think Iran situation hits the industry hard and the reason is blocked Strait of Hormuz - 20% of oil supply goes through there or near-zero if we’re speaking present, since tankers fear of intolerable risks Trump estimated 3-4+ weeks of his new “event” which is huge and makes $100+ easily plausible in the future but i believe $90 is absolute maximum here (for March) it’s not a physical blockade, but a commercial halt even now limited flows continue oil “cushion” is being created at this very moment and it should help for at least Trump’s 3-4 weeks the jump we’re seeing now is the momentum fear and should stabilize soon later projections (past March) depends on how situation escalates nfa dyor
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Ink Byte
Ink Byte@InkByte·
@sopersone Giving it full access and going to sleep is a move
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sopersone
sopersone@sopersone·
I gave ClawdBot one command "make money" after reading that us used ai to strike iran I had a thought what if I use it for automated trading? setup took 2 hours i had no idea what would happen next i just gave the bot full access and closed my laptop it chose the markets itself btc 15-min up/down market: polymarket.com/event/btc-updo… while I slept it trained itself: - studied 3,000+ trader reports - mastered 12 trading algorithms - ran 25 strategies simultaneously - scanned all of x for the last 30 days - built charts on every technical indicator nobody taught it any of this morning of day one almost nothing. the bot was still figuring things out. i almost shut it down... but I didn't day two - something clicked by evening the long-awaited $2,000 God bless America
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AllurePixel
AllurePixel@AllurePixel·
Day 3 of my vibecoding journey I'm buying the max plan for $250 With zero coding experience I know almost nothing about Claude Am I crazy?
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