ivan

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ivan

ivan

@IvansHQ

Stay hungry. Tech l London 🇬🇧 | Travelling

UK now in 🇬🇭 가입일 Mayıs 2023
720 팔로잉4K 팔로워
ivan
ivan@IvansHQ·
@JOKAQARMY1 if you can’t tell that this is AI you are retarded
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Aakash Gupta
Aakash Gupta@aakashgupta·
This is wild: Citrini sent a dude with $15,000 cash, recording sunglasses, and a pack of Cuban cigars to the Strait of Hormuz. What he found flips everything Wall Street thinks about the strait on its head. Every hedge fund, every macro desk, every retired general on CNBC is watching the same AIS shipping data to price Hormuz risk. The analyst signed a pledge at an Omani checkpoint promising not to gather information, then smuggled in a gimbal, a microphone kit, and a 150x zoom Leica camera past the border officer who inspected his bag. What he discovered on the ground: the AIS data everyone is trading on is missing roughly half of what's actually transiting the strait on any given day. Ships are going dark, spoofing destinations, broadcasting "CHINESE CREW OWNER" through transponder fields to avoid getting hit. Iran's ghost fleet is running 29+ laden tankers inside the Gulf with transponders off, moving an estimated $3B in crude to Malaysia since the war started. The entire market is pricing a "closed" strait off satellite imagery and transponder data that has a 50% blind spot. Every oil model, every supply forecast, every macro call built on AIS throughput numbers is working from a dataset that systematically overstates the disruption. When the signals deliberately go dark, the people staring at dashboards are the last to know what's happening. Citrini figured that out by putting a guy on a speedboat 18 miles from the Iranian coast while Shahed drones flew overhead. The gap between "what AIS says" and "what's actually transiting" is the most mispriced variable in energy right now.
Citrini@citrini

Strait of Hormuz: A CitriniResearch Field Trip The Field Report from Analyst #3 is live. citriniresearch.com/p/strait-of-ho…

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Elizabeth Warren
Elizabeth Warren@SenWarren·
Jeff Bezos has $222 billion. If he paid my wealth tax this year, we could fund insulin in America for everyone who needs it plus free school lunch for every kid in Texas—and have plenty of money left over. And Bezos would still have $215 billion dollars to spare.
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ivan
ivan@IvansHQ·
He cooked but no lies told
Jay@TheLobbyistGuy

YC is run by completely malevolent, highly unaccomplished neerdowells. Tan started a failed blogging site. Who cares? I too did that, at about age 10. Paul Graham is a repugnant antisemite and anti-American who fled to failed state of England. All of their purported wins, like AirBNB, were successful despite their involvement with these cretins. Not because of it. Just so they can pump and dump in formal secondaries, tender offers, and even more mendacious off-books schemes. I know a founder from one of these purported big win companies that they take credit for very well. He tells me this, but can’t be public about it, because they are still on the cap table until they IPO here soon. Yes, there are a few exceptional companies that have managed to produce decent products. They are few and far between. Vanishingly rare. A great many other promising young people had their massively huge potential careers ruined by getting involved with these cretins. People who would have been partners at Kirkland & Ellis by now, but are instead now trapped in the permanent San Francisco, LinkedIn slop, startup-mixer, fake “#building” startup loser underclass, even in their late 30s or early 40s. Lives and careers totally squandered. For the most part, YC is flooding the private capital markets with confabulated scam companies run by total stooge “founders” who they recruit, often from “parts unknown”, who are, in many cases, dependent on YC to solve for their questionable visa situations. Often, these companies don’t even have products that actually exist at all. Just a NextJS slop landing page and perhaps a launch video (whatever that is). It’s gotten so bad that a logo bar on a website, which used to be a strong signal of traction and credibility, is now contra-indicated. In other cases, the products are vibecoded garbage that fail to work at all (see the recent technical breakdown of Gary’s latest weird blogging platform). Their customers tend to just be other YC companies. The cash is shuffled around back and forth to create totally phony “ARR” (not a real accounting metric, btw) and “momentum”. When the founders are actual founders and not recruited third world immigrant striver freaks, the situation can be even worse. They tend to be promising young, but broke and inexperienced, kids who are set to have very meaningful and remunerative careers. Until they are sold the *false* dream of sending in a humiliation “audition” video, begging for $250K to turn their idea into reality. Why do they even need $250K when they can code a product in record time these days? Because they’re broke. As in too broke to even afford the Claude tokens and Vercel hosting fee. Much less actual prod AWS infra. Should broke people be launching tech startups? Of course not. You probably shouldn’t be launching a tech startup if you don’t have about $1M of your very own money laying around to live on. If you don’t have at least a little bit of money, you can’t even think clearly about what’s an opportunity and what is just you being exploited or wasting your time. (Btw: Bezos, Gates, Zuckerberg, et al had some money of their own before founding) But this makes them primed for exploitation. And so totally broke, naive, 20-24 year olds are preferred. The whole thing takes on a very “Harvey Weinstein” vibe. YC does not perform even the most basic due diligence throughout their involvement. Because this could only hamper their efforts to pump these companies to the Series A/Seed++ crowd. The companies are pressured to produce numbers and visible signs of “product market fit”. And inevitably, in so many cases, as founders face the prospect of early major failure, immediate financial hardship, and possible deportation, fraud ensues. Whether it be against investors, customers or the even more naive young people who sign up to be early employees. YC is a degenerate, maladapted scheme that should be shuttered sooner than later.

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ivan 리트윗함
Lain on the Blockchain
Lain on the Blockchain@CryptoCyberia·
I think of this tweet every day. I can't stop myself. Every time I see anything YC related now, it immediately comes to mind. I hope to be free of this tweet someday.
Lain on the Blockchain tweet media
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Garry Tan
Garry Tan@garrytan·
Anthropic shutting down OpenClaw may turn out to be a strategic blunder, or strategic genius. The OpenClaw community will be the determiner of whether it is A or B. It's an interesting moment in history. Personally I never bet against open source.
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Temidayo💝
Temidayo💝@rae_chloe133·
After dick , it's bedtime if she on her phone, you did bad
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Josephine Cumbo
Josephine Cumbo@JosephineCumbo·
The lack of driving tests in England has cost my son a job opportunity. He was put forward for a graudate role, but needed a licence. Earliest test that could be booked was in August, which was booked in February. He was not put forward for the role. Hugely frustrating.
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ivan
ivan@IvansHQ·
@ChaneyTrades Prepare to be disappointed whatever you are thinking
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Chaney💕
Chaney💕@ChaneyTrades·
someone figured out how to connect claude code & trading view …. say less 👀
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ivan
ivan@IvansHQ·
@ElaraJordan He owns equity via a fund don’t be dumb
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Elara Jordan
Elara Jordan@ElaraJordan·
OPENAI LEAKED CAP TABLE 🚨🚨 > Sam Altman Owns 0%!? > SoftBank investment in OpenAI: ~$64.6B (11.75%) > SoftBank is *already* up $50 BILLION > A lot of oddities with the nonprofit and “phantom equity” What in the world is going on…
Elara Jordan tweet media
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GitLawb
GitLawb@gitlawb·
For some legal reasons, we would like to rename OpenClaude. Whats your name suggestions?
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Sequoia Capital
Sequoia Capital@sequoia·
In honor of 50 years of Apple, we're sharing - for the first time ever - Don Valentine's original 1977 memo for Sequoia's investment into Apple Computer. #Apple50
Sequoia Capital tweet media
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ivan
ivan@IvansHQ·
@iky_fwjett I’m sorry to say this but THIS was your fault and you were a dumb kid
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Jett 🜲
Jett 🜲@iky_fwjett·
i caught my mom cheating on my dad when i was a teenager. she told me if i told my dad he would leave her, and us (me and my siblings) and it would be all my fault. so i never said anything. as an adult, i realize it wouldn't have been my fault, and while my dad may have left HER he wouldn't have left me. my dad died a few years ago and i still regret not telling him. i don't talk to my mom anymore.
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