Jeremy Tyler Smith

454 posts

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Jeremy Tyler Smith

Jeremy Tyler Smith

@JTStandard

I like finance and I make heritage canvas pennants. 🪡🚩

가입일 Haziran 2024
36 팔로잉68 팔로워
Allen B.
Allen B.@Alleninvests·
@JTStandard @j208988 Definitely not trying to sell a substack. Keep scrolling. But know I’m definitely going to keep blowing up your feed. If you can’t handle that then just block or mute me.
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Allen B.
Allen B.@Alleninvests·
The most bullish thing about Rocket Lab isn’t the Electron rocket. $RKLB has launches, satellites, defense contracts, software and growing space infrastructure revenue. They a still have the upside potential of the Neutron medium sized rocket.
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Jeremy Tyler Smith
Jeremy Tyler Smith@JTStandard·
@j208988 @Alleninvests Exactly. Jamming up my feed by tagging rocketlab ticker with ZERO value add. But definitely trying to sell me a substack or some nonsense. Annoying AF.
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J@j208988·
@Alleninvests @JTStandard Because it’s really surface level knowledge about RKLB that has been circulating FinTwit for the last two years. It’s nothing revolutionary.
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Allen B.
Allen B.@Alleninvests·
@JTStandard My name is my handle. Yes… this isn’t the first time I’ve tweeted about $RKLB either
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Jeremy Tyler Smith
Jeremy Tyler Smith@JTStandard·
@Mappy6984 But millennials got certificates of participation and that’s what ruined the country 🙄
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NRM84
NRM84@Mappy6984·
My parents got me a cake from local bakery, I had 5 friends over and got 100 bucks. How times have changed
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Reflection🪩
Reflection🪩@0xReflection·
Dot-com bubble is nothing compared to this
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Reflection🪩@0xReflection

🚨 THE LARGEST IPO IN HISTORY ISN'T A WIN It's the bell at the top! SpaceX is raising $75B . At a $1.75T valuation Three times bigger than previous record IPO Bigger than the GDP of most countries And every major index is racing to rewrite its rules to absorb it That's not coincidence! That's a synchronized push to force trillions in passive money into one listing At the most fragile setup for markets in two decades Let me walk you through the convergence: Index providers aren't quietly tweaking rules in the background. They're proposing wholesale rewrites RIGHT NOW: ➮ S&P Dow Jones is reviewing the profitability requirement that's stood since 2002. Up for waiver. ➮ Nasdaq is cutting seasoning windows from 90 trading days down to 15. ➮ FTSE Russell is going further. Down to 5. The S&P 500 public comment window closes May 28. Potential implementation? June 8. Four days before SpaceX trades Three of the most important benchmarks on Earth. Restructured in the same window. For the same listing. That's the setup! Now look at what happens next: When you force a $1.75 trillion stock into an index, the index doesn't print new money to buy it. It sells other names to make room. That means mechanical selling of NVDA, AAPL, MSFT, AMZN. The current leaders absorb a forced sell-pressure the moment SPCX enters. But that's just the warmup SpaceX is floating only about 5% of its shares. Everything else stays with insiders, early investors, employees. The lockup expires in two stages: ➮ 90 days post-IPO: early September ➮ 180 days post-IPO: early December Now look at where those dates land: September falls inside the worst statistical window in the entire 4-year cycle. May through October. 15 of the last 16 midterm election years went red in that window. September is the deep end of it. December lands right after the November midterm vote - when policy uncertainty resolves one way or another, and big money rotates fast. And remember: none of this is happening in a healthy market. This is landing on top of: ➮ A 30-year Treasury yield above 5%. Last time that level showed up was July 2007 (3 months before the market peak, 12 months before Lehman) ➮ A $2 trillion AI cloud backlog where over half of "demand" is OpenAI and Anthropic recycling investor money back to Microsoft, Google, Amazon. ➮ Equities at the most overvalued level in history. Not close to it. Actually there. So here's the sequence I see loading: June 12 - SPCX prints. Forced passive buying overwhelms reality. Late June - mechanical rebalancing starts selling everything else in Nasdaq 100. Early September - first lockup expires. Insiders sell into the artificially inflated bid. October - middle of the historically worst window for stocks in midterm years. Early December - second lockup expires. Bigger wave. Four catalysts. One direction This isn't a forecast. It's a calendar The setup couldn't be more loaded if it tried. So what do you actually do? You can't fight the IPO. SPCX will probably rip on day one - the passive bid is too mechanical to stop. But you can stop being long everything else. Don't worry though - my system flags the exact moment the market shifts from CAUTION to DANGER. You'll be warned before it hits, like always. Many people will wish they had followed me sooner

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Jeremy Tyler Smith
Jeremy Tyler Smith@JTStandard·
@arny_trezzi Did you listen to the all in pod? They spent 15 minutes describing the commoditization of models and the need for a product that orchestrated multiple models in a sovereign infrastructure. Never once mentioned palantir. Everyone is going out of their way to be dense
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Arny Trezzi
Arny Trezzi@arny_trezzi·
$PLTR is monopolizing the AI infrastructure layer while pushing AI models towards competition. $1 trillion is inevitable.
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Heisenberg
Heisenberg@Mr_Derivatives·
$ETH I mean at some point you gotta buy right....?
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Polymarket Sports
Polymarket Sports@PolymarketSport·
🚨BREAKING: Someone just put $200,000 on the Browns to NOT win the Super Bowl... This massive trade pays out $201,761 on Polymarket.
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Jeremy Tyler Smith
Jeremy Tyler Smith@JTStandard·
@krishnayogik @VladTheInflator I agree. The replies to my comment aren’t worth answering really. People can think what they want but I think this will be proven out over the next 3-5 years. At best, visa absorbs margin compression.
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carp 
carp @0xcarp·
@Vox_Oculi where they did the photo shoots for trapper keeper art
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