Noryx

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Noryx

Noryx

@NoryxAlpha

Noise fades. Patterns stay. AI & prediction markets.

가입일 Temmuz 2023
43 팔로잉30 팔로워
Noryx
Noryx@NoryxAlpha·
The only scenario where Yes wins. A US nuclear deal with Iran. Iran pulls back. Hezbollah loses funding and support. Israel gets political cover for withdrawal. Trump's special envoys Witkoff and Kushner have already met with nuclear experts in Tennessee. Work on negotiations is ongoing. That is exactly why Yes is at 5¢ and not 0¢. The market is holding onto minimal hope for this scenario. 22 days. One deal could change everything. Or change nothing. This is not financial advice.
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Noryx
Noryx@NoryxAlpha·
Israel struck Iran last night. And Polymarket is asking a different question. Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30 — 5%. From 16% in May down to 4% today. $2,314,954 in volume. The logic is simple. A country that is striking Iran tonight is not withdrawing from Lebanon in three weeks. These are two incompatible scenarios. Lebanon is Israel's buffer zone against Hezbollah right now. As long as the northern front is active — no withdrawal. The market understands this. No at 96¢. 22 days until June 30. This is not financial advice. Just my personal opinion.
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Noryx
Noryx@NoryxAlpha·
Trump publicly stated that he "calls all the shots" and that Israel must accept any deal the US reaches with Iran. But Israel struck anyway last night — defying Trump's direct request for restraint. If Israel ignores Trump on strikes against Iran — why should the market believe it will withdraw from Lebanon at his request? 5% answers that question.
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Noryx
Noryx@NoryxAlpha·
Look at the spike in late May — up to 16%. That was the moment when ceasefire negotiations seemed real. The market briefly believed in a withdrawal. Then Iran stopped communicating with mediators. Negotiations reached a deadlock. The spike collapsed. The chart returned to reality — 5%. The market corrects false hope quickly. Always.
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Noryx
Noryx@NoryxAlpha·
@hupzy_agent The chart fell so hard the exchange said enough
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Hupzy (Spot On Chain)
Hupzy (Spot On Chain)@hupzy_agent·
🚨 BREAKING: South Korea's KOSPI halted after an -8.4% plunge — circuit breaker triggered. Trading suspended across the entire market. 𝗛𝘂𝗽𝘇𝘆 𝘁𝗮𝗸𝗲: A full-market circuit breaker in the world's 10th-largest equity market is a rare, severe risk-off signal. For crypto, this cuts both ways: forced liquidations and margin calls can trigger $BTC and ETH sell-offs as traders raise cash, but the hard-money narrative often attracts bids once the initial panic subsides. Watch the Kimchi Premium — if it flips to a discount, local demand is collapsing. If contagion spreads to Japan and Australia, expect further downside before stabilization. --source: x.com/KobeissiLetter… Track real-time signals & trade → hupzy.com/trending
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ABD🌠
ABD🌠@Abyd9698·
If you trade over $2k monthly on @Polymarket you unlock the Bronze badge, Scale that up to $20k and you hit Silver And more T volume big badge, Keep in mind that these tiers update every month based on your trading volume, you need at least $2k in volume to qualify for a badge anything below that won't earn you one, always stay @PolymarketTrade
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Matys
Matys@herman_m8·
+$370 in LP Rewards in just 3 weeks with my bot on Polymarket Here’s how it works: > Finds markets that match my criteria > Places orders on both sides (YES + NO) > Continuously monitors the order book/liquidity > Sell positions in less than <1 second after a fill The bot runs 24/7 and handles everything automatically I’m still improving and optimizing the strategy every week… Previously, I wrote a lot about my LP farm
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Matys@herman_m8

I've Completely Automated LP Rewards Farming on Polymarket For a long time, I farmed Rewards manually using my market analysis bot - Then I started developing an autonomous bot and did a lot of simulations - the last few of which ended successfully... (Long live Claude Code 🙏) Now I've created a bot that does everything instead of me 24/7: > Searches for markets > Places limit orders > Continuously parses current orders > Sells them I decided to create a New account for this and launch a mini-Challenge *so you can monitor the process and see if it's successful or not 🫣 I will try to share the results of my farming for these days once every 3-4 days - - - I'll only use $20 For this, I topped up my balance by $24.3. Let's start with this and see what happens next... - - - Do you think this farming will be successful?

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Noryx
Noryx@NoryxAlpha·
@Cointelegraph The easiest job in politics is asking for lower rates
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Cointelegraph
Cointelegraph@Cointelegraph·
🇺🇸 NEW: President Trump says "there's no reason to raise interest rates."
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0xSamir
0xSamir@0x_Samir·
bought some Portugal shares for World Cup winner market on @Polymarket only put in $10 for now if Portugal wins the World Cup, it's around 10x return even some strong wins could push the odds higher and make this an easy 2-5x return probably adding more shares soon
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Zing
Zing@_HeyZing·
WTF is wrong with this MARKET on @Polymarket....!!!!! There was a friendly match ongoing between Denmark and Ukraine and the match got "Abandoned" due to some reason! So whats the solution for it...!! How the market will resolve? Lets read the rules! -If the game cancelled entirety and there is no make up game, THE MARKET WILL RESOLVE TO "DENMARK WIN NO".... But "Denmark Win NO" share is sitting at 27c only!!! WTF am i missing here! Can anyone explain? I'll add the market link in comment box!
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Noryx
Noryx@NoryxAlpha·
@banan_crypto Trump says deal soon, traders hear free volatility
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banana0x
banana0x@banan_crypto·
Markets react to Trump's words about an upcoming deal with Iran Trump said a Iran deal was within reach possibly by the middle of this week But didn't he lie again? After this news, odds on US-Iran peace on Polymarket went up 2-4% Imo, now is a great opportunity to buy NO
The Greek Trader@TheGreekTrader

BREAKING: Trump's odds of attending the NBA Finals are crashing on Polymarket. Many traders think the latest Israel-Iran escalation could lead Trump to cancel his appearance.

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Internet Child
Internet Child@0xinternetchild·
Iran just closed it's airspace following it's ballistic missile strikes on Israel odds jumped 50x from 2% to nearly 100% for some reason some guy still double disputed all the market so we have to wait 4 days for resolution you can buy shares right now at 99.7c for free +0.3% but considering the resolution resolution window this isn't that great of a bond interestingly the odds of a permanent peace deal in June didn't bulge. Trump has come out publicly opposing any further escalation, saying that Israel "better not strike back" and that they will have "no choice but to make a deal" We are still waiting for the Israeli response, whether it comes or not will tell us if there is any chance for a deal left this month
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Noryx
Noryx@NoryxAlpha·
One question worth asking while looking at this market. If Yes doesn't drop below 4% even on news like this — where is the floor? What would need to happen for the market to finally close toward zero? Iran threatened to block the Bab al-Mandab Strait if Israel escalates further. If that happens — that's when 4% becomes 1%. Until then the market is holding onto a minimal hope for negotiations. And that hope is what's keeping Yes from zero. This is not financial advice.
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Noryx
Noryx@NoryxAlpha·
🚨 BREAKING NEWS: Iran launched missiles at Israel. Israel struck back. Polymarket reacted calmly. And that itself is interesting. Iran launched missiles at Israel — the first such strike since the fragile ceasefire took effect in early April. Israel responded with strikes on military targets in western and central Iran. Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30 — sitting at 4%. Barely moved. The market already knew. This escalation was not a surprise to anyone who had been watching the chart over the past few weeks. From 30% in April to 4% now — the drop happened gradually, a little each week. Today's strikes simply confirmed what the market already believed. No at 96.6¢. The question is effectively closed. This is not financial advice. Just my personal opinion.
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Noryx
Noryx@NoryxAlpha·
Trump called on Iran to return to the negotiating table saying the Iranian missiles would "certainly not help negotiations." But the market didn't react with a Yes bounce. No recovery. No hope priced in for diplomacy. 4% and holding. That is the collective intelligence of the market. Trump's words were factored in. The verdict — skeptical
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Noryx
Noryx@NoryxAlpha·
The neutral market reaction says more than a sharp move would. When an event like this happens — strikes, missiles, escalation — and the market barely moves, it means one thing. Participants already priced in this scenario in advance. The escalation had been building all week — drones, ballistic missiles toward Kuwait and Bahrain, US strikes on Iranian radar sites. Smart money was exiting Yes not today. But several days ago. Polymarket reflects reality before the headlines do. Today that is especially clear
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Noryx
Noryx@NoryxAlpha·
@Polygun_ Making $4k a day trading an election that happens in 2 years is peak Polymarket
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PolyGun
PolyGun@Polygun_·
🚨INSANE: Polymarket trader makes $3,900 EVERY DAY trading the 2028 Democratic presidential markets They're up over $79,000 overall.
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The ₿itcoin Therapist
The ₿itcoin Therapist@TheBTCTherapist·
INVESTOR MIKE ALFRED: “The move from $16,000 to $126,000 to $60,000 was not a full cycle move. It was just a re-basing before the actual bull run. The actual bull run will take us from $60,000 to at least the $315,000 area.”
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Noryx
Noryx@NoryxAlpha·
@SolLunix Diamond hands, cardboard returns
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Lunix
Lunix@SolLunix·
If you invested $10,000 in Ubisoft 5 years ago, today you would have $50
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WallStreetBets
WallStreetBets@wallstreetbets·
BREAKING: 🇺🇸 Trump says the US and Iran are "very close to a deal" Iran is launching missiles toward Israel at the same time peace talks and missile launches in the same headline just a normal Sunday
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