Internet Child

🚨ANOTHER Polymarket SCAM by ISW ! 🚨 This is time making up fake counterattacks to rug a 99c YES market. For context, ISW (@TheStudyofWar) is the official resolution mapper. They are well known to abuse their position to scam Polymarket by painting fake advances. They even had to publicly appologised after caught red handed in November. here is the timeline of their latest rug : > This morning Russian channels release video of Russians soldier raising flags all over the town of Ternuvate > ISW paints a Russian presence in the town > price for the corresponding market shoots up to +99c > ISW reverse their changes a few hours later citing rumors of a Ukrainian counterattack > Price immediately crashes back down > NO shares that were bought at 0.5c are now worth 25c (50x) --- WE ARE HERE --- Problem is that the "evidences" behind this counterattack are totally fabricated Let's examine them bellow 👇🧵

@SCHIZO_FREQ And now fiber optics they can enter too

One of the funniest parts about drone warfare is that you can't even hide from them Hunker down in your doomsday bunker and they just send an infinite stream of exploding $7 drones to mine you out Just cartoonishly hopeless

@VelvetSoul There is also a market for it but idk, Chinese don't like to rock the boat. The could have taken Taiwan already but they seem content to wait

@0xinternetchild This year is going to be worst. Taiwan is coming next.

"Will Trump restart project Freedom by May 31st" Price : 38c Fair value imo : ~20c I think this market is very overvalued for one reason. Traders equate restarting Project Freedom with restarting the war. They think it's a good proxy, now that we don't have strike markets anymore, but it really is not. The rules explicitly require that the US announces the restart of "Project Freedom" or any "substantially equivalent" operation. Problem is that Project Freedom was a substantial failure. US destroyers were sent to the strait of Hormuz with the task of escorting civilian ships. It resulted in 2 oil tankers (HMN Namu and CMA CGS) damaged and forced to turn back and not a single oil tanker making it to the other side. Only a few of the +2000 ships stranded in the Persian Gulf agreed to take part in the operation in the first place because they believed that the risk was too high. I imagine that there won't be many volunteers for round 2 It just doesn't make much sense to restart project freedom at that point. If the US want's to restart the war they will probably go with a massive air campaign (most likely) and maybe a limited ground invasion (less likely but possible). I know Trump said he would restart "Project Freedom" if Iran didn't make a deal but he's notorious for saying whatever sounds cool at the moment so i'm not taking it very seriously I think NO on this market is a good bet. Maybe coupled with YES on "Iran closes it's airspace" in case the war restarts.

@Impij25 And then you got midterms coming, I think he will have one last go before giving up on Iran

@0xinternetchild I agree, also i think trump would prefer a quick round of strikes right now rather than a likely extended operation like this. The world cup starts early june.

@IceFrosst Definitely not a safe bond but 38% is overvalued imo

@0xinternetchild Bro is onto something again

@VigilentisHQ @luishXYZ @GenaTheCroco It is for me but I don't see what can be done about it from the outside, except if you are looking to start your own prediction platform

@luishXYZ @GenaTheCroco @0xinternetchild Hey, I saw your post I’m researching whether resolution ambiguity and settlement-risk issues are actually a meaningful pain point for active traders. I'm trying to build a solution for this and am trying to gather some insights. Mind sharing your perspective on this?

One of the biggest Polymarkets on the platform just got resolved wrongly by their own team. 4 million dollars are lost. Even worse, it reveals structural issues in the resolution mechanics of Polymarket that should put all traders on high alert. Here's what you need to know: The market in question is the "Russia x Ukraine ceasefire" market. Step by step, here is what happened: On May 8, Trump announced a 3-day ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine, covering May 9-11 around Russia's Victory Day parade. Now look at Zelensky's actual decree (Nº374/2026). It says: for the duration of the parade on May 9, the area of Red Square is excluded from the operational plan for Ukrainian weapons. Now compare that to the market rules. Two clauses matter here: 1. "Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market." 2. "Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify." Zelensky's decree fails both: 1. It applies to one geographic point (Red Square), not the entire front. 2. The decree itself uses the exact disqualifying word, "humanitarian purposes". Instead of letting the external UMA Oracle resolve the case (like usually in disputes), the markets first got REMOVED from the official UI. Later, a clarification from Polymarket's side got issued: The May 9 truce counts as YES. Strange enough, to openly interfere with UMA's mechanics here. What's even worse for Polymarket: With their clarification, they ACTIVELY OVERRIDE a previous clarification that THEIR OWN TEAM MADE one month before. The precedent they are overturning: In April 2025 Putin declared an Easter truce. Same humanitarian framing. Broader scope (whole front, not one square). Back then, Polymarket clarified: It's a humanitarian pause, it doesn't qualify. Here's the issue: - The SAME market - A STRONGER precedent (full front line vs. Red Square) - Resolved in different ways This is a disaster for Polymarket. Traders got screwed. The platform loses trust. Everyone is worse off in the long run. Traders now have to consider RESOLUTION RISK next to EVENT risk more than ever. Polymarket could fix this in 3 steps: 1. Hire lawyers to write bulletproof rules. (At least closer to bulletproof than what we have now.) 2. Draft reusable rule templates. A "ceasefire in Iran" market should have the same wording as a "ceasefire in Ukraine" one. 3. Establish and closely follow PRECEDENTS for each template. No more vibes-based clarifications. Edge cases are clarified once, then added to the template as precedent for future markets. Until then, stay cautious. 🤞

@IceFrosst how does it work ? Do you need to take samples ?

@0xinternetchild BS supplement brand detector based on real credible scientific studies

First ever Hackathon. Recommend. Day 48

@NoShitSatoshi and he may be out of power anytime

@0xinternetchild Agreed, also, starmer ain't got balls so 0,1 chance.

The freest bond from last month is making a come back "Will the UK send warships through the strait of Hormuz by May 31s" NO -> +11% (UK) for 16 days hold = 998% APR 💸 Contrary to many markets, this one does not resolve upon the mere announcement that the UK *will* send warship through the strait. "This market will resolve to YES a national government or a broad consensus of credible reporting confirms that the listed country's warships *transited* through the Strait of Hormuz" This already makes a difference because their closest (and only LMAO) ship in the region, HMS Dragon, would still need to travel 5-6 days to reach the strait. Which mean that if it isn't much closer by then the market will essentially resolve on the 25th. Both the UK and France also made clear that they would only send warships through the strait once peace came back. So we would probably need a solid permanent peace deal before they attempt anything, considering that there is currently fighting ongoing in the strait despite the "ceasefire". Add to that the fact that the UK led coalition is comprised of 40 nation that all have to coordinate and you will understand how unlikely it is that anything get done at all. Fair value for this market is probably around 1-2%. It's not a flashy 10x but good traders don't sneeze at free bonds

@ikarusz26 retard

Polymarket supercycle

@AntiDoc It does spike growth hormone a lot but it does not spike IGF-1 accordingly, which should inhibit cell apoptosis, so you get regeneration instead of growth

Ya guys so fasting increases growth hormone output. Thats why kids that are starving always grow really big and tall. It’s the growth hormone spike!

@notthreadguy @PolymarketTrade Wtf is this real ? Is Shayne that mainstream famous ?

on drakes new album: “better treat me like shayne coplan” polymarket supercycle

@GurensKingdom Brilliantly said

Terms like "situationship" increasingly reflect female point of view in relationships and dating, it's a byproduct of growing female social dominance. The word is purely feminine because to women (who created and popularized both the term and the act), a sexual or romantic encounter is something that just "happens" to them, it's purely based on implicit feelings that make the experience look like "something that just kinda happened". It completely lacks male planning, premediation, thought, effort, etc. that previous terms like "hookups" had (note the term "hook", it is agentic). This vague word, "situation" reflects the female experience in dating.

@IceFrosst Real recognizes real bro 👊

@0xinternetchild Sharing good trades as always

@williamlegate @rb_tweets @Payne_1337 @0xd1namit does it matter if we have the badge or not ? They removed mine a few months ago

@rb_tweets @Payne_1337 @0xd1namit yes - and particularly all the slop about fake "insiders"

"the length, quality, quantity of your posts will matter for Polymarket Rewards to X Creators"

@tsybka @mustafap0ly Probably just a technical problem, I don't see why they would remove it

The reason why sponsored rewards are still disabled after the transition to CLOB v2 is a mystery to me. Liquidity on many markets is terrible. The sponsored rewards feature proved itself to work very well, yet @mustafap0ly keeps promising it’ll be enabled soon, and the same thing repeats over and over again without any actual changes. I want to see real actions, not just words.

@IceFrosst @Polymarket @williamlegate Well it's already the case when you buy tokenized Nvidia shares on Hyperliquid so they could just do the same

@0xinternetchild @Polymarket @williamlegate But how would that even be possible?

The day comes and @polymarket does the Airdrop, BUT you have to choose: 1. Wait for IPO and claim Polymarket shares 2. Claim the $POLY airdrop now. 100% unlocked What do you do? Day 47

@CaudilloXIV funny how this is unironically the case if you seriously think about it

I can’t get a girlfriend because the axis lost the war

@FoxNews this is what effective pro-natalist propaganda actually looks like.

Among the suits and billion-dollar conversations during President Trump's high-stakes Chinese trip, one guest stood out. Elon Musk’s son was seen wandering through a massive hall in China with his father as major CEOs gathered for high-level meetings.