PhilConte 007

When analyzing the possibility of using nuclear weapons in a scenario like this, one does not look at the moment itself. Instead, one looks at the speed at which the window shifts and the series of probabilistic events to follow, along with their political, economic, and military impacts. This is not a snapshot of the moment, but rather a temporal analysis across these three pillars. For all the reasons I have laid out here, the difficulties faced by the US-Israel alliance are visible, ranging from ammunition shortages to internal political-economic pressure and the stance of the Gulf countries. Furthermore, one must imagine potential scenarios. Netanyahu is seeking a pardon for the crimes he is accused of. After incurring such massive military expenditures and returning to Israel without the uranium, suggesting that Iran will now indeed build a bomb, what will his future be? Iran has over 400kg of uranium enriched to 60%. If they wanted to build a bomb today, they could. For decades, Israel has heard Iran openly call for its destruction, a sentiment that has only intensified with the assassinations. If Iran did not build the bomb before this war, they now have every reason to do so. With the window in the right position, Israel could use tactical nukes and claim self-preservation if the invasion option fails. The alternative would be Iran agreeing to hand over the uranium, which I believe would only happen under extremely debilitating conditions. In Israel, this window shifts more easily than in global public opinion, but historically, Israel does not tend to worry about such opinion, which is why this analysis is quite realistic.

Prime Minister Netanyahu’s first in-person press conference since the war began. Here’s how it looked from my seat:

Prime Minister Netanyahu’s first in-person press conference since the war began. Here’s how it looked from my seat:

Prime Minister Netanyahu’s first in-person press conference since the war began. Here’s how it looked from my seat:

U.S. Treasury Secretary Bessent on Kharg Island: We will see if that eventually becomes a U.S. asset.

Là, il n'y a plus de doutes possibles, c'est bien le vrai Netanyahou.

Là, il n'y a plus de doutes possibles, c'est bien le vrai Netanyahou.

🚨🇮🇱 “Wait, Netanyahu might actually be dead.” people are saying because of digital artifacts in his latest video post. I believe that he is alive, but the fact that most people are questioning whether or not he’s alive shows they have zero confidence in the corporate media and its narratives…