Krishna Hegde

7.7K posts

Krishna Hegde

Krishna Hegde

@PositiveGamma

FinTech, Markets, India, Food, Asia. Trust Only Data. Bengaluru Boy. Farmer. hegde.eth

가입일 Ağustos 2014
716 팔로잉6.7K 팔로워
고정된 트윗
Krishna Hegde
Krishna Hegde@PositiveGamma·
Perception is reality. Only till it isn't!
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Patrick OShaughnessy
Patrick OShaughnessy@patrick_oshag·
Lead Edge is probably most famous for this letter. Mitchell calls it the "Hierarchy of Bullshit". It's his way of distilling what he learned from cold calling 10,000 companies.
Patrick OShaughnessy tweet media
Patrick OShaughnessy@patrick_oshag

Mitchell Green is the co-founder and managing partner of Lead Edge Capital, a $9B growth equity firm he founded in 2011. For 15 years, he and his partners have built one of the most disciplined investment machines in the business, designed to deliver consistent returns by hitting doubles and triples rather than chasing power law outcomes. He obsesses over avoiding zeros and is constantly underwriting investments to know exactly when to sell. He has built a unique culture at Lead Edge, sending handwritten thank you notes to nearly everyone he meets and sitting down one on one with every person at the firm once a year. He is, by his own admission, one of the most persistent and competitive people you will meet. After the episode, he told me he believes the most important thing in life is to be memorable. You will find, listening to this conversation, that he very much is. We discuss: - Why it’s the best time to buy public software companies - Lessons from 10,000 cold calls - His unique LP base - Why consistency of returns matters more than home runs - The art of knowing when to sell - How culture is built from the top + the importance of follow-through - What skiing taught him about risk and competition Enjoy! Timestamps: 0:00 Intro 1:00 The Hierarchy of BS 2:20 Lessons From 10,000 Cold Calls 9:05 Base Hits vs. Grand Slams 15:24 The 8 Buying Criteria 17:24 Pricing and the AI Exit Multiple Trap 19:24 Software as a Game of Distribution 23:20 Creative Deal Structuring 26:27 The Framework for Focus 29:01 The Art of the Investigative Cold Call 34:24 Culture of Hustle 35:34 The Annual One-on-One Process 37:59 Playing to Strengths 39:43 The Mount Rushmore of Investment Machines 42:05 Fears and Excitement Around AI 48:54 Ski Racing 52:29 Advice for Starting a Firm 54:35 The Kindest Thing

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Krishna Hegde
Krishna Hegde@PositiveGamma·
@tejus_sawjiani In a few weeks, S&P 500 perps on hyperliquid will have adequate liquidity. Weekends won't be same again :-(
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Tejus Sawjiani
Tejus Sawjiani@tejus_sawjiani·
TACO or armageddon...it comes down to how the futures open.
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Krishna Hegde
Krishna Hegde@PositiveGamma·
There are 2 kinds of parents on my 11yo school WhatsApp group - based on their posts evening before Math final exam. Group A: Does anyone have more sample papers beyond school provided ones? Group B: Can anyone pls confirm if ‘fraction multiplication’ is in syllabus ?
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Krishna Hegde
Krishna Hegde@PositiveGamma·
@avataram Problem with working in finance is that it changes perspective on numbers :-)
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Marko Papic
Marko Papic@Geo_papic·
On a recent Geopolitical Cousins episode I mentioned that BCA Research has opened its Gulf War dashboard to all users, including non-clients. Below is the promised link. Let us know if you'd want us to include some other data here. bcaresearch.com/collection/bca…
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Krishna Hegde
Krishna Hegde@PositiveGamma·
@kieranwgoodwin Those were the days! Quarter bp bid-offer and a day with a half bp move was a big big deal.
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Krishna Hegde
Krishna Hegde@PositiveGamma·
Math is easy. 16 days x 20 million barrels a day = 320 million barrels so far. If it extends till end of month - 30 days x 20 = 600 million barrels. Russian floating crude : 120 million barrels SPR Release: 400 million barrels In about a week's time, even accounting for Red Sea diversion, the deficits will start pinching slightly and by end March, the deficit can only be plugged by demand destruction (via higher prices/rationing etc.)
World Insights@World_Insights1

🛢️ ​SHIPS PASSING THROUGH THE STRAIT OF HORMUZ 🟢 Feb 25 → 🚢 135 🟢 Feb 26 → 🚢 132 🟢 Feb 27 → 🚢 128 🟠 Feb 28 → 🚢 98 🟠 Mar 1 → 🚢 18 🟠 Mar 2 → 🚢 7 🔴 Mar 3 → 🚢 2 🔴 Mar 4 → 🚢 2 🔴 Mar 5 → 🚢 1 🔴 Mar 6 → 🚢 0 🔴 Mar 7 → 🚢 1 🔴 Mar 8 → 🚢 2 🔴 Mar 9 → 🚢 1 🔴 Mar 10 → 🚢 2 🔴 Mar 11 → 🚢 1 🔴 Mar 12 → 🚢 0 🔴 Mar 13 → 🚢 3 🔴 Mar 14 → 🚢 1 🔴 Mar 15 → 🚢 0 🔴 Mar 16 → 🚢 1 ​• Average normal traffic: 130–150 ships/day • Current status: Waterway effectively under blockade; majority of transits are "dark" or shadow fleet.

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Krishna Hegde
Krishna Hegde@PositiveGamma·
When an end-consumer spent $1 on oil, the money was more likely to get routed into corporate America as expenditure / investment when GCC produced & sold the oil than when Russia produces & sells it. Currently, GCC barrels continue to be replaced by Russian barrels.
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Krishna Hegde
Krishna Hegde@PositiveGamma·
Yes. But, most ROI models for GPUs seem to assume flat per hour pricing with utilisation well in excess of 80%. Considering compute is the largest cost for LLMs & the constant headlines of scarcity of compute - am surprised that peak time is only 55% of the time (for a global product)
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Shashin
Shashin@shashin_bhaskar·
@PositiveGamma isnt everything on the internet only supply constrained during peak times
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Krishna Hegde
Krishna Hegde@PositiveGamma·
Claude is offering 2x tokens at off-peak times (which is more than 45% of the time) Isn't that evidence Claude is supply constrained only during peak hours?
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Krishna Hegde
Krishna Hegde@PositiveGamma·
@ajayrotti Never took you for the type who would go to Veena Stores and not have idli !
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Ajay Rotti
Ajay Rotti@ajayrotti·
A fews minutes ago. Please as crowded as always. Food as good and hot as always. Menu was full. Price is same. No extra gas charges. Post only to bring some positivity amidst the negativity. If mine is anecdotal... so is the one with additional charge. PS: Those who intend to continue negativity please stay away.
Ajay Rotti tweet media
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Krishna Hegde
Krishna Hegde@PositiveGamma·
An SIP started in January 2023, that give same returns as NIFTY 500, generated an XIRR of 5.67%. If the fund had an expense ratio of 1%, XIRR dropped to 4.55%. Jan 2023 was over 3 years ago. Not short-term. SIP was the recommended approach for building wealth that beat 'uncle' investments like gold & bank FD. Only truth: Markets make everyone humble.
Krishna Hegde tweet media
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Krishna Hegde
Krishna Hegde@PositiveGamma·
@tejus_sawjiani Stock vs flow tells the full story. How quickly can these reserves actually be converted into usable distillates? Straits of Hormuz had throughput of ~20mb/d. So this is 20 days of Hormuz throughput.
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Tejus Sawjiani
Tejus Sawjiani@tejus_sawjiani·
400m of oil reserves released and brent at $100. that's all you need to know honestly.
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Krishna Hegde
Krishna Hegde@PositiveGamma·
@priceactionnerd While I am no expert, now may actually be a better time to diversify. All I know is when something is widely spoken about and is in the headlines - the trade is crowded/over.
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Krishna Hegde
Krishna Hegde@PositiveGamma·
6 weeks ago, I was fielding multiple calls from friends who were trying to figure out if they should diversify savings long held in USD. Of course, they are now glad they chose not to act on the headlines of the day.
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Samir Arora
Samir Arora@Iamsamirarora·
Kospi down 7 pct. Quick, need a hedge for this hedge i took a few days ago. Wait, I have one - India.
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