Tom (trad opinion, data and forecasting)

178 posts

Tom (trad opinion, data and forecasting) banner
Tom (trad opinion, data and forecasting)

Tom (trad opinion, data and forecasting)

@Pulse650

Data Guy. Catholic. Auditor. conservative. Data scientist. Forecaster. mostly posts opinions and data.

가입일 Aralık 2025
437 팔로잉172 팔로워
Rom
Rom@LDNRom·
@Pulse650 @AaronBastani @StopTheHate_UK @nicolelampert Which is obviously nonsense. The nazis used all kinds of words in this way, they had a long list of things they thought were wrong with jewish people. You just want to be able use the n word. Why?
English
1
0
2
15
Stop The Hate UK
Stop The Hate UK@StopTheHate_UK·
We are appalled that the leader of the Green party described @nicolelampert, a Jewish journalist, as 'parasitic'. There is no excuse for this. We hope other journalists and MPs from all parties will condemn this hate speech.
English
610
379
2.2K
330.8K
Rom
Rom@LDNRom·
@Pulse650 @AaronBastani @StopTheHate_UK @nicolelampert I haven't made your argument, but i guess I have partially rubbished my own argument, though. One is a word commonly used for people for their actions, the other is used only because of someone's characteristic. Your argument is that there isn't a difference between them.
English
2
0
3
25
Rom
Rom@LDNRom·
@Pulse650 @AaronBastani @StopTheHate_UK @nicolelampert That's a slur. There is no reason to call someone it other than to degrade and dehumanise them. Just like there is never a good reason to use anti jewish slurs. The word in question here is not a slur, but a trope. It's not the same thing.
English
1
0
2
69
UKPropertyTruth
UKPropertyTruth@UKPropertyTruth·
What should we post next?
English
2
0
0
2.7K
UKPropertyTruth
UKPropertyTruth@UKPropertyTruth·
Since we posted this, many of you asked: "Is it just this one flat?" We pulled every resale in Battersea & Nine Elms from HM Land Registry data. 1,034 properties resold since 2025. 863 sold at a profit. 171 sold at a loss. That's a 16.5% loss rate — vs 12.9% across London. Almost all losses? Leasehold flats bought 2014-2018 at peak new-build prices. But the area is still net positive. Most owners did fine. The issue isn't Battersea — it's buying new-build at the top.
UKPropertyTruth@UKPropertyTruth

Legacy Building, Nine Elms Bought in 2018: £1,425,000 Sold in 2025: £985,000 £440,000 lost. Down 31% in seven years. Battersea Power Station — the most hyped regeneration project in London. Billions spent. Celebrity residents. A Tube station built just for it. The same money in the S&P 500 would be worth £3.1m today. Instead, they got back less than a million.

English
5
4
32
16.3K
Tom (trad opinion, data and forecasting)
How so? They were both used as terms as part of a theory that one type of person was inferior to another and therefore deserved fewer rights. That's the logical conclusion, that no words could be select for use by a specific race or type of people. And I agree with Aaron here. But as normal, he only wants it one way
English
5
0
0
141
Tom (trad opinion, data and forecasting)
The irony of those criticising Matt Goodwin's book is that it has been great publicity for him to sell the book. On Amazon, the book is up over a 1000% this week. The next biggest mover is up 400%.
Tom (trad opinion, data and forecasting) tweet media
English
0
0
1
37
Tom (trad opinion, data and forecasting)
Aaron, if we follow this to its logical conclusion, a white person should be able to say n*gger because black people do? I agree with you, that there should be no lists of words anyone can use, that others can't. But I don't think you truly believe that. I think you likely think that black people have taken back a word from slavery and only they can use it. So the arguement that because it was used by Nazis so don't say it holds in line with this. As I say, I think both are silly arguments.
English
6
0
0
878
Major Gowen
Major Gowen@MajorGowen_·
Keir Starmer playing football has all the mobility of Norman Wisdom on Ketamine.
English
1.1K
397
3.9K
4.4M
Tom (trad opinion, data and forecasting)
I see a lot of people on my side of politics with Israel flags in their bios lately. Can I ask why? A lot on the right seems to have this special fondness for Israel. Not about Jews, I'm not into race-based stuff. But look, CIA agents on Diary of a CEO and elsewhere have floated that Epstein was basically a Mossad asset running a kid-trafficking blackmail op for kompromat on the powerful. If there's really something to that, it makes zero sense to treat the country like some shining beacon. Worthy of flags in bio. But I don't really think people have a great deep love for Israel. I think what's really driving a chunk of it is what I'd call 'retribution politics.' The left obsesses over Israel and is married to Islamists who hate Jews, so the right flips their own 'racist!' weapon back at them. It's satisfying to expose the hypocrisy. But retribution feels weak. It doesn't build anything lasting. Better to spend that energy spelling out your actual vision for the future is, what we're for, not just what we're against.
English
0
0
1
26
Tom (trad opinion, data and forecasting)
I don't care where it comes from as long as it's cheap & doesn't destroy the countryside. It's currently not cheap. It's rising! We need abundant cheap energy to boost GDP as people will A) have savings that they spend elsewhere. B) stop the offshoring that has been driven by high energy prices. Is any of this going to make energy cheaper, Aaron?
English
0
0
0
408
Aaron Bastani
Aaron Bastani@AaronBastani·
Britain is presently generating 71% of electricity from renewables and is exporting some to boot. Nuclear plus renewables is presently 85% of all electricity being generated. Good things are possible. Ignore the boomer Murdoch press.
Aaron Bastani tweet media
English
792
866
3.5K
229.6K
Matt Goodwin
Matt Goodwin@GoodwinMJ·
Suicide of a Nation is now the 2nd bestseller on Amazon - a new peak. I wanted to tell people the TRUTH about what is happening to the country we all love and I am delighted so many are now reading the truth, from one city, one town, one village to the next
Matt Goodwin@GoodwinMJ

I wrote Suicide of a Nation to tell the British & English people the TRUTH about what is happening to their country & what will happen if we do not change course. I stand by this book. I am proud of this book. And I hope as many people as possible read this book.

English
117
186
774
63.2K
Tom (trad opinion, data and forecasting)
I like a lot of your stuff, Tom.. But this is one that makes zero sense. When you buy stocks, you avoid stocks that are a bubble. You assess the PE ratio, you look at the quant metrics on sites. The London bubble was always going to pop. Let's buy a flat for 1m in a city with rampant crime, white flight, and an increasing 3rd world immigration base. I don't think I'm going to lose much money on my 5 bed detached house that I bought for 290k in a village in the Midlands. Paying 1k a month in a mortgage. The house was new build so needs no work. That is 420 cheaper than the average rent in the UK. And my mortgage Vs average rent for a 5 bed detached (2400 per month rent), is 1400 cheaper. Oh and, this mortgage is pretty stable, I got it at 5% rates, so if anything, the monthly payments will get cheaper or stay static for the rest of my life. Meanwhile, rent will continue to increase in line with inflation. And, I won't be paying rent or a mortgage in 30 years. And will likely have a property worth 500-1m in 2055. On top of the 1 grand a month in the stock market, thanks to my saving from NOT renting a UK average 5 bed detached house. To be clear, don't buy the London bedsit bubble. Buy a family home in an affordable place. Live a nice life, and invest in stocks at the same time
English
1
0
4
819
Tom (trad opinion, data and forecasting)
Or just speaking freely. Not quick typing and not worrying. Each week, I say things in text to those close to me and if it was leaked I'm sure I would get in trouble. Unless someone is like planning a murder, or part of a conspiracy to do something really bad, then I don't really pay any notice to text leaks, no matter which side of the political side they come from
English
1
0
0
38
Bythepowerofpronouns
Bythepowerofpronouns@Ifoughtthelawn·
@Pulse650 @ArchRose90 I'm sure we all have some awful stuff when joking w/friends. I'm pretty much a centrist so not looking for retribution - I'm genuinely v concerned about Jew hate atm. Just because I was christened doesn't mean I support what priests have got up to for eg. We shouldn't label imo.
English
1
0
1
42
Chris Rose
Chris Rose@ArchRose90·
The Telegraph has obtained WhatsApp messages of Green Party activists have described Jewish people as “an abomination to this planet”. A decade ago I would have assumed this was a far-right chat group. Now the far-left have embraced antisemitism. Sickening but unsurprising.
Chris Rose tweet media
English
326
2.2K
6.4K
98.8K
Tom (trad opinion, data and forecasting)
They were Jews, it initially says in the quote tweet. Then she corrects and says Jewish supermacists. Like, maybe she actually hates all Jews. Who knows. I ain't into going on a heresy hunt over WhatsApps If this was the exact same getting said about Islam, the left would be up in arms and the lib right would be defending it saying it's nothing. It's so boring
English
2
0
1
130