2025 NBA redraft: Advanced stats love Kon Knueppel and Dylan Harper — and why Cooper Flagg isn’t No. 1 anymore.
@JerryEngelmann ranks the NBA rookies on future potential.
open.substack.com/pub/5x5basketb…
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Royce Webb
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22-year old Victor Wembanyama will win this year's DPOY award, and many more
Might he already be the best defensive player of the last 30 years?
A look at historical advanced defensive metrics, and why he might soon be the best NBA player overall.
roycewebb.com/p/heres-how-cl…
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Here are the best defensive On-Off's since 1996/97
20-year old Kevin Garnett was something else, but Wembanyama isn't looking too shabby, either
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Jeremias Engelmann@JerryEngelmann
22-year old Victor Wembanyama will win this year's DPOY award, and many more Might he already be the best defensive player of the last 30 years? A look at historical advanced defensive metrics, and why he might soon be the best NBA player overall. roycewebb.com/p/heres-how-cl…
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What’s transformed Wemby into potentially the NBA’s best player — and perhaps the greatest defensive force basketball has ever seen?
@JerryEngelmann drills down to find out exactly how Vic is smashing NBA standards, based on advanced stats & video:
open.substack.com/pub/5x5basketb…
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There may be some complementarity on offense (not significant), but it's more on defense. Wemby's D is better with Harper on, Harper's D is better with Wemby on.
Jeremias Engelmann@JerryEngelmann
Probably not great for the rest of the league that 22-year old Wemby + 20-year old Dylan Harper, when on the court together, are outscoring opponents by 25 points per 100 (2nd best pair in the NBA, minimum 500 minutes)
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The basic hypothesis is that teams still undervalue production relative to potential. Hence, we're lower on Darryn Peterson, for instance. But there's a lot of devil in the details about defining "production".
You can find our complete rankings here: natesilver.net/p/prism-2026-n…
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Probably not great for the rest of the league that
22-year old Wemby + 20-year old Dylan Harper,
when on the court together, are outscoring opponents by 25 points per 100
(2nd best pair in the NBA, minimum 500 minutes)
English
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Part 4 of our (free) basketball analytics series:
How to adjust college stats for player age and strength-of-schedule
roycewebb.com/p/how-to-adjus…
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One of our daughter’s first words was “doggin” — her rendering of doggie — and we immediately added it to the lexicon
She also had some Elmo-branded earmuffs that she called “earmos” — obviously! — a term we still use to refer to all ear coverings
The Husky@Mr_Husky1
Admit it: Your kid mispronounced a word three years ago and now the whole family says it that way. What's the word in your house? (We still say 'pasketti' and I’m not stopping anytime soon.)
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I have just sent the weekly [sportsjobs] newsletter.
This is the short list of jobs I have just shared. Many were uploaded less then 48hs ago!
The earlier you apply, the better.
I also shared another great technical post from @JerryEngelmann
link below
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Wembanyama has already overtaken Tim Duncan and Ben Wallace in 30-year defensive RAPM -- a stat that wants to see large samples before being convinced
Dikembe Mutombo would be next. Can he get past Garnett?
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Is the ability to hit long threes in college an indicator for becoming an above NBA 3-point shooter?
Here are some of Cameron Carr's attempts
x.com/JerryEngelmann…
Jeremias Engelmann@JerryEngelmann
The draft's top-3 are seemingly set in stone. So who should fill the spots 4-through-10? Several freshmen guards, a german rebounding machine, and the son of a former NBA dunk-contest runner-up make their case. roycewebb.com/p/nba-draft-bo…
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NEW from @JerryEngelmann --
This NBA draft class has lots of talent in the mid-lottery, especially at point guard.
Ranking the top 10, with video:
open.substack.com/pub/5x5basketb…
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The draft's top-3 are seemingly set in stone.
So who should fill the spots 4-through-10?
Several freshmen guards, a german rebounding machine, and the son of a former NBA dunk-contest runner-up make their case.
roycewebb.com/p/nba-draft-bo…
English
Royce Webb 리트윗함
This day has come so much sooner than I had anticipated
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Dybantsa, Boozer, or Peterson: Who should be the No. 1 pick in the stacked 2026 NBA draft?
A deep dive into the tape to unearth what the stats can't see
roycewebb.com/p/dybantsa-boo…
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NEW: @JerryEngelmann ranks the top 3 NBA prospects — AJ Dybantsa, Cameron Boozer & Darryn Peterson — based on strengths, concerns, ceiling and floor.
NBA Draft's Top 3 Are Absolutely Elite — Here's how I would rank them
open.substack.com/pub/5x5basketb…
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