Jeremias Engelmann

My new website xrapm.com is live and is being updated regularly The precursor of ESPN.com's 'Real Plus Minus', xRAPM's goal is to accurately predict NBA player impact using a combination of lineup-, BoxScore-, PlayByPlay- and other data

To further contextualize Acuff's anthro measurements, I ran a query using the combine dataset since 2010 (Credit: @JerryEngelmann) which finds players with: * Taller than 6’1” barefoot (> 73) * Shorter than 6’3” barefoot (< 75) * Have a plus wingspan greater 4.5' * Have a BMI between 23 and 25 (similar physical build to Acuff) This query gives reason to believe that despite other significant defensive concerns (discussed later), at the very least Acuff is by no means "physically incapable of defending".

@clampino Caruso doesn't make minimum games cutoff. It's Queta

@JerryEngelmann who is 4? Caruso? I-Hart?

Ranks in defensive xRAPM (among eligible) Wemby, #1 Gobert, #2 Holmgren, #3 Ausar, #5 White, #6 Wallace, #9 Bam, #11 Daniels, #13 Barnes, #14 OG, #17 x.com/ShamsCharania/…

@Official_C_E_D Wendell Carter

@JerryEngelmann Who is 10

@luvlancey Queta, SGA, Jokic

@JerryEngelmann Who is 4,7,8?

@Manicasan_ Mostly just big board rankings with some subjective omissions

@JerryEngelmann Are the 24 guys listed meant to be reflective of any ranking or category in particular?

Here are percentile ranks in combine test results for players of the 2026 NBA draft class (compared to all drafted players since 2010) Michigan's Morez Johnson ranks in the 74th percentile, or better, across the board 👀 docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d… x.com/JerryEngelmann…

@SkibidiDiapers Certainly a lot of the shooting related stuff is going to be more closely looked at in private or workouts.

@JerryEngelmann I imagine teams/people have stuff they use in their private workouts.

Excited about wingspan? I took a deep dive into historical data to determine which combine stats actually help predicting NBA impact. Plus, which prospects helped and hurt their stock the most with their test results roycewebb.com/p/nba-combine-…

Blocks and Fouls aren't the end-all-be-all when it comes to projecting NBA impact from NCAA stats. But shouldn't we be worried about Dybantsa's defensive intensity? (red: prospects from 2010-2025, blue: 2026 prospects) x.com/JerryEngelmann…

@SkibidiDiapers If there are new tests, it'll take a while (years) for statistical models to determine their value I haven't thought about what to add. It might make sense to test players on two different days and take their best numbers, as everyone has random bad days

@JerryEngelmann I believe it. It’s good data. Is anyone coming up with any new tests or drills?

@SkibidiDiapers My analysis suggests that there's actually value in including the data in draft models. And it's probably going to get better since the league makes players participate now

@JerryEngelmann Theory. How about just ignoring the combine completely.

NBA Draft Combine: Which tests & measurements *actually* mean something? New article from @JerryEngelmann:

@British_Buzz I’m not sure why this is a thing. Age is a huge factor in assessing a player’s potential career arc. Here’s a great article by @JerryEngelmann on age adjusted stats and how older players can expect to develop in college basketball: roycewebb.com/p/how-to-adjus…

That lottery put some NBA teams in a weird spot. @JerryEngelmann puts together 3 trades that match up teams and draft prospects a whole lot better — including a swap of the top 2 picks. open.substack.com/pub/5x5basketb…

Is the Utah<->AJ Dybantsa connection strong enough for the Jazz to try trading up? How much should it take for Washington to give up the #1 pick? Why the Nets have to trade down, and why a Bulls - Grizzlies swap could be a win-win roycewebb.com/p/predicting-3…

Fixed the duplicates, I think Forgot to also join on season

All Draft Combine anthro and drill data since 2010 docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d… (for whatever reason, some players have two entries in the same year. Use with caution)

AJ Dybantsa might go No. 1 in the NBA draft … but should he? @JerryEngelmann reveals the stats and tendencies that make Dybantsa the highest-risk prospect at the top of the draft. open.substack.com/pub/5x5basketb…