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Sysipholus

Sysipholus

@Rsysiphus

Paris, France 가입일 Kasım 2010
597 팔로잉577 팔로워
고정된 트윗
Sysipholus
Sysipholus@Rsysiphus·
Sysipholus tweet media
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Sysipholus
Sysipholus@Rsysiphus·
@Miamojganj صاحب اکانت فکر کنم از چپ محورمقاومتی است و مخاطبان خاص خودشون رو دارند با تئوری توطئه مدل خودشون.
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Mojgan Jafari
Mojgan Jafari@Miamojganj·
@Rsysiphus مقاله هیچ اشاره‌ای به اعتراضات دی نداره. دستکم این بخشی که کوت شده. یعنی سی هزار نفر که این مطلب رو لایک کردن متوجه نبودن؟
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Mojgan Jafari
Mojgan Jafari@Miamojganj·
نمی‌دونم این کیه و چرا داره درمورد متن نیویورک تایمز دروغ میگه. تو متن گفته شده که موساد از تحریم اقتصادی و ترور دانشمندها استفاده کرد‌ و امید داشت که «در صورت وقوع جنگ» و «بعد از کشته شدن رهبران» بتونن مردم رو به شورش وادار کنن. مطلقاً هیچ اشاره‌ای به اعتراضات دی در متن نیست.
Max Blumenthal@MaxBlumenthal

NY Times has essentially confirmed that Israel played a role in stimulating the violent regime change riots that left around 3000 dead in Iran this January 8 and 9, but which were marketed in the West as pro-democracy protests. It was well understood by the Mossad that those riots would help stimulate military action by Trump. Israeli intel merely needed to convince the feeble-minded president that a wave of decapitation strikes would unleash a massive upheaval to immediately topple the Islamic Republic. The January riots were presented to Trump as a preview of what was to come. Western media, including the NY Times and The Guardian, played a central role in legitimizing Israel's deception by falsely characterizing the violent regime change riots as mere protests, massively inflating the death toll and covering up the fact that many were murdered by the Israel-backed rioters themselves The whole of Western media and the Western human rights industrial complex deliberately misrepresented the real character of those riots. But now that the war they helped to instigate is going badly for the US and Israel, that same media is now free to reveal a few kernels of truth.

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Sysipholus
Sysipholus@Rsysiphus·
@shi0va من همیشه برای کار مسقط بودم و می‌پسندمش خیلی بیشتر از بقیه حوزه خلیج.
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شیـوا
شیـوا@shi0va·
@Rsysiphus خیلی زیبا که نیست ولی واقعا معقول و دوست داشتنی.
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Javier Blas
Javier Blas@JavierBlas·
Unlike the Islamic Republic, Trump doesn’t have the benefit of time. He needs to reopen the Strait of Hormuz in days or, at most, weeks or oil prices would rally. He doesn’t have months to crank up the pressure on Iran via Kharg to accept a deal. Time favours Tehran. 🧵10/10
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Sysipholus
Sysipholus@Rsysiphus·
رئیس تینک تنکی دوزاری که سعید قاسمی نژاد، دست راست پهلوی توش کار میکنه. انقدر هم کودن و احمقه که فکر میکنه این اطلاعات پایه‌ای رو پنتاگون نمیدونه.
Mark Dubowitz@mdubowitz

Among Iran’s major power plants, Bandar Abbas: tied to ports, naval logistics, petrochemicals, IRGC-linked industrial activity. Isfahan: defense, missile, nukes. Asaluyeh: IRGC-connected gas exports/petrochemicals Others hit ordinary civilians first, not regime power.

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شرق‌زده sharghzadeh
You spend years advocating for this war, now that it went exactly how we said it would, you're begging Trump to stop? Why do you think he cares what you think?
Masih Alinejad 🏳️@AlinejadMasih

Mr. President, @realDonaldTrump The Islamic Republic is a terrorist regime. It has made one thing brutally clear: the lives of its own people mean nothing to it. It kills them. Then it demands money from their families to return their bodies. And if those families dare to grieve, dare to demand justice, they are threatened with gang rape and then arrested. For years, I have said clearly: the Islamic Republic is not a normal government. It is a terrorist occupying force that will only respond to strength and decisive pressure. But with the reported 48-hour ultimatum regarding the Strait of Hormuz, I feel a moral and patriotic duty to issue a critical warning: Targeting Iran’s power plants and civilian infrastructure does not weaken the regime. It punishes the Iranian people. A nationwide blackout in Iran would hand the regime exactly what it wants, a propaganda victory. The IRGC thrives on blaming foreign enemies for the suffering it has created, redirecting public anger away from itself. It would also put millions of civilians at risk. Power outages mean hospitals shut down, water systems fail, and ordinary people who are already struggling under extreme economic pressure are pushed further into crisis. And it would weaken the very people standing up to this regime. A population fighting for basic survival in darkness and desperation has far less capacity to organize, protest, and resist. If the goal is deterrence or disabling the regime, then the target set must be clear and precise: IRGC command centers, missile infrastructure, and the regime’s security and repression apparatus. Disable the regime’s war machine, not the lives of the Iranian people. The Islamic Republic has held Iran hostage for decades. At this critical moment, do not allow it to use our national infrastructure as a shield for its survival. The objective must be the liberation of Iran, not its destruction. #Iran💔

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Shima Vezvaei
Shima Vezvaei@ShimaVezvaei·
آقا میرزا باغبان و کارگر ایرانی-افغانستانی محله ماست. ۳۰ سال در این محل زندگی کرده و مورد اعتماد هر خانه و هر کاسبی است. می‌گویم: «شما هم شانس نداریدها، از جنگ به جنگ.» گفت: «من تازه جنگ ایران و عراق را هم دیدم و آن زمان اهواز زندگی می‌کردم.» ازش پرسیدم: «کدوم از همه بدتر بود؟» ۱
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Stephen Wertheim
Stephen Wertheim@stephenwertheim·
This war is unconstitutional, and it’s ridiculous that this one individual can sit there and threaten to bomb Iran’s power plants, a move that will cause Iran to retaliate in kind (or more) across the region. What happened to the rule of law? Congress? Courts? Democracy?
Rapid Response 47@RapidResponse47

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Sysipholus@Rsysiphus·
@Pooymax از چین میرسه. از جاهای دیگه در آسیا احتمالا ج.ا تحت فشار خواهد گذاشت که اگر نفت میخوان باید مدلی از پرداخت رو گارانتی کنند وگرنه با قیمت بالاتر باز به چین میره. به زودی معلوم میشه.
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پویا@Pooymax·
@Rsysiphus واقعا یعنی میذارن پولش به ایران برسه؟ خیلی بعیده
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Sysipholus
Sysipholus@Rsysiphus·
🧵 آمریکا مجوز فروش نفت ایران «روی آب» رو صادر کرده. رقم رسمی ۱۴۰ میلیون بشکه و ایران روزانه هم ۱.۱ میلیون در طول جنگ بارگیری کرده. با ذخایر قبل جنگ (فرض بذاریم ۱۲۵ میلیون)، بارگیری‌ دوران جنگ (۲۴ میلیون)، و تولید در دوره مجوز (۳۳ میلیون)، حجم واقعی به ۱۸۰ میلیون بشکه می‌رسه.
Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent@SecScottBessent

Iran is the head of the snake for global terrorism, and through President Trump’s Operation Epic Fury, we are winning this critical fight at an even faster pace than anticipated. In response to Iran’s terrorist attacks against global energy infrastructure, the Trump Administration will continue to deploy America’s economic and military might to maximize the flow of energy to the world, strengthen global supply, and seek to ensure market stability. Today, the Department of the Treasury is issuing a narrowly tailored, short-term authorization permitting the sale of Iranian oil currently stranded at sea. At present, sanctioned Iranian oil is being hoarded by China on the cheap. By temporarily unlocking this existing supply for the world, the United States will quickly bring approximately 140 million barrels of oil to global markets, expanding the amount of worldwide energy and helping to relieve the temporary pressures on supply caused by Iran. In essence, we will be using the Iranian barrels against Tehran to keep the price down as we continue Operation Epic Fury. This temporary, short-term authorization is strictly limited to oil that is already in transit and does not allow new purchases or production. Further, Iran will have difficulty accessing any revenue generated and the United States will continue to maintain maximum pressure on Iran and its ability to access the international financial system. So far, the Trump Administration has been working to bring around 440 million additional barrels of oil to the global market, undercutting Iran’s ability to leverage its disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz. President Trump’s pro-energy agenda has driven U.S. oil and gas production to record levels, strengthening energy security and lowering fuel costs. Any short-term disruption now will ultimately translate into longer-term economic gains for Americans – because there is no prosperity without security.

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Sysipholus
Sysipholus@Rsysiphus·
اگر قیمت نفت به ۱۵۰ دلار برسه که با بحران هرمز اصلا عجیب نیست، ۱۸۰ میلیون بشکه با ۷۵٪ درآمد خالص، ۲۰ میلیارد دلار به رژیم می‌رسونه. درآمد نفتی ایران قبل جنگ ۳۵ میلیارد دلار در سال بود. این مجوز یک ماهه، بیش از نیمی از درآمد نفتی سالانه ایران رو در یک ماه آزاد می‌کنه.
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Sysipholus
Sysipholus@Rsysiphus·
بر اساس قیمت‌های امروز (۱۱۲ دلار): اپراتورهای ناوگان سایه معمولاً ۲۰-۳۰٪ کارمزد کسر می‌کنند. بر اساس ۱۸۰ میلیون بشکه، درآمد خالص تخمینی میشه ۱۵ میلیارد دلار. این محاسبه فقط برای قیمت امروزه اگر بحران ۴ هفته دیگر ادامه یابد، قیمت‌ها به‌طور قابل‌توجهی بالاتر خواهند بود. 👇
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Laura Rozen
Laura Rozen@lrozen·
“You will be home before the leaves have fallen from the trees.” Kaiser Wilhelm August 1914
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Rory Johnston
Rory Johnston@Rory_Johnston·
Trump on the Strait of Hormuz: "At a certain point, it'll open itself"
Rory Johnston tweet media
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Financial Times
The Iran war has caused the gravest energy shock of all time, the head of the International Energy Agency warned, adding that it could take six months or longer to fully restore oil and gas flows from the Gulf. ft.trib.al/oyV13Oa
Financial Times tweet media
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